Rangers vs Angels Prediction & MLB Odds For Saturday, September 28th
From Angel Stadium of Anaheim in Anaheim, we have the Rangers and Angels facing off in an AL West matchup. This one is getting started at 9:38 PM ET and is being televised by BSSW. The Angels are looking to snap a four-game losing streak and are 5th in the AL West with a record of 63-97, while the Rangers are favored on the money line (-145) and are 3rd in the AL West at 76-84.
The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and tonight’s pitching matchup features Andrew Heaney for the Angels and Griffin Canning for the Rangers. Heaney is 4-6 with a 4.32 ERA, while Canning has a record of 5-9 and an ERA of 4.81.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Rangers -1.5 (+112) | Angels 1.5 (-134)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Rangers -145 | Angels +124
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Rangers vs. Angels Prediction: Moneyline
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Rangers vs Angels series. Texas went into the matchup as -164 favorites and squeaked out a 5-2 win. The Rangers offense only had four more hits than the Angels and struck out 14 times.
Angels starter Reid Detmers went just five innings but gave up just four hits and struck out 12. He allowed three earned runs and took the loss. Jacob deGrom only went four innings for the Rangers but gave up just one hit and one earned run.
Texas got a big performance from Marcus Semien, as he went 3/5 with a home run and two RBIs. Carson Kelly also had a three-hit game and drove in a run. Wyatt Langford scored twice for the Rangers while going 1/4.
Texas is 76-84 overall, and they are 11 games behind the Astros in the AL West. So far, they have gone 23-27 against other teams in the AL West. The Rangers are currently on a two-series losing streak, and their overall series record is 20-29-1 this year.
At home, the Rangers have gone 44-37 this year, and they are just 32-47 on the road. As the favorite, Texas is 50-37 this year and 26-47 as the underdog. They have an overall record of 5-5 heading into today’s game.
With a record of 63-97, the Angels are 5th in the AL West and trail the Astros by 24 games. Currently, they are 6 games behind the Athletics for 4th place in the division. The Angels have dropped four straight games, and they are 3-7 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Angels are 32-47 compared to 31-50 on the road. So far, they have really struggled as the favorite, going just 8-19 this year. As the underdog, the Angels are 55-78, and they are 24-36 as the home underdog this year. The Angels’ overall series record is 14-33-3, and they have lost two straight series.
Rangers vs. Angels Prediction: Over/Under
When the Texas Rangers are on the road, the over/under line is typically set at 8 runs per game. This season, the over/under record for the Rangers is 75-80, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game. The over/under record for games with a line of 8.5 runs is 26-29, and 28.7% of their games have had lines set at 8.5 runs. Currently, the Rangers are on a three-game under streak.
Adolis García comes into the game with a team-high 85 RBIs and 25 home runs but is batting just .224 for the season. However, he has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/29 in his last seven games with two homers. Corey Seager is also near the top of the Rangers home run leaderboard, with 30 long balls, and is batting .278 for the season.
As a team, the Rangers are 21st in the league in scoring at 4.2 runs per game. They are also just 12th in team batting average (.237) and have an on-base percentage of just .304 (17th). Overall, they are 15th in home runs and have been striking out at a good rate this season.
The Angels are playing at home today against the Texas Rangers, with the Over/Under line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Angels games this season is 8.8 runs, and their Over/Under record is 75-79. When the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, the Angels have a record of 30-29. So far this season, 51 of their games have had O/U lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 31.9% of their games. Their current Under streak is at 4 games.
Over his last eight games, Jack López has been on fire for the Angels, hitting .478 with a home run and four RBIs. Zach Neto has also been swinging a hot bat, going 8/29 in his last seven games, including two homers and six RBIs. Neto’s 23 homers are 2nd on the team, and he is also the team’s leader in RBIs, with 77. Taylor Ward has 25 homers, which is the most on the team, and his 74 RBIs are the 2nd most.
As a team, the Angels are just 27th in the league in runs scored, averaging 3.9 runs per game. This is also their home and road splits. Overall, they are batting just .229 and have a collective on-base percentage of .301. Both of these figures are in the bottom half of the league.
Rangers vs. Angels Prediction: Spread
When the Rangers win, they win big, with an average run margin of +3.4 runs in those games. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.8 runs in those games. Texas has a run line record of 69-91 on the season, with a 35-44 mark on the road. They’ve covered the run line in three straight games and are 39-34 against the run line as the underdog.
Left-hander Andrew Heaney gets the start for the Rangers today as he faces the Angels on the road. He has made 30 starts this season and has a record of 5-14 with a 3.98 ERA. Heaney’s WHIP for the season is 1.22, and opponents are batting .241 off him this year. In his last outing, Heaney finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Heaney has given up at least one homer in each of his last three outings.
When betting the run line on the Angels, it’s been a good idea to take them as the underdog, as they have covered at a 53.4% clip in those games. They have been a favorite 27% of the time, and have covered just 22.2% of those games. Their overall run line record is 77-83, and their average run differential is -1.0 runs per game.
Griffin Canning will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he gave up four earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. In that outing vs. the Astros, he gave up three home runs. Canning finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had picked up the win in two straight starts. Canning’s record for the season is 6-13, and his ERA is 5.24. Opposing batters are hitting .261 off Canning this year. For the season, he has made 30 starts, seven of which were quality starts. Per nine innings, Canning is averaging 6.8 strikeouts and 3.46 walks.
Rangers vs. Angels Pick: Angels ML +124
Getting the Angels at +124 at home is a great value, and we have them winning this one by a score of 6-5. If you’re looking to take the over/under, we would go with the over at 8.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Andrew Heaney is projected to pick up seven strikeouts compared to Griffin Canning at five. However, Canning is projected to go just five innings, while Heaney is projected to go six.
