Rangers vs Diamondbacks Prediction & MLB Odds For Tuesday, September 10th
From Chase Field in Phoenix, we have the Rangers and Diamondbacks facing off in an interleague matchup. This one gets started at 9:40 PM ET, and the Diamondbacks are favored on the money line (-142). The Rangers have a money line odds of +120, and the over/under line is at 8 runs.
Texas comes in with a record of 70-74 and have won two straight, while the Diamondbacks are 80-64 overall and have Zac Gallen on the mound. Arizona will be facing off against a Rangers club that is starting Nathan Eovaldi. In the AL West, the Rangers are in 3rd place, while the Diamondbacks are 3rd in the NL West.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Rangers 1.5 (-182) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+149)
- Total: 8
- MoneyLine: Rangers +120 | Diamondbacks -142
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Rangers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Moneyline
Heading into their last game vs. the Angels, the Rangers closed out the series with a 7-4 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -178. Offensively, the Rangers scored their seven runs on nine hits and only three home runs.
Andrew Heaney put together a good start for the Rangers, going six innings and giving up just three runs on three hits. He also issued only one walk and struck out eight Angels batters. The Rangers’s offense was carried by Marcus Semien, who went json 2/5 with a homer and two RBIs.
Texas is 70-74 overall, putting them 3rd in the AL West, 7.5 games behind the Astros for the division lead. The Rangers head into today’s game having won two straight games, and they are 7-3 across their last 10. So far, they have gone 19-20 in divisional games.
At home, the Rangers are 41-34 this year, and they are 29-40 on the road. Texas has won three straight games as the road underdog and they are 16-29 in these situations this year. The Rangers’ overall series record is 20-25-1 and they have won four straight series.
Pavin Smith had a huge game for the Diamondbacks in their 12-6 win over the Astros to close out their series. Smith went 3/4 with three homers and eight RBIs. The Diamondbacks really broke things open with a three-run 2nd inning and added another three runs in the 3rd.
Ryne Nelson got the start for the Diamondbacks, going 4 2/3 innings, and took the win. He also had a big day at the plate, going 4/5 with a homer and two RBIs.
Arizona is 80-64 overall and trails the Dodgers by six games in the NL West. The Diamondbacks are 25-18 against other teams in the division. Arizona will host the Rangers today with an overall record of 39-31 at home this season.
Looking at how they have fared as the favorite, the Diamondbacks are 45-26 and 35-38 as the underdog. They come into this one having won three straight games as the favorite. Arizona’s overall series record is 25-17-4, and they dropped their most recent series vs. the Astros.
Rangers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Over/Under
The Texas Rangers are on the road today against the Arizona Diamondbacks, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Rangers games this season is 8.7 runs, and their over/under record is 65-74. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, the Rangers have an 8-15-2 record. This season, 68.8% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, and their current streak of games going over the total is at 2.
Corey Seager has been a bright spot for the Rangers this season, as he is batting .278 with a league-leading 30 homers. He also leads the team with 74 RBIs. Marcus Semien is on a five-game hitting streak and is batting .238 for the season, with 19 homers, which is 3rd on the team. Adolis Garcia is also near the top of the Rangers’ home run leaderboard, but he has struggled with a batting average of just .218.
As a team, the Rangers are 22nd in scoring at 4.2 runs per game. They have been slightly better on the road, averaging 4.3 runs per contest. Collectively, the Rangers are batting just .239, which is 16th in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .306 is also below the league average.
The Diamondbacks have played in 70.1% of their games with an over/under line set at 8 runs or higher, and their games have averaged 10.3 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 83-54, and their games have gone over the line in 11 of the 18 games that have had a line set at 8 runs. Their current over streak is at three games.
Not only are the Diamondbacks the top-scoring team in the league this season at 5.4 runs per game, but they also have the best on-base percentage and OPS in the league. They are also the league’s best home run hitting team and have the 2nd best team batting average. Arizona’s offense is led by Ketel Marte, who is 11th in the league with 30 homers and is batting .293 for the season. Eugenio Suarez has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 14/31 with five homers over his last eight games.
Arizona’s lineup also features Lourdes Gurriel Jr., who is 7th in the league with 17 homers and is batting .274 for the season. He is 4th on the team with 70 RBIs. Overall, Suarez leads the Diamondbacks with 90 RBIs, which is 8th in the league.
Rangers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Spread
When the Rangers win, they win big. Their average run margin in victories is +3.4, while their average run margin in losses is -3.8. Their overall run line record is 61-83, and they are 30-39 on the run line on the road. They have covered the run line in two straight games as the underdog.
Nathan Eovaldi has been pitching well lately, as he has picked up the win in each of his last three outings. Most recently, he faced the Yankees and got the win, going seven innings and giving up just two earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Eovaldi has made 25 starts and has a record of 11-7. His ERA for the season is 3.55, along with a WHIP of 1.06. Opposing batters are hitting .218 off Eovaldi this year. The right-hander has turned in 14 quality starts and is averaging 8.82 strikeouts per nine innings.
Arizona has been a strong play on the run line this season, going 75-69 overall. They have been especially strong as the underdog, going 45-28. Their average run margin is +0.6 runs per game, and they have a run line win streak as the favorite.
Zac Gallen will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. Against the Giants on September 4th, he went six innings, giving up just four hits and two walks. Looking back further, Gallen has made 24 starts and has a record of 11-6. His ERA for the season is 3.69, along with a WHIP of 1.28. Opposing batters are hitting .234 off Gallen this season. Out of his 24 starts, Gallen has 11 quality starts and is averaging 8.93 strikeouts per nine innings.
Rangers vs. Diamondbacks Pick: Diamondbacks ML -142
With the Diamondbacks at -142 on the money line, this is the best way to play this one. We have the Diamondbacks taking this one 6-5, giving us a little wiggle room with the over/under sitting at 8 runs.
Looking at some potential player props, Zac Gallen is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is good for eighth among starters. As for Nathan Eovaldi, he is projected to finish with six K’s, which has him right in the middle of the pack.