Rays vs Red Sox Prediction & MLB Odds For Friday, September 27th

From Fenway Park in Boston, we have the Rays and Red Sox facing off in an AL East matchup. First pitch for this one is set for 7:10 PM ET. Nick Pivetta is starting for the Red Sox, while the Rays are going with Taj Bradley.

The money line odds have the Red Sox as the favorite, with their lines sitting at -133 compared to the Rays at +114. The over/under line is currently 8 runs, and the forecast calls for overcast skies and temperatures in the mid-70s.

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Rays 1.5 (-194) | Red Sox -1.5 (+159)
• Total: 8
• MoneyLine: Rays +114 | Red Sox -133

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction: Moneyline

The Rays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Tigers with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Tigers scored two runs in the bottom of the 8th. Tampa Bay was the +135 underdog on the road going into this game.

Tyler Alexander put together a good start for the Rays, going five innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out six Tigers batters. However, the Rays’ bullpen couldnjson’t close things out, and Garrett Cleavinger took the loss out of the bullpen. The Rays also wasted a big game from Taylor Walls, who went 2/3 with two runs scored.

Tampa Bay is 78-81 overall, putting them 4th in the AL East, two games behind the Red Sox for 3rd place. The Rays trail the Yankees by 15 games in the division. They have dropped three straight games, losing the final three games of their series vs. the Tigers.

As the road team today, the Rays are 36-42 compared to 42-39 at home. So far, they have gone 24-25 against other teams in the AL East. As the underdog, the Rays are 41-50 this year, and they are 37-31 as the favorite. Tampa Bay’s overall series record is 23-20-7, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games.

Boston closed out their series vs. the Blue Jays with a 6-1 loss. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were the +113 underdog on the money line. Things started off well for the Red Sox, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Blue Jays scored two runs in the bottom of the first.

Richard Fitts got the start for the Red Sox and took the loss. He only lasted five innings, giving up four earned runs on six hits. Jarren Duran was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a run scored. The Red Sox’s other run came from Nick Sogard, who also went 2/4.

Boston is hosting the Rays today with an overall record of 80-79, and they trail the Yankees by 13 games in the AL East. So far, they are 24-25 in divisional matchups. The Red Sox took the series vs. the Blue Jays, winning two of three games.

At home, the Red Sox are 37-41 this season and 43-38 on the road. As the favorite, Boston is 41-35 this year and 39-44 as the underdog. They have won two straight at home, and their overall series record is 25-19-6. Currently, they have won two straight series.

Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction: Over/Under

The over/under line for today’s Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox game is set at 8 runs. The Rays have played in 46 games this season with over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 28.9% of their games. Their games have averaged 7.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 66-84 overall. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 17-24-2.

Yandy Diaz has been a bright spot in the Rays lineup this season, as he is batting .282 and leads the team with 65 RBIs. He also has 14 homers, which is 3rd on the team. Brandon Lowe is also at the top of the home run leaderboard, but he is hitting just .242 for the season. However, Lowe has gone 10/40 in his last 10 games with three homers and seven RBIs.

As a team, the Rays are averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the majors. They are also near the bottom of the league in most offensive categories, including team batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. Tampa Bay does have one player on a notable hitting streak, as Ben Rortvedt has hits in three straight games.

The Boston Red Sox have played in 105 games with over/under lines set higher than 8 runs this season, which accounts for 66.0% of their games. Their combined run average is 9.3 runs per game, and their over/under record is 78-73. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 15-11-3. Today’s over/under line for their game against the Tampa Bay Rays is set at 8 runs.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are 6th in the league in batting average and have the best BABIP in the league at .32. Overall, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. Boston’s offense has also done a good job of avoiding strikeouts, as their 9 strikeouts per game is the 27th best mark in the league.

Jarren Duran comes into the game on a six-game hitting streak and has gone 10/33 over his last eight games. For the season, he is batting .286 and is 3rd on the team with 21 homers. Rafael Devers is the team’s leader in RBIs (83) and is 2nd on the team with 28 homers. Tyler O’Neill has the most homers for the Red Sox this season, but is batting just .240.

Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction: Spread

When it comes to the run line, the Rays have been a better bet as the underdog, going 58-33. They are 45-33 on the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of -0.5 runs per game. Their average run differential in all games is -0.4 runs per game.

Taj Bradley will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Blue Jays. In that September 21st start, he went 5 innings and gave up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Bradley has made 24 starts and has a record of 7-11. His ERA for the season is 4.29, along with a WHIP of 1.25. Opponents have a batting average of .237 vs. Bradley this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 10.02 strikeouts and 3.14 walks. Bradley has made nine quality starts this year.

When the Boston Red Sox are at home, they are 30-48 against the run line, but they have covered in two straight games. Their average run margin is -0.3 runs per game at home, and they are 28-48 against the run line as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.9 runs per game.

Right-hander Nick Pivetta gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces off against the Rays at home. Pivetta has made 25 starts this season and has a record of 6-11 with a 4.21 ERA. So far, he has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 10.75 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Pivetta picked up the win, going five innings and giving up one earned run on four hits. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight outings. Pivetta has been much better at home, coming in with an ERA of 4.65 compared to 5.5 on the road.

Rays vs. Red Sox Pick: Red Sox ML -133

Getting the Red Sox at -133 on the money line is a great value, as we have them winning this one by a score of 5-4. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 8 runs, and we have this one finishing with nine runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Nick Pivetta is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is good for fifth best among starters. As for the Rays starter, Taj Bradley is projected to finish with seven K’s, which is third best.