Rays vs Tigers Prediction & MLB Odds For Thursday, September 26th
The forecast for Thursday’s Rays vs. Tigers game calls for scattered clouds and temperatures in the low to mid-60s. This one is getting started at 1:10 PM ET from Comerica Park in Detroit. The Tigers are currently on a four-game winning streak and their money line odds are at -164. The Rays are +139 on the money line, and they will be looking to avoid a third straight loss, as they are 78-80 overall. Tyler Alexander is starting for the Tigers, while the Rays are going with Reese Olson.
Detroit comes into the game with an overall record of 84-74 and they are 3rd in the AL Central, while the Rays are 4th in the AL East. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and BSSUN is carrying the game on TV.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Rays 1.5 (-163) | Tigers -1.5 (+134)
- Total: 7.5
- MoneyLine: Rays +139 | Tigers -164
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Rays vs. Tigers Prediction: Moneyline
Detroit cruised to a 7-1 win over the Rays in the most recent game of this series. The Tigers had a huge 1st inning, scoring two of their seven runs. As for the Rays, they scored their only run in the 3rd. Heading into the game, the Tigers were favored at -129 on the money line.
Keider Montero only went 2 2/3 innings for the Tigers but gave up just one run and one hit. He finished the game with two strikeouts but issued two walks. Sean Guenther got the win out of the bullpen. As for the Rays, Zack Littell had a rough outing, giving up three earned runs in just 4 2/3 innings of work.
Parker Meadows and Spencer Torkelson each homered for the Tigers. Meadows went 3/5 with two runs scored and an RBI, while Torkelson scored three times and drove in three runs. Riley Greene also had a two-hit game and drove in a run.
The Rays are 78-80 overall, and they are 14 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. Currently, they trail the Red Sox by 1.5 games for the final Wild Card spot. Tampa Bay has dropped two straight games, and they are losing the series vs. the Tigers 0-2.
At home, the Rays are 42-39 this year, and they are just under .500 at 36-41 on the road. As the underdog, the Rays are 41-49 this year, and they are 37-31 when favored. Looking at their overall series record, the Rays are 24-19-7 and have won two straight series.
Detroit is 84-74 overall and trails the Guardians by 7.5 games in the AL Central. The Tigers have won four straight games, and they are 8-2 over their last 10. This season, they have gone 27-22 against other teams in the AL Central.
At home, the Tigers are 41-36 this season and 43-38 on the road. Detroit has won three straight games as the home team, and they are 25-18 as the home favorite this year. As for their record as the underdog, the Tigers are 46-50. Detroit has an overall series record of 25-20-5, and they have won five straight series.
Rays vs. Tigers Prediction: Over/Under
Today’s game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Detroit Tigers has an over/under line of 7.5 runs. The Rays have an over/under record of 66-83 on the season, with an average combined run average of 7.9 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 23-31. Overall, 55.7% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, with an average over/under line of 8 runs per game.
For the season, the Rays are averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have a team batting average of just .230. As a team, they are also 25th in slugging percentage and 24th in OPS.
Yandy Diaz has been the Rays’ most consistent hitter this season, batting .282 with 14 homers and 65 RBIs. However, he has just one homer in his last 10 games. Christopher Morel and Brandon Lowe are tied for the team lead in homers, but Morel is batting just .195, and Lowe is only hitting .239. Jonathan Aranda has three homers in his last six games and is 5/19 over that stretch.
The Detroit Tigers host the Tampa Bay Rays today, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Tigers games this season is 8.2 runs, and their over/under record is 77-76. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 22-18. Overall, 62.7% of their games this season have had over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs.
Currently, the Tigers are 18th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.2 runs per game. This is a slight improvement from their home and road splits, where they are averaging 4.1 and 4.3 runs per game, respectively. As a team, they are batting just .235, which is 17th in the league, and have a collective on-base percentage of just .299.
Riley Greene has been the Tigers’ top power threat this season, leading the team with 24 homers and 73 RBIs. He is also batting .264 for the season. Kerry Carpenter has also been a solid power threat, batting .285 with 17 homers. Over his last seven games, Carpenter has gone 5/17 with two homers. Colt Keith comes into the game with 13 homers and a batting average of .259.
Rays vs. Tigers Prediction: Spread
When the Rays win, they win by an average of 2.7 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.4 runs. Tampa Bay is 81-77 against the run line this season and 44-33 on the road. They are 24-44 vs. the run line as favorites and 57-33 as underdogs. Their run line losing streak on the road is at one game.
Tyler Alexander is getting the start for the Rays today and is coming off a game in which he made a spot start. Against the Blue Jays on September 20th, he went 4 1/3 innings, giving up no earned runs, and finished with a no-decision. Looking back at his last three appearances, Alexander has finished with a no-decision in each outing. He has made 22 appearances this year to go along with eight starts. Alexander’s ERA for the season is 5.35, and his record is 6-5. Opponents are batting .259 off the left-hander this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.36 strikeouts and 2.1 walks.
When betting on the Tigers’ run line, it’s been more profitable to take them on the road, where they are 51-30. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.5, but they have a losing record against the run line at home (34-43).
Right-hander Reese Olson gets the start for the Tigers today as he faces the Rays at home. So far this season, he has made 21 starts and has a record of 4-8 with a 3.49 ERA. Olsen’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.19, and he has turned in nine quality starts. In his last outing, Olsen finished with a no-decision, going three innings and giving up one earned run on three hits. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight outings. Olsen’s ERA on the road is 4.03 compared to 4.35 at home.
Rays vs. Tigers Pick: Rays ML +139
Our pick for this Rays vs. Tigers matchup is to take the Rays on the money line at +139. We have the Rays winning this one by a final score of 6-5. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also look to the over/under, as the line is sitting at 7.5 runs, and we have this one going over.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Tyler Alexander is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and Reese Olson is projected to finish with six. However, we have Olson finishing with a better ERA than Alexander, but we still have the Rays coming out on top.
