Rays vs Orioles Prediction & MLB Odds For Sunday, September 8th
From Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, we have the Rays and Orioles facing off in an AL East matchup. The Orioles are 82-61 and they are 2nd in the AL East, while the Rays are 4th in the division with an overall record of 70-72.
The money line odds have the Orioles at -202 compared to the Rays at +168. Today’s over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs, and the forecasted temperature is 56 degrees with clear skies. First pitch is set for 12:05 PM ET. Zack Littell is starting for the Rays, and he is facing off against Corbin Burnes for the Orioles.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Rays 1.5 (-133) | Orioles -1.5 (+110)
- Total: 7.5
- MoneyLine: Rays +168 | Orioles -202
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Rays vs. Orioles Prediction: Moneyline
Tampa Bay cruised to a 7-1 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Rays had a huge 3rd inning, scoring seven of their nine runs. As for the Orioles, they scored their only run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Rays were the +148 underdogs.
Ryan Pepiot got the win for the Rays, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued two walks. On the other side, Zach Eflin got the start for the Orioles and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work.
Yandy Diaz and Taylor Walls each homered for the Rays, while Jonny DeLuca scored twice and drove in two runs while going 3/5. Cedric Mullins hit the only home run for the Orioles, going 1/2.
Tampa Bay is 70-72 overall and 12 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. The Rays are in 4th place in the division, sandwiched between the Red Sox and Blue Jays. So far, they have gone just 18-24 in AL East matchups. The Rays will be on the road today vs. the Orioles.
At home, the Rays are 37-38 this season, and they are just above .500 at 33-34 on the road. Tampa Bay has an overall series record of 21-17-6 this season. They are also 35-30 as the favorite and 35-42 as the underdog. The Rays have gone 4-6 over their last 10 games and are looking to take the series lead vs. the Orioles today.
Baltimore is 82-61 overall and 2nd in the AL East, just a half-game behind the Yankees for the division lead. The Orioles have gone 29-16 against other teams in the AL East. So far, they are 67-46 as the favorite and 15-15 as the underdog. At home, the Orioles are 42-32 this year.
The Orioles have split their first two games of this series with the Rays. Currently, they have a series record of 24-13-7 and have won two straight series. Baltimore is 5-5 across their last ten games overall.
Rays vs. Orioles Prediction: Over/Under
The Tampa Bay Rays are on the road against the Baltimore Orioles today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Rays games this season is 8.2 runs, and their over/under record is 64-70. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 22-25. Overall, 57.0% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.
Heading into today’s game, the Rays offense is averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. They have been a little better on the road, averaging 4 runs per contest. As a team, the Rays are batting just .231 and are 24th in the league in home runs. One positive is that they are 8th in the league in walks and have a collective OBP of .306.
Yandy Diaz has been the Rays’ top hitter this season, with a batting average of .279 and a team-leading 64 RBIs. He has also gone deep 14 times. Over his last seven games, Diaz is batting .400 with three homers. Christopher Morel is just batting .197 this season but does have 21 home runs, which is the best mark on the team. He is also on a three-game hitting streak.
Today’s O/U line for the Baltimore Orioles’ game against the Tampa Bay Rays is set at 7.5 runs. The Orioles have played in 114 games this season with O/U lines higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 79.7% of their games. Their combined run average is 9.3 runs per game, and their O/U record this season is 77-55.
The Orioles come into the game as the MLB’s 2nd most powerful lineup, as they have gone deep 211 times this season. As a team, they are averaging 5 runs per game and are batting a collective .251, which is 6th best in the league. Baltimore’s team slugging percentage of .441 is the best mark in the league.
Anthony Santander has been a big run producer for the Orioles this season, as his 91 RBIs are the 10th most in the league. He has also gone deep 39 times, which is the best mark on the team and 3rd best in the majors. Gunnar Henderson has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/28 in his last 7 games with three homers.
Rays vs. Orioles Prediction: Spread
When the Rays win, they win big, averaging a +2.8 run differential in those games. However, when they lose, they lose by an average of -3.5 runs. Their run line record is 72-70, and they are 38-29 against the run line on the road. They have been the underdog in 77 games, going 48-29 against the run line in those contests.
Zack Littell gets the start for the Rays today as he faces the Orioles on the road. So far this season, he has made 25 starts and has a record of 5-9. Littell’s ERA is 4.04, along with a WHIP of 1.35. In his 25 starts, he has turned in eight quality starts and is coming off a rough outing vs. the Twins, where he gave up four earned runs in four innings of work. Littell took the loss in that outing. Before that, he had given up just one earned run in three straight starts. So far, he has allowed 21 homers and is averaging 7.95 strikeouts per nine innings.
When the Orioles win, they win big, as they have an average run margin of 3.8 runs per game. They have a run line record of 78-65, and they have covered the run line in 57 of 113 games as the favorite. They have a run line record of 36-38 at home, where their average run margin is 0.5 runs per game.
Right-hander Corbin Burnes gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Rays at home. He has made 28 starts this season and has a record of 13-7 with an ERA of 3.19. Burnes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.13. In his last outing, he pitched well, going five innings and giving up just one earned run. He picked up the win in that outing. Before that, Burnes had taken the loss in three straight starts. Burnes has allowed at least two homers in three of his last four outings.
Rays vs. Orioles Pick: Over 7.5 Runs -112
Our pick for this Rays vs. Orioles matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 7.5 runs. We actually have the Orioles coming out on top of this one 6-4, but with the payout for a straight up win for the Orioles sitting at -202, we are going to stick with the over.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Corbin Burnes finishing with seven strikeouts compared to Zack Littell with five. As for the Orioles and their offense, they are actually our top team in terms of projected home runs today.
