Phillies vs Brewers Prediction & MLB Odds For Wednesday, September 18th

Wednesday’s matchup between the Phillies and Brewers is set for 7:40 PM ET from American Family Field in Milwaukee. The Phillies are the favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at +101 compared to the Brewers at -119. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.

Philadelphia leads the NL East with a record of 91-60, while the Brewers are 1st in the NL Central at 87-64. MLBN will be televising this game.

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Phillies -1.5 (+169) | Brewers 1.5 (-216)
• Total: 8
• MoneyLine: Phillies +101 | Brewers -119

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Phillies vs. Brewers Prediction: Moneyline

Philadelphia cruised to a 5-1 win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 2nd inning, scoring four of their five runs. As for the Brewers, they scored their only run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -141 on the money line.

Zack Wheeler pitched well for the Phillies in this one, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but didn’t issue a walk. On the other side, Frankie Montas got the start for the Brewers, going just 5 2/3 innings and giving up three runs.

At the plate, Bryce Harper and Nick Castellanos each homered for the Phillies. Harper, Trea Turner, and Kyle Schwarber each had two RBIs. Turner went 3/5 with a stolen base.

With an overall record of 91-60, the Phillies lead the Mets by eight games for the NL East lead. The Phillies are 27-18 in divisional games this season and are currently on a two-series winning streak. This year, they have been really good at home, going 52-26, and they have gone 39-34 on the road.

As the favorite, the Phillies have been good, putting together a record of 78-45 this season. They are also 27-22 as the favorite on the road. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 27-16-7.

Milwaukee is 87-64 overall and leads the NL Central by ten games over the Cubs. The Brewers are 30-19 against other teams in the NL Central. They are at home today, where they are 43-30 this year. Milwaukee has been good on the road, putting together a record of 44-34.

So far, the Brewers have been good as the favorite, going 50-36, and they are 37-28 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 27-17-4, and they have won two straight series. At home, the Brewers have dropped two straight series.

Phillies vs. Brewers Prediction: Over/Under

The Philadelphia Phillies have an over/under record of 70-73 this season, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 17-18-2. Overall, 48.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 or higher, with 73 games having higher lines and 41 games having lower lines.

Philadelphia comes into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 5th in the MLB. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per game. The Phillies are also among the league leaders in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. As a team, they have the 2nd best home run total in the league and have the 4th best OPS in the league.

Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been two of the league’s top power hitters this season, as Schwarber’s 35 homers are 7th in the league and Harper’s 29 is 13th. Schwarber also comes into the game with the 10th most RBIs in the league, while Harper is 3rd on the team with 84 RBIs. Harper has been hot of late, going 10/28 in his last seven games with three homers.

When the Milwaukee Brewers play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The average combined run total in their games this season is 8.8 runs. Overall, the over/under record for the Brewers is 77-64, and when the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 11-11-5. The majority of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, with 54.3% of their games having higher lines.

William Contreras and Willy Adames have been two of the Brewers’ top power threats this season, with Contreras having 22 homers and Adames at 32. Adames’ 109 RBIs is 3rd in the league, while Contreras is 2nd on the team at 90. Adames has been in a bit of a slump of late, batting just .207 over his last eight games, while Contreras has gone 7/22 in his last seven games.

As a team, the Brewers are 4th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run hitting clubs and are batting a collective .250.

Phillies vs. Brewers Prediction: Spread

When betting the run line on the Phillies, it’s been a better proposition to take them on the road, where they are 38-35 on the run line compared to 35-43 at home. Their run line record overall is 73-78, with an average run differential of +0.8 runs per game. They have been favored in 123 games, going 58-65 on the run line, and have been underdogs in 28 games, going 15-13.

Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Brewers on the road. Nola has made 30 starts this season and has a record of 12-8 with a 3.62 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Nola has a WHIP of 1.20 and has turned in 18 quality starts. Nola’s most recent outing didn’t go well, as he took the loss and gave up six earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had given up two homers in back-to-back starts. Nola will be looking to get back on track today.

The Brewers have been a solid team to bet on the run line with a 78-73 record, and they have been especially good on the road, going 43-35. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 44-21, compared to 34-52 as the favorite. Their average run margin is +0.9, and they have a +0.7 run margin at home.

Freddy Peralta will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in five innings of work. In that outing vs. the Diamondbacks, he only gave up four hits and issued four walks. Looking back further, Peralta has turned in a quality start in three of his last four outings. For the season, he has a total of 11 quality starts and is averaging 10.14 strikeouts per nine innings. Peralta’s ERA for the season is 3.75, along with a record of 11-8. At home, his ERA is 4.27 compared to 3.73 on the road.

Phillies vs. Brewers Pick: Brewers ML -119

Our prediction for today’s Phillies vs. Brewers matchup is to take the Brewers on the money line at -119. We have the Brewers winning this one by a score of 5-4. With the over/under sitting at 8 runs, there isn’t a ton of wiggle room, but we do have this one going over.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Freddy Peralta finishing with seven strikeouts compared to Aaron Nola with six. Peralta is also projected to go six innings, while Nola is projected to go six as well.