Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction & MLB Odds For Tuesday, September 24th

The Red Sox and Blue Jays will face off in an AL East matchup at 7:07 PM ET at Rogers Centre in Toronto. Brayan Bello will start for the Red Sox, and he is facing off against Bowden Francis. Boston is 79-78, and they have won three straight, putting them 3rd in the AL East. The Blue Jays are favored on the money line (-132), but they have lost four straight and are 5th in the AL East.

Tuesday’s over/under line is at 8 runs, and the game can be seen on NESN. On the money line, the Red Sox are the slight underdog, with odds of +112 compared to the Blue Jays at -132.

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Red Sox 1.5 (-197) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+161)
• Total: 8
• MoneyLine: Red Sox +112 | Blue Jays -132

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Moneyline

Boston picked up a 4-1 road win over the Blue Jays in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a huge 2nd inning, scoring all four of their runs. As for the Blue Jays, they got on the board with one run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were at -101 on the money line.

Tanner Houck only went five innings for the Red Sox but didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. He finished the game with just one hit allowed and one strikeout. On the other side, Chris Bassitt got the start for the Blue Jays, going just 4 1/3 innings while giving up two runs and took the loss.

Wilyer Abreu and Jarren Duran each had two hits and an RBI for the Red Sox. Abreu was the only player in the game to score more than one run, as he crossed the plate twice for Boston’s offense.

Boston is 79-78 overall and is 3rd in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by 13.5 games. The Red Sox are 23-24 against other teams in the AL East. They have won three straight games, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games overall.

At home, the Red Sox have gone 37-41 this year. On the road, they are above .500 at 42-37. As the underdog, Boston is 38-43 this year, and they have won three straight as the underdog. The Red Sox have been the favorite in 76 games, going 41-35 as the favorite.

Toronto is 73-84 overall, putting them 5th in the AL East, and they trail the Yankees by 19.5 games in the division. The Blue Jays are on a four-game losing streak, losing the first game of this series vs. the Red Sox. In AL East matchups, they are 20-30 this year.

At home, the Blue Jays are 38-38 this year compared to 35-46 on the road. As the favorite, Toronto has gone 44-30 and 29-54 as the underdog. The Blue Jays’ overall series record is 17-26-6, and they have dropped two straight series.

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Over/Under

With a combined run average of 9.3, the Boston Red Sox have seen their games go over the over/under line in 77 of their 149 games this season. The average over/under line for their games has been 9 runs, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, the over has hit in 14 games, the under in 11, and there have been 3 pushes.

Coming into today’s game, the Red Sox are 5th in the league in home runs and have the top team batting average in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. One thing to keep an eye on is that they are the worst team in the league in terms of striking out, averaging 9 per game.

Jarren Duran has been hot of late, as he is on a four-game hitting streak and has gone 8/33 in his last eight games. For the season, he is batting .286 with 21 homers. Rafael Devers leads the team with 83 RBIs and is 2nd on the team with 28 homers. Tyler O’Neill has also been a big power threat for the Red Sox, as he is 10th in the league with 31 home runs.

When the Blue Jays are at home, the over/under line is typically set at 8 runs, and their games have gone over that line in 24 of 44 games. The combined run average in their games is 8.7, and their over/under record for the season is 78-75. The under has hit in six straight Blue Jays games.

For the season, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 21st in the MLB. This is also the 19th and 20th ranked scoring offense in the league. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 13th in the league, and they have the 13th best OPS in the league. Toronto has been led by Vladimir Guerrero Jr., who is batting .324 for the season with 30 home runs and 100 RBIs. He has also been hot of late, going 15/40 in his last 10 games.

George Springer is 2nd on the Blue Jays with 19 homers this season, but he is batting just .220 for the season. As a team, the Blue Jays have been good at avoiding strikeouts and are 7th in walks. Currently, Justin Turner and Nathan Lukes are both on four-game hitting streaks.

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Spread

When it comes to betting the run line, the Red Sox have been a better bet on the road this season, going 45-34 compared to 30-48 at home. Their overall run line record is 75-82, with an average run margin of 0.1 runs per game. They have been a profitable bet as an underdog, going 47-34 on the run line, and they have covered the run line in their last three games as the underdog.

Brayan Bello will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he took the loss and gave up just one earned run in 5 2/3 innings of work. In that outing vs. the Rays, he gave up two homers. Before that, Bello had won two straight starts. He finished with a no-decision in the outing before that. Bello has a record of 14-8 this season and an ERA of 4.49. Looking at his home/road splits, Bello is 8-4 on the road with a 4.44 ERA compared to 6-4 at home with a 5.95 ERA.

When betting the run line on the Blue Jays, it’s been a better play to take them on the road. They are 51-30 on the run line away from home, compared to 28-48 at home. They are 47-36 on the run line as an underdog, and 32-42 as a favorite. Their average run margin is -0.4 runs per game, but that number jumps to -0.6 at home.

Blue Jays starter Bowden Francis will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Rangers, where he took the loss. In that start, he went six innings and gave up two earned runs, including a homer. Looking back at his last three outings, Francis has given up at least one homer in each. Before the outing vs. the Rangers, he had made seven straight starts with a homer allowed. Francis’ ERA for the season is 3.47, along with a record of 8-5. Out of his 12 starts, he has turned in seven quality starts. Per nine innings, Francis is averaging 1.92 walks compared to 8.03 strikeouts.

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Pick: Blue Jays ML -132

Our pick for this Red Sox vs. Blue Jays matchup is to take the Blue Jays on the money line at -132. We actually have the Blue Jays winning this one by a score of 6-5, so you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at eight runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Bowden Francis finishing with four strikeouts, which is better than Brayan Bello, who we have finishing with just three K’s. If you are looking at some team projections, the Red Sox are projected to finish with nine hits compared to the Blue Jays, who we have finishing with nine.