Rangers vs Mariners Prediction & MLB Odds For Saturday, September 14th
At 9:40 PM ET, the Rangers and Mariners face off in an AL West matchup. This one is being played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, and the Mariners are favored on the money line (-137). The Rangers have a money line odds of +116, and the over/under line is 6.5 runs.
Max Scherzer is starting for the Rangers, while Logan Gilbert is on the mound for the Mariners. Texas is 3rd in the AL West, while the Mariners are 2nd with a record of 75-73. RSNW will be televising this one.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Rangers 1.5 (-204) | Mariners -1.5 (+165)
- Total: 6.5
- MoneyLine: Rangers +116 | Mariners -137
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Rangers vs. Mariners Prediction: Moneyline
Even though the Mariners were the +118 underdogs on the road, they still picked up a win over the Rangers in the most recent game of this series. Seattle’s offense got off to a fast start, scoring two runs in the first and adding three more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Rangers got on the board with one run in the 5th and added their final run in the 7th.
Julio Rodriguez was the difference for the Mariners, as he went 4/5 with a home run and three RBIs. Rodriguez scored twice and stole a base in the Mariners’ 5-4 win. As for the Rangers, Wyatt Langford hit the game’s only other home run and drove in three runs.
Emerson Hancock started for the Mariners and picked up the win, going five innings and giving up three earned runs. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued a season-high five walks. David Robertson took the loss for Texas out of the bullpen.
Texas is 71-77 overall this season, and they are 8.5 games behind the Astros for the AL West lead. So far, they are 20-21 in divisional games. The Rangers are on the road today, and they are 30-43 as the away team.
As the favorite, the Rangers have gone 47-34 this year. Texas’ series record is 20-25-1 this year, and they are 6-4 across their last 10 games overall. This season, the Rangers are 41-34 at home.
Seattle is 75-73 overall this season, putting them 2nd in the AL West. Currently, they trail the Astros by 4.5 games. This season, they have gone 23-18 in divisional games. The Mariners are 43-30 at home compared to 32-43 on the road.
The Mariners have dropped two straight games, and they are 54-47 as the favorite this season. As the home favorite, Seattle is 34-24 this year. So far, they have an overall series record of 19-23-4. Heading into game three vs. the Rangers, the series is tied 1-1.
Rangers vs. Mariners Prediction: Over/Under
The Texas Rangers are on the road today against the Seattle Mariners. The over/under line for the game is set at 6.5 runs. The Rangers have a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 68-75. The average over/under line for their games this year has been 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 6.5 runs, their record is 1-0. Their games have had over/under lines set at 6.5 runs in 99.3% of their games this season. The over has hit in their last three games.
For the season, the Rangers are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 23rd in the MLB. As a team, they are batting just .238 and have the 16th most home runs in the league. Texas’ offense has been led by Adolis Garcia and Corey Seager, who have 22 and 30 homers, respectively. Garcia is batting just .218 this season, while Seager comes in with a batting average of .278.
Marcus Semien has gone 7/26 in his last six games, including three homers and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting .238 with 21 homers. Nathaniel Lowe has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/19 in his last six games with two homers and seven RBIs. Lowe is currently on a three-game hitting streak.
Seattle is hosting Texas today, with the over/under line set at 6.5 runs. The Mariners and their opponents have averaged 7.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 68-71. The over/under line has been set at 6.5 runs for just nine of their games this year, with the over hitting in five of those contests. The over has hit in two straight games for Seattle.
Seattle’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 25th in the MLB. They are also near the bottom of the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. However, they do have the 4th fewest strikeouts in the league and have been good at drawing walks.
Cal Raleigh, Luke Raley, and Julio Rodriguez have all been swinging the bat well of late, with Raley and Rodriguez each having two homers in their last eight and nine games, respectively. Raley is batting .345 in this stretch, while Rodriguez is at .302. Raleigh has also gone deep twice in his last nine games, hitting .286 over this stretch. Arozarena is on a three-game hitting streak but is batting just .220 for the season.
Rangers vs. Mariners Prediction: Spread
When the Rangers win, they do so by an average of 3.4 runs per game, but when they lose, it’s by an average of 3.8 runs. Their overall run line record is 62-86, and they are 31-44 against the run line at home. As the underdog, they are 35-32 vs. the run line, compared to 27-54 as the favorite. The Rangers’ average run margin on the road is -1.1 runs per game, and their run line record on the road is 31-42.
Max Scherzer will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Cardinals, as he gets the start for the Rangers today vs. the Mariners. In that start vs. the Cardinals, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in four innings of work. Before that outing, he had pitched well, giving up a combined two earned runs in his previous two starts. Scherzer’s overall record is 2-4, and he has an ERA of 3.89. Out of his eight starts, he has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 8.69 strikeouts per nine innings.
Seattle is a team that has been a tough bet on the run line this season, as they are just 63-85. They have been a bit better at home, going 31-42. They have been favored in 101 games, going 40-61, and have been an underdog in 47 games, going 23-24. Their average run differential this season is +0.3 runs per game, and they have been outscored by 3.1 runs per game in their losses.
Seattle is sending right-hander Logan Gilbert to the mound today vs. the Rangers. Gilbert has made 29 starts this season and has a record of 7-11 with a 3.15 ERA. In his last outing, he took the loss, going eight innings and giving up two earned runs on 10 hits. Before that, he had put together three straight outings without giving up an earned run. Gilbert’s WHIP for the season is .88, and opponents are batting .189 off him this year. Gilbert has one complete game and 22 quality starts this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 9.26 strikeouts.
Rangers vs. Mariners Pick: Mariners ML -137
We see the Mariners taking this one at home with a final score of 5-4. With the money line payout sitting at -137, we see this as a great value pick. Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Max Scherzer picking up six strikeouts compared to Logan Gilbert with six.
Offensively, we have the Mariners finishing with 8 hits compared to the Rangers with 8. As for home runs, the Rangers are projected to finish with the third-fewest in the league, while the Mariners are 17th.
Another option would be to look at the starting pitcher’s win probability. Scherzer comes in with the eighth-best odds to pick up a win, while Gilbert is 16th.
