Phillies vs Marlins Prediction & MLB Odds For Thursday, September 5th

Thursday’s matchup between the Phillies and Marlins is set for 6:40 PM ET from loanDepot Park in Miami. The Phillies are 83-56 and they have won four straight, putting them in 1st place in the NL East. The Marlins are 52-87 and Adam Oller is set to start vs. a Phillies team that is starting Ranger Suarez.

Philadelphia is the heavy favorite on the money line, as they are listed at -229 compared to the Marlins at +188. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and this game can be seen on MLBN.

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Phillies -1.5 (-134) | Marlins 1.5 (+110)
• Total: 8
• MoneyLine: Phillies -229 | Marlins +188

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction: Moneyline

Heading into their last game vs. the Blue Jays, the Phillies closed out the series with a 4-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -127 on the money line. It was a big 1st inning for the Phillies, as they got on the board with three runs and added another run in the 2nd to take a 4-0 lead. The Blue Jays could only score two runs, both of which came in the bottom of the 1st.

Cristopher Sanchez put together a good start for the Phillies, going seven innings and giving up just two runs on six hits. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

At 83-56, the Phillies lead the NL East by seven games over the Braves. They have won four straight games, and this season, they are 23-15 against other teams in the NL East. The Phillies have been really good at home, going 47-25, and they are above .500 on the road as well, entering today’s game with a 36-31 road record.

Philadelphia has been favored in 111 of their games, and they have a record of 70-41 in those games. As for playing as the underdog, they are 13-15 this season. The Phillies have won four straight on the road, and they are 24-19 as the road favorite this season. The Phillies’ overall series record is 24-16-6, and they have won four straight series.

Miami is coming off a game in which they closed out their series vs. the Nationals with a 4-3 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +123 on the money line. It was a good start for the Marlins, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning and added another run in the 2nd.

Valente Bellozo put together a good start for the Marlins, going six innings and not giving up a run. He only had one strikeout in the outing and issued just two walks. The Marlins’s offense was carried by Xavier Edwards, who went 2/5 with a run scored and drove in the team’s other three runs with a triple.

Miami is 52-87 overall, putting them 5th in the NL East, 31 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 14-27 in divisional matchups. The Marlins have been good as the underdog overall, going 48-73, and they have won three straight as the underdog.

At home, the Marlins are 26-45 this year compared to 26-42 on the road. Miami’s series record is 11-25-8 this year, and they split their most recent series vs. the Nationals. Heading into today’s game, the Marlins have gone 6-4 over their last 10.

Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction: Over/Under

When the Phillies are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 64-68, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs. When the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 17-16-1. This season, 48.9% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs, while 26.6% have had lines set below 8 runs.

So far this season, the Phillies are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, the Phillies are 4th in team batting average at .258 and have the league’s 8th best home run total. Heading into the game, Kyle Schwarber is on a three-game hitting streak and has gone 11/41 with four homers over his last 10 games. Bryce Harper is also swinging a hot bat, going 13/34 in his last 10 games.

Harper is 2nd on the Phillies with 26 homers and is batting .282 for the season. Schwarber leads the team with 32 homers and has a batting average of .248. Alec Bohm is batting .290 for the season and is 10th in the league with 89 RBIs.

The Miami Marlins have played 73 games with an over/under line set higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 52.5% of their games this season. The over/under record for Miami games this season is 75-60, and their games have averaged a combined 8.9 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, Miami’s record is 17-10-2. The under has hit in their last two games.

Over his last four games, Jake Burger has gone 4/16 with one home run and two RBIs. Burger is the Marlins’ top power threat this season, as he is 15th in the league with 25 homers and has driven in a team-high 60 runs. Jesús Sánchez is right behind him in terms of home runs, with 17, and is also 2nd on the team with 57 RBIs.

As a team, the Marlins are 29th in the league in runs scored, averaging just 3.8 runs per game. Their team batting average of .240 is 14th in the league, and they have been pretty good at avoiding strikeouts this season. However, they are the league’s worst team in terms of drawing walks.

Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction: Spread

Philadelphia has been a solid bet against the run line on the road this season, with a 35-32 record. The Phillies have covered the run line in four straight road games and have a run line record of 33-39 at home. Philadelphia’s average run margin in winning games is 3.9, while it’s -3.7 in losing games.

Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Marlins on the road. So far this season, he has made 22 starts and has a record of 11-6. Suárez’s ERA is currently 3.02, along with a WHIP of 1.07. In his 22 appearances, he has one complete game shutout and 11 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Suárez took the loss, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The left-hander’s ERA on the road is 3.05 compared to 3.57 at home.

When betting the run line, the Marlins have been a better play on the road than at home, going 35-33 versus 30-41. They have been a good bet as an underdog, going 63-58 on the run line. The run line has hit in three straight games when the Marlins have been the underdog.

Adam Oller will be on the mound for the Marlins today as they take on the Phillies. Oller has made 3 starts this season and is coming off a strong outing against the Giants, where he went 6 innings and struck out 8 batters. He picked up a win in his first start of the year, but took the loss in the outing before that.

Phillies vs. Marlins Pick: Marlins ML +188

Our predicted score for this Phillies vs. Marlins matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Marlins. With the Marlins being the underdog at +188, we see this as a great payout for a team that we have winning the game.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Adam Oller finishing with six strikeouts, which would have him as the seventh highest among starting pitchers. As for Ranger Suarez, we have him finishing with six strikeouts, which would have him as the 10th highest among starters.