Pirates vs Yankees Prediction & MLB Odds For Friday, September 27th
New York comes into this one with a record of 93-66 and is sending Carlos Rodon to the mound vs. a Pirates club that is 74-85 and starting Jared Jones. The Yankees are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -180 compared to the Pirates at +152. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 7:05 PM ET, and SN PT will be televising this interleague matchup.
The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the forecast for Friday’s game in New York is 73 degrees with overcast skies. The Yankees are currently in first place in the AL East, while the Pirates are 5th in the NL Central.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Pirates 1.5 (-135) | Yankees -1.5 (+112)
- Total: 8
- MoneyLine: Pirates +152 | Yankees -180
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Pirates vs. Yankees Prediction: Moneyline
Pittsburgh is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 5-2 loss to Milwaukee, Bryan De La Cruz went 1/4 with a homer, and Mitch Keller pitched well, going five innings and giving up just three runs on six hits. The Pirates also got a big game from Nick Gonzales, going 2/2 with a run scored.
Mitch Keller will be looking to get back on track, as he’s taken the loss in each of his last three starts. He’s also issued seven walks in those three starts. The Pirates offense has scored a total of six runs in their last four games, so they’ll need to be better in that area as well.
Pittsburgh is 5th in the NL Central, two games behind the Reds for 4th place. Currently, they are 17 games behind the Brewers for the division lead. The Pirates are 74-85 overall and have gone 25-27 against other teams in the NL Central.
As the Pirates kick off their series vs. the Yankees, they are coming off losing two of three to the Brewers. Over the last 10 games, they have gone just 3-7. This season, the Pirates have gone 39-42 at home compared to 35-43 on the road. So far, they have really struggled as the underdog, going 40-57. As for their record as the favorite, the Pirates are 34-28.
Gerrit Cole will be on the mound for the Yankees as they close out their series vs. the Orioles. New York is coming off a big 10-1 win, and Cole was excellent, going 6 2/3 innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out five Orioles batters. The Yankees’s offense was carried by Giancarlo Stanton, who went 2/4 with a homer and four RBIs.
The Yankees really broke things open with a six-run 6th inning. Looking at the betting lines going into the game, the Yankees were at -166 at home.
The Yankees are 93-66 overall this season, good for a five-game lead over the Orioles in the AL East. New York will host the Pirates today, and they are 43-35 at home this season. They have been really good on the road, going 50-31.
This year, the Yankees have been really good as the favorite, going 75-58, and they are 18-8 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 30-17-4, and they have won three straight series on the road. Their series vs. the Orioles, the Yankees dropped two of three games.
Pirates vs. Yankees Prediction: Over/Under
The Pittsburgh Pirates have an over/under record of 76-81 on the season, and the combined run average in their games is 8.6. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 17-20. Overall, 49.1% of their games have had over/under lines set at over 8 runs, and in their last two games, the under has hit.
So far this season, the Pirates have been one of the league’s worst offensive teams, averaging just 4.1 runs per game (24th) and batting a collective .235 (18th). They have also struggled in the power department, as their 152 home runs is 22nd in the MLB. One bright spot for the team has been their batting average on balls in play, as their .29 mark is 10th in the league.
Oneil Cruz and Bryan De La Cruz are tied for 2nd on the team with 21 homers apiece, with Bryan Reynolds leading the way with 22 long balls. Reynolds also has a team-high 85 RBIs and is batting .275. Oneil Cruz is batting .263 for the season but has gone just 4/24 in his last seven games.
Today’s over/under line is 8 runs, which is lower than the Yankees’ average over/under line of 9 runs. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 84-70. When the line has been set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 12-16-2. The over has hit in two straight games for the Yankees.
Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they are also the top-scoring offense in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. As a team, the Yankees are batting .249, which is 8th in the league, and have an on-base percentage of .333, which is the 2nd best mark in the MLB.
Aaron Judge has been on a tear of late, going 8/18 with five homers over his last six games. For the season, he is batting .325 and leads the league with 144 RBIs. Juan Soto is also having a great season for the Yankees, as he is batting .288 with 41 homers.
Pirates vs. Yankees Prediction: Spread
The Pittsburgh Pirates have been a solid run line team this season, going 84-75 overall. They are 45-33 against the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of -0.4 runs per game. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 60-37, compared to 24-38 as the favorite.
Pittsburgh is sending right-hander Jared Jones to the mound today vs. the Yankees. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 6-8 with an ERA of 4.14. Jones’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.18. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in five innings of work vs. the Reds. Looking back over his last four starts, Jones has finished with a no-decision in three of them. The right-hander has allowed at least one homer in three straight outings.
When betting the run line on the Yankees, it’s been more profitable to take them on the road than at home. New York is 49-32 vs. the run line on the road, compared to just 34-44 at home. The Yankees have an average run margin of 1.0 this season, but that number jumps to 1.4 on the road. They have been favored in 133 of their 159 games, going 61-72 vs. the run line as the favorite.
Carlos Rodón gets the start for the Yankees today and comes into the game with a record of 16-9 and an ERA of 3.98. Looking at his overall numbers, Rodón has made 31 starts, and opponents are batting .227 this season. In his 31 appearances, Rodón has turned in 16 quality starts and is averaging 10.08 strikeouts per nine innings. Rodón’s most recent outing came on September 21st, where he picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He has won each of his last two starts.
Pirates vs. Yankees Pick: Over 8 Runs -117
Our prediction for today’s Pirates vs. Yankees game is to take the over, with the line being set at 8 runs. We see the Yankees coming out on top by a score of 5-4, giving us some room to spare if you want to take the over/under.
If you’re looking for a money line pick, the payout for a Yankees win is -180, and we see this as a safe bet. Looking at the starting pitchers, Carlos Rodón is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, while Jared Jones is predicted to finish with four.
