Rays vs Tigers Prediction & MLB Odds For Wednesday, September 25th
The forecast for Wednesday’s Tigers vs. Rays matchup calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. The game is being played at Comerica Park in Detroit, and the Tigers are the slight favorite on the money line (-117). The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs.
First pitch is at 6:40 PM ET, and the game will be televised on BSDET. Keider Montero is starting for the Tigers, while the Rays are going with Zack Littell. Tampa Bay is 4th in the AL East, and the Tigers have won three straight and are 3rd in the AL Central.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Rays -1.5 (+162) | Tigers 1.5 (-210)
- Total: 7.5
- MoneyLine: Rays -101 | Tigers -117
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Rays vs. Tigers Prediction: Moneyline
Detroit picked up a 2-1 win over the Rays in the most recent game of this series. The Tigers had a two-run 5th inning, and the Rays scored their only run in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Tigers were favored at -193 on the money line.
Tarik Skubal pitched well for the Tigers in this one, going seven innings and striking out seven without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Beau Brieske got the save. Ryan Pepiot had a rough outing for the Rays, taking the loss.
Wenceel Perez was the only Tigers hitter to have more than one hit, as he went 1/2 with two RBIs. Brandon Lowe hit the game’s only home run for the Rays, going 1/4.
Tampa Bay heads into today’s game vs. the Tigers with an overall record of 78-79, putting them 4th in the AL East. The Rays are 14.0 games behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. So far, they have gone 24-25 in divisional play. The Rays lost the series opener vs. the Tigers and are 24-19-7 in series this year, which includes having won two straight series.
At home, the Rays are 42-39 this year compared to 36-40 on the road. As the favorite, the Rays are 37-31 this year and 41-48 as the underdog. Tampa Bay’s overall series record is 24-19-7 this year.
Detroit is 83-74 overall and is 7.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. The Tigers have taken the first game of their series vs. the Rays and have won three straight games overall. Their three-game winning streak has come with an 8-2 record over their last 10 games.
At home, the Tigers are 40-36 this season, and they are 43-38 on the road. As the underdog, Detroit is 46-50 this year and 37-24 when favored. The Tigers have won five straight series, and their overall series record is 25-20-5.
Rays vs. Tigers Prediction: Over/Under
Today, the Tampa Bay Rays are on the road against the Detroit Tigers. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is below their season average of 8 runs per game. The Rays have played 87 games this season with over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, and their over/under record is 23-31 in games with a 7.5 run line. Their combined run average for the season is 7.9 runs per game, and their over/under record is 66-83 overall. They have hit the under in their last six games.
As a team, the Rays are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have also struggled in terms of power, as their 145 home runs are 22nd in the league. Tampa Bay’s team batting average of .231 is also among the worst in the league. One thing they have done well is draw walks, as they are 12th in the league in that category.
Yandy Diaz has been the Rays’ most consistent hitter this season, batting .282 with 14 home runs and 65 RBIs. Brandon Lowe and Christopher Morel are tied for the team lead with 21 homers, but Lowe is batting just .242, and Morel is hitting just .197. Morel does have 58 RBIs, which is 2nd on the team.
The Detroit Tigers have played in 98 games with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, which is 62.4% of their games this season. Their combined run average is 8.2 runs per game, and their over/under record is 77-76. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 22-18. The Tigers have gone under the total in two straight games.
Heading into today’s game, the Tigers are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. This is a little below their season average of 4.3 runs per game on the road. As a team, they are batting .234, and their team on-base percentage of .299 is also one of the worst marks in the league. Detroit’s offense has also struggled in terms of slugging percentage and OPS.
Riley Greene has been one of the Tigers’ top power threats this season, leading the team with 24 home runs. However, he has struggled of late, hitting just .216 over his last nine games. Overall, Greene is batting .262. Kerry Carpenter has also been a solid power threat, with 17 homers and a team-leading batting average of .287.
Rays vs. Tigers Prediction: Spread
When the Rays win, they win big, averaging a run differential of +2.7 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of -3.4 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 81-76, including 44-32 on the road. They are 57-32 vs. the run line as an underdog, but just 24-44 as a favorite.
Tampa Bay is sending Zack Littell to the mound today vs. the Tigers, and he is coming off a great outing. In his most recent start, Littell went seven innings and didn’t give up a run. He only gave up one hit in the outing. Littell has won his last three starts and didn’t give up a run in two of those outings. For the season, he has made 28 starts and has a record of 8-9. Littell’s ERA is 3.56, and he has a WHIP of 1.24. Opposing batters are hitting .260 off the right-hander this season.
The Tigers have been a solid run line bet this season, going 84-73 overall. They have been particularly good on the road, where they are 51-30 against the run line. As an underdog, they are 62-34 against the run line, compared to just 22-39 as a favorite.
Keider Montero is looking to bounce back from a rough outing out of the bullpen, as he most recently faced the Orioles on September 20th. In that outing, he went 4 2/3 innings, giving up five earned runs, and taking the loss. Montero gave up one homer in that outing. Before that, he had won three straight starts and didn’t give up a run in any of those outings. His record for the season is 6-6, and his ERA is 4.86. Opponents are batting .254 off Montero this season. Per nine innings, he has 7.09 strikeouts and 2.72 walks.
Rays vs. Tigers Pick: Tigers ML -117
Getting the Tigers at -117 on the money line is a great value pick for today’s Rays vs. Tigers matchup. Our prediction is that the Tigers will pick up a 5-4 win, giving you some room to take the Tigers on the run line or to parlay it with another game.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Keider Montero is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which is a bit low. However, Zack Littell is only projected to finish with four as well, and we have Montero finishing with a better ERA and picking up the win.
