Phillies vs Brewers Prediction & MLB Odds For Monday, September 16th

At 7:40 PM ET, the Phillies and Brewers square off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Phillies are currently on a two-game winning streak. They are 90-59 and first in the NL East, while the Brewers lead the NL Central with a record of 86-63.

Monday’s money line odds have the Phillies at -119 compared to the Brewers at +101. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and BSWI will be televising this one. Aaron Civale will start for the Brewers, while the Phillies are sending Ranger Suarez to the mound.

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Phillies -1.5 (+142) | Brewers 1.5 (-171)
• Total: 8
• MoneyLine: Phillies -119 | Brewers +101

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Phillies vs. Brewers Prediction: Moneyline

The Phillies’s offense was carried by Cristopher Sánchez in their most recent game vs. the Mets. He went seven innings, giving up just one run on six hits and issued only one walk. Sánchez also struck out seven Mets batters. However, the Phillies needed a run from José Ruiz in the 8th inning to pick up the 2-1 win. Ruiz also closed things out in the 9th for Philadelphia.

Philadelphia’s other run came in the 4th inning. They loaded the bases with no outs and got on the board with a run-scoring single. The Mets tied things up in the 8th with a run, but Ruiz was able to close things out and pick up the save.

Heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Brewers, the Phillies lead the NL East by nine games over the Mets. The Phillies are 90-59 overall, and they have won two straight games, and they closed out their series vs. the Mets with a win. This season, they are 27-18 in divisional games.

At home, the Phillies have gone 52-26 this season, and they are above .500 at 38-33 on the road. As the favorite, the Phillies are 77-44 this season and 13-15 as the underdog. The Phillies have an overall series record of 27-16-7 and have won two straight series.

Milwaukee’s last game came in their 11-10 loss to the Diamondbacks. This was especially tough, as the Brewers held a lead going into the bottom of the 10th before the Diamondbacks scored three runs in the 10th to pick up the win. Milwaukee was the +139 underdog going into this road game.

DL Hall had a rough outing, giving up five earned runs on five hits and issuing three walks. The Brewers also wasted a big game from Jackson Chourio, who went of 3 with a homer and five RBIs.

Milwaukee is 86-63 overall this season, putting them 1st in the NL Central. They head into today’s game with a 10.0 game lead over the Cubs. The Brewers have gone 30-19 against other teams in the NL Central. This year, they have been good at home, going 42-29 while posting a 44-34 mark on the road.

So far, the Brewers have been the favorite in 86 of their games, going 50-36 in those matchups. As the underdog, they are 36-27 this season. Milwaukee has been good in their role as the home underdog, going 9-9 this year. The Brewers have been playing well in series lately, as they are 27-17-4 and have won two straight series.

Phillies vs. Brewers Prediction: Over/Under

When the Philadelphia Phillies are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The combined run average in their games is 8.9, and their over/under record is 70-72. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, and their record when the line is set at 8 runs is 17-18-1. In 49.0% of their games, the over/under line has been set at more than 8 runs, while in 26.8% of their games, the line has been set at fewer than 8 runs.

Heading into today’s game, the Phillies are 5th in the MLB in runs scored at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per contest, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. Overall, they are the 4th best hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .258.

Bryce Harper has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/22 in his last six games, including two home runs. For the season, he is 2nd on the team with 28 homers and is batting .289. Kyle Schwarber is the team’s top power threat, with 35 homers, which is 6th best in the league, but he is hitting just .248 this season and has gone just 3/15 in his last five games.

With an over/under line of 8 runs, the Milwaukee Brewers have seen their games average 8.8 runs per contest this season. The over/under record for the Brewers is 77-63, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, they are 11-11-4. Overall, 55.0% of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs, and their games have gone over the total in each of their last two contests.

Willy Adames comes into the game as the Brewers’ top home run hitter, as his 32 long balls are 8th in the MLB and leads the team. He is also 2nd in the league in RBIs, with 109. Adames is batting .252 for the season and has gone deep two times in his past seven games. William Contreras is also swinging a good bat for the Brewers, as he is batting .280 with 22 homers.

Rhys Hoskins is 2nd on the Brewers in home runs but is batting just .207 for the season. However, he has gone deep twice in his last six games. Garrett Mitchell and Jackson Chourio have also been swinging the bat well of late, with Mitchell hitting .278 and Chourio batting .276 over their last six and seven games, respectively.

Phillies vs. Brewers Prediction: Spread

When the Phillies are on the road, they have a run line record of 37-34, and their average run differential is +0.5. They have covered the run line in two straight road games and are 15-13 against the run line as an underdog.

Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Brewers on the road. So far this season, he has made 24 starts and has a record of 12-6 with an ERA of 3.05. Suárez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.13. In his 24 appearances, he has turned in 11 quality starts, one complete game shutout, and one complete game. Looking back at his last outing, Suárez finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

When the Brewers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.6 runs per victory. But when they lose, they lose by an average of 2.8 runs. They’ve been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 43-20 compared to 34-52 as the favorite. Their overall run line record is 77-72, and they’ve been even better on the run line on the road, going 43-35.

Right-hander Aaron Civale gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Phillies at home. He has made 28 starts this season and has a record of 6-8 with an ERA of 4.57. Civale’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.32, and he has turned in seven quality starts. In his last outing, Civale picked up the win, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on three hits. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight outings. Civale has been much better at home, coming in with an ERA of 3.56 compared to 6.61 on the road.

Phillies vs. Brewers Pick: Brewers ML +101

There is a lot of value in taking the Brewers on the money line today at +101. We have the Brewers winning this one 6-5, and with the payout sitting at +101, this is a great payout for a team that we have winning the game.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Aaron Civale is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is the third-best among all starters today. As for Ranger Suarez, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is 11th best.