Rays vs Orioles Prediction & MLB Odds For Friday, September 6th
From Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, we have the Rays and Orioles facing off in an AL East matchup. The Orioles are 81-60 and they are 1st in the AL East, while the Rays are 4th in the division at 69-71.
Shane Baz is starting for the Rays, while Dean Kremer goes for the Orioles. Baltimore is favored on the money line, with the odds sitting at -135 compared to the Rays at +114. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and MASN will be televising this one.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Rays 1.5 (-190) | Orioles -1.5 (+154)
- Total: 8
- MoneyLine: Rays +114 | Orioles -135
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Rays vs. Orioles Prediction: Moneyline
The Rays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Twins with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Twins scored two runs in the top of the 8th. Tampa Bay was the +132 underdog at home going into the game.
Taj Bradley had a good start for the Rays, going seven innings and giving up just two earned runs, and striking out 10. However, the Rays couldnjson’t close things out, and Bradley took the loss. Jonny DeLuca was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with a run scored.
Tampa Bay heads into today’s road matchup vs. the Orioles with a record of 69-71, which has them 4th in the AL East. Currently, they trail the Orioles by 11.5 games for the AL East lead and are 14.0 games out of a Wild Card spot. The Rays are just below .500 in the AL East with an overall record of 17-23.
The Rays have gone 4-6 across their last 10 games and split their most recent series 2-2 with the Twins. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 35-30, and they are 34-41 as the underdog. Tampa Bay’s overall series record is 21-17-6 this season.
The Orioles will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the White Sox with an 8-1 loss. Baltimore was actually the -371 favorite at home going into the game but fell behind early, as the White Sox scored three times in the 4th.
Albert Suarez got the start for the Orioles and took the loss. He only lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up six earned runs on eight hits. The Orioles also issued three walks and hit a batter. Gunnar Henderson was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with a homer, but the Orioles only scored one run. Cedric Mullins scored the team’s only run and was the only other Orioles hitter with more than one hit.
The Orioles are hosting the Rays today with an overall record of 81-60, good for 1st place in the AL East. Currently, they hold a half-game lead over the Yankees for the division lead. Baltimore’s record includes a mark of 28-15 against other teams in the AL East.
So far, the Orioles have gone 41-31 at home compared to a 40-29 mark on the road. As the favorite, the Orioles have gone 66-45 this season and 15-15 as the underdog. They have been good in closing out series this year, coming in with an overall record of 24-13-7 and have won two straight series.
Rays vs. Orioles Prediction: Over/Under
When the Tampa Bay Rays are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, which is right in line with their season average of 8.2 runs per game. Overall, the Rays have gone over the total in 63 of their 132 games this season, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, they have gone over 16 times, under 18 times, and pushed once.
Yandy Diaz has been the Rays’ most consistent hitter this season, batting .278 with 13 home runs and 62 RBIs. He has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/17 in his last five games, with two homers and five RBIs. Christopher Morel comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak but is batting just .197 for the season.
Overall, the Rays are near the bottom of the league in most offensive categories, including runs per game, home runs, and batting average. As a team, they are hitting just .231 and averaging 3.9 runs per game. Their team on-base percentage of .306 is 14th in the league.
When the Orioles play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, and with their combined run average and the average over/under line both at 9.3 and 8 runs, respectively, it’s no surprise that the over/under record for their games is 76-54. When the line is set at 8 runs, the over/under record is 17-7-3, and overall, 61.0% of their games have had lines set over 8 runs.
So far this season, the Orioles have been one of the league’s best offensive teams, as they are 3rd in runs per game (5) and are 2nd in home runs. As a team, they are batting .252, which is 7th in the MLB, and have the league’s best isolated power number at .191. Their team slugging percentage of .443 is also the best in the league.
Gunnar Henderson has been hot of late for the Orioles, going 8/24 in his last six games with two homers. He is batting .280 for the season and is 2nd on the team with 35 homers. Anthony Santander is 3rd in the MLB with 39 homers and is 9th in the league with 91 RBIs. Santander is currently on an eight-game hitting streak.
Rays vs. Orioles Prediction: Spread
Despite being under .500 overall, the Rays have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 71-69. They are 37-28 on the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of -0.5 runs per game. They are 47-28 on the run line as an underdog, including a current run line win streak of four games.
Tampa Bay is sending right-hander Shane Baz to the mound today vs. the Orioles. He has made nine starts this year and has a record of 2-2 with a 3.49 ERA. Baz has pitched much better on the road, coming in with a record of 1-1 and an ERA of 3.24. At home, his ERA is 4.17. Baz’s most recent outing came on August 31st, where he picked up the win, going five innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that, he had won two straight starts and didn’t give up a run in either outing.
The Orioles are a team that has been very consistent in terms of run differential this season, as they have an average run margin of +0.7 runs per game. They have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 77-64 overall. They have been a bit better on the run line on the road, going 42-27, compared to 35-37 at home. They have also been a solid bet as the underdog, going 21-9 on the run line in those games.
Right-hander Dean Kremer gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Rays at home. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 6-9 with an ERA of 4.51. Kremer’s WHIP for the season is 1.30. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in 3 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had picked up the win in two straight outings. Kremer has allowed at least one homer in three straight starts. So far, he has given up 15 homers at home and 3.75 walks per nine innings compared to 4.94 on the road.
Rays vs. Orioles Pick: Orioles ML -135
Our prediction for today’s Rays vs. Orioles game is to take the Orioles on the money line, with the payout being -135. We actually have the Orioles winning this one by a score of 6-4.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Dean Kremer finishing with five strikeouts compared to Shane Baz with four. Offensively, the Orioles lineup is projected to have the most home runs in the league today, while the Rays are actually projected to finish with the fewest runs in the league.