Rays vs Phillies Prediction & MLB Odds For Tuesday, September 10th
The Phillies are the heavy favorite on the money line at -167, while the Rays are sitting at +142. This interleague matchup is taking place at 6:40 PM ET from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, and the forecast calls for clear skies and temperatures in the low 80s.
NSPPH will be televising this one, and they will be watching Ranger Suarez take on the Rays and Taj Bradley. Tampa Bay is 4th in the AL East, while the Phillies are leading the NL East with a record of 86-58.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Rays 1.5 (-155) | Phillies -1.5 (+129)
- Total: 7.5
- MoneyLine: Rays +142 | Phillies -167
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Rays vs. Phillies Prediction: Moneyline
Philadelphia picked up a 2-1 win over the Rays in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a two-run 6th inning, and the Rays scored their only run in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -199 on the money line.
Cristopher Sanchez started for the Phillies and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued one walk. As for the Rays, Cole Sulser only went one inning and gave up two runs on two hits.
Kyle Schwarber hit the game’s only home run while going 1/4 with two RBIs. Brandon Lowe hit a homer for the Rays and went 1/1 with two walks.
Tampa Bay is 71-73 overall this season, and they are 4th in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by 12 games. So far, they have gone 19-24 in divisional games. The Rays are on the road today, and they are 34-35 in road games compared to 37-38 at home.
The Rays have gone 35-30 when favored this year and 36-43 as the underdog. As the road underdog, Tampa Bay has gone 23-24 this year. Currently, their overall series record is 22-18-6.
Philadelphia is 86-58 overall this season, putting them 1st in the NL East. They lead the Mets by 7.0 games for the top spot in the division. The Phillies are 25-17 in divisional games this season.
At home, the Phillies are 48-25 this season and have gone 38-33 on the road. So far, they have really thrived as the favorite, going 73-43, and they are 13-15 as the underdog. Philadelphia has won three straight at home, and their overall series record is 25-16-7.
Rays vs. Phillies Prediction: Over/Under
The Rays have played in 83 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, which is 57.6% of their games. Their games have averaged 8.1 runs per game, and their over/under record is 64-72. Their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 22-25. The over/under line for today’s game against the Phillies is set at 7.5 runs, and the under has hit in their last two games.
Yandy Diaz has been one of the few bright spots in the Rays’ lineup this season, as he is batting .281 for the season and has gone 9/20 in his last five games, including two home runs. Diaz’s 64 RBIs are the best mark on the team. Christopher Morel and Jose Siri are tied for 2nd on the team with 17 homers, but Morel is hitting just .196, and Siri is batting .186.
Overall, the Rays are 28th in the league in scoring at 3.9 runs per game. They have been equally as bad at home and on the road in terms of scoring and are also near the bottom of the league in terms of team batting average and slugging percentage. As a team, they are 25th in OPS and 23rd in isolated power.
When the Phillies are at home, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season. Overall, the over/under record for Phillies games is 67-70, and the average line for their games is set at 8 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 12-14. The majority of their games have had higher over/under lines, with 73.6% of their games having lines set over 7.5 runs.
As a team, the Phillies are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 5th in the MLB. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 4th in team batting average at .259 and have the 7th most home runs in the league. Philadelphia’s offense has been patient at the plate, as they are 7th in walks and have the 4th best on-base percentage in the league.
Kyle Schwarber has been on a tear for the Phillies, hitting 6 homers over his last seven games while going 13/30 in that stretch. For the season, he is batting .250 with 34 homers and 94 RBIs. Schwarber’s 34 homers are the best mark on the team and 7th best in the league. Bryce Harper is 2nd on the team with 26 homers and is batting .285 for the season.
Rays vs. Phillies Prediction: Spread
The Tampa Bay Rays have been a profitable run line team this season, going 74-70 overall. They have been especially strong on the run line on the road, going 40-29. They have covered the run line in three straight games overall and as an underdog.
Taj Bradley gets the start for the Rays today as he faces the Phillies on the road. So far this season, he has made 21 starts and has a record of 6-10. Bradley’s ERA is 4.40, and he most recently pitched on September 5th, where he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in seven innings of work. Looking back over his last four starts, Bradley has allowed at least one homer in each outing. His ERA on the road is 6.0 compared to 5.59 at home. Per nine innings, he is averaging 3.01 walks compared to 10.11 strikeouts.
When the Phillies win, they do so by an average of 3.9 runs per game, while their losses come by an average of -3.8 runs. Overall, they have a run line record of 70-74, including a 33-40 mark at home. As the favorite, their run line record is 55-61, while they are 15-13 as the underdog.
Left-hander Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Rays at home. He has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 12-6 with a 2.90 ERA. Suárez has pitched well at home, coming in with a record of 5-2 and an ERA of 3.57. Out of his 23 starts, Suárez has 11 quality starts, one shutout, and one complete game. In his last outing, he went five innings, picking up the win and not giving up a run. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts.
Rays vs. Phillies Pick: Over 7.5 Runs -117
Our prediction for this Rays vs. Phillies matchup is to take the Phillies to pick up the win at home. However, with the money line sitting at -167, we recommend taking the over, as we have the final score at 5-4 in favor of the Phillies.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Ranger Suarez finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for eighth among starters. As for the Rays starter, Taj Bradley is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which has him at 14th. Offensively, the Phillies are predicted to finish with eight hits compared to the Rays with nine.
