Pirates vs Yankees Prediction & MLB Odds For Sunday, September 29th
First pitch for Sunday’s matchup between the Pirates and Yankees is set for 3:05 PM ET from Yankee Stadium in New York, NY. There does appear to be a chance of rain in the forecast in New York, with temperatures expected to be in the mid-60s.
New York is the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -193 compared to the Pirates at +162. Sunday’s over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and Clarke Schmidt will be on the mound for the Yankees. The Pirates are starting Bailey Falter, and they are 76-85, putting them 4th in the NL Central. New York is 93-68 and is 1st in the AL East. YES will be televising Sunday’s game.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Pirates 1.5 (-132) | Yankees -1.5 (+110)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Pirates +162 | Yankees -193
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Pirates vs. Yankees Prediction: Moneyline
Pittsburgh cruised to a 9-4 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates had a huge 5th inning, scoring two more runs than they did in the other eight innings combined. As for the Yankees, they scored their four runs in the 6th and 7th innings.
Mike Burrows got the win for the Pirates out of the bullpen, while Aroldis Chapman got the save. Luis Gil had a rough outing for the Yankees, taking the loss.
Yasmani Grandal and Nick Yorke each homered for the Pirates, while Jared Triolo scored three times and drove in two runs while going 1/4. Billy Cook also had a two RBI game at the plate.
Pittsburgh is 76-85 overall and leads the Yankees 2-0 in their series heading into today’s road matchup. The Pirates are 4th in the NL Central, and they trail the Brewers by 17 games in the division. So far, they have gone 25-27 in divisional games.
As the road team, the Pirates are 37-43 this season compared to 39-42 at home. Pittsburgh has won two straight games, and they are 5-5 across their last 10. The Pirates have dropped four straight series and are 20-25-6 in series this year.
The Yankees are 1st in the AL East, leading the Orioles by three games. Overall, the Yankees are 93-68 heading into their final game of the season. The Yankees have dropped two straight games, and this season, they are 26-26 in divisional games.
New York has an overall series record of 30-17-4 this season. As the favorite, the Yankees are 75-60 this year, and they are 18-8 when favored. At home, the Yankees have gone 43-37 this year and 50-31 on the road.
Pirates vs. Yankees Prediction: Over/Under
The Pirates are on the road against the Yankees today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.7 runs, and their over/under record is 77-82. When the line has been set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 31-23. So far this season, 24 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 14.9% of their games.
Bryan Reynolds has been a bright spot for the Pirates this season, leading the team in batting average (.276) and RBIs (88). He also has a team-high 24 home runs. However, he has gone just 5/22 in his last six games. Oneil Cruz and Bryan De La Cruz are also near the top of the Pirates’ home run and RBI leaderboards, with 21 homers and 76 RBIs for Cruz and 21 homers and 68 RBIs for De La Cruz.
As a team, the Pirates are 24th in scoring at 4.1 runs per game. They have been even worse in terms of home runs, as their 160 homers are 22nd in the league. Pittsburgh’s team batting average is just .235, which is 16th in the league. Currently, Bryan Reynolds and Nick Gonzales are both on three-game hitting streaks.
Today’s over/under line for the New York Yankees game against the Pittsburgh Pirates is set at 8.5 runs. The Yankees have a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game this season and have an over/under record of 85-71. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 33-23. In total, 52 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 32.3% of their games this season.
Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are the top home run hitting team in the league and are 3rd in runs per game at 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .248 as a team, which is 8th in the league. Aaron Judge has been a big part of their offense this season, as he is batting .322 with a league-leading 144 RBIs and 58 home runs. He has also been hot of late, going 9/26 in his last eight games with five homers.
Not only is Judge leading the league in homers, but Juan Soto is also near the top of the league in homers, as he is 4th in the league with 41 long balls. Soto is also 5th in the league in RBIs, as he has driven in 109 runs this season. Soto is also on a five-game hitting streak.
Pirates vs. Yankees Prediction: Spread
The Pirates have been a solid bet against the run line on the road this season, going 47-33. They have covered the run line in three straight road games and are 62-37 as an underdog. The Pirates’ average run margin in winning games is +3.1, while it’s -3.6 in losing games.
Bailey Falter gets the start for the Pirates today and is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Brewers. In that start, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Looking back over his last three outings, Falter has given up at least two earned runs in each. One positive note is that he has made eight quality starts this year and is averaging 6.27 strikeouts per nine innings. Falter’s ERA for the season is 4.26, along with a record of 8-9. For the year, he has allowed 16 homers and is walking just 2.71 batters per nine innings.
When the Yankees are favored, they are 61-74 against the run line. They are 22-4 against the run line as an underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is 4.1, and their average run margin in losing games is -3.5. Their overall run line record is 83-78, with a run line record of 34-46 at home and 49-32 on the road. Their average run margin for the season is +0.9 runs per game.
Right-hander Clarke Schmidt gets the start for the Yankees today as he faces off against the Pirates at home. Schmidt has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 5-5 with a 2.54 ERA. Coming into the game, his WHIP is 1.16, and opponents have a batting average of .221 this season. Schmidt’s last outing came on September 24th, where he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight outings. Schmidt has made two quality starts this season.
Pirates vs. Yankees Pick: Over 8.5 Runs -104
The best way to play this Pirates vs. Yankees matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. Our predicted score is 5-4 in favor of the Yankees, giving us some wiggle room on the over/under line.
If you’re looking for a money line pick, the payout for a Yankees win is -193, and we do like their chances of picking up a win. Looking at the starting pitchers, Clarke Schmidt is projected to go six innings, while Bailey Falter is projected to go five.
