Phillies vs Marlins Prediction & MLB Odds For Friday, September 6th
The Phillies are heavy favorites heading into Friday’s matchup vs. the Marlins, with money line odds of -231 compared to the Marlins at +191. The over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs, and this one is being televised on BSFL.
First pitch from loanDepot Park in Miami is set for 7:10 PM ET, and the Phillies will be looking to keep their winning streak alive, as they have won five straight. The Marlins are 52-88, putting them 5th in the NL East. Edward Cabrera is starting for Miami, and he is facing Zack Wheeler for the Phillies.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Phillies -1.5 (-132) | Marlins 1.5 (+109)
- Total: 7.5
- MoneyLine: Phillies -231 | Marlins +191
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction: Moneyline
Philadelphia picked up a 5-2 road win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 6th inning, scoring four of their five runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their only two runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -237 on the money line.
Ranger Suarez started for the Phillies and picked up the win, going five innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with just two strikeouts and allowed two walks. Adam Oller got the start for the Marlins and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work.
Bryson Stott and Kody Clemens each had two RBIs for the Phillies’ offense. Stott, Andrew McCutchen, and Jean Segura each scored two runs. As for the Marlins, Nick Fortes went 2/3 with two RBIs.
Philadelphia is on a five-game winning streak, and they lead the NL East with an overall record of 84-56. The Phillies hold an eight-game lead over the Mets in the division. So far, they have gone 24-15 against other teams in the NL East.
At home, the Phillies have been very good, going 47-25 this season. On the road, they are 37-31, and they have won five straight road games. As the favorite, the Phillies are 71-41 this year, and they are 25-19 when favored on the road. Philadelphia’s overall series record is 24-16-6, and they have won four straight series overall and two straight on the road.
Miami is 52-88 overall, putting them 5th in the NL East, 32 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 14-28 against other NL East teams. The Marlins dropped the first game of this series vs. the Phillies.
At home, the Marlins are 26-46 this season compared to 26-42 on the road. So far, they have really struggled as the favorite, going just 4-14. As the underdog, the Marlins are 48-74 this year. This season, their series record is 11-25-8, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games overall.
Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction: Over/Under
The Phillies have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 8.9 runs per game. Their over/under record is 64-69, and when the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, they have gone 11-14. The over/under line for today’s game against the Marlins is set at 7.5 runs, and the under has hit in their last two games.
Heading into today’s game, the Phillies are 6th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are the 4th best hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .258. Philadelphia also has a good team on-base percentage, and they are 8th in the league in home runs.
Kyle Schwarber and Alec Bohm have been the Phillies’ top power threats this season, as Schwarber’s 32 homers are 1st on the team and 10th in the MLB, while Bohm has 13 homers. Bryce Harper is also a big threat in the lineup, as he is batting .280 and has gone deep 26 times this season. Schwarber has been hot of late, going 10/37 with four homers over his last nine games.
The Miami Marlins have played to the over in 75 of their 136 games this season, including 20 of 28 when the over/under line was set at 7.5 runs. The Marlins have the highest combined run average in the majors at 8.9 runs per game, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. Miami has hit the over in three straight games, and their games have had an over/under line of 7.5 runs in 73.6% of their contests this year.
As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 29th in the majors. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and walks. Miami is batting .240 for the season and has an on-base percentage of just .296. However, they do have a few hitters who have been swinging the bat well of late, as Jesús Sánchez is on a five-game hitting streak, and Jake Burger has gone deep twice in his past four games.
Jake Burger has been a bright spot for the Marlins this season, as he is hitting .247 with a team-high 25 home runs and 60 RBIs. Jesús Sánchez is right behind him in the home run department, with 17 long balls of his own. Sánchez also has the team’s second-best batting average at .246.
Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction: Spread
When the Phillies are on the road this season, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 36-32. They have won five straight games against the run line on the road and have covered the run line in two straight games when favored. Overall, their average run margin is +0.8, but it jumps to +1.2 when they are at home.
Right-hander Zack Wheeler gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Marlins on the road. Wheeler has made 27 starts this year and has a record of 13-6 with a 2.63 ERA. So far, he has turned in 21 quality starts and is averaging 9.82 strikeouts per nine innings. Wheeler’s WHIP for the season is .98. In his last outing, he didn’t allow a run in seven innings of work, picking up the win. Before that, he had given up two earned runs in three straight starts. Wheeler has done a better job of keeping the ball in the park at home, with 17 homers allowed compared to six on the road.
When the Marlins win, they do so by an average of 2.7 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.8 runs per game. The Marlins have been an underdog in 122 of their games this season, and they have covered the run line in 63 of those games.
Miami is sending Edward Cabrera to the mound today vs. the Phillies, and he comes into the game with a record of 3-6 and an ERA of 5.33. In his 16 starts, Cabrera has pitched three quality starts and is averaging 9.95 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he pitched, he picked up the win, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up one earned run. Before that outing, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Cabrera has been hit hard at times, as he has allowed at least two homers in four of his past six starts.
Phillies vs. Marlins Pick: Marlins ML +191
Our prediction for this Phillies vs. Marlins matchup is to take the Marlins on the money line, where they are currently sitting at +191. With this payout, you could also look to take the Marlins on the run line, as we have them winning by a score of 5-4.
If you are looking for a starting pitcher to have a big day, we do have Zack Wheeler finishing with more strikeouts than Edward Cabrera. Wheeler is projected to finish with seven K’s, while Cabrera is predicted to finish with six.
