Phillies vs Blue Jays Prediction & MLB Odds For Wednesday, September 4th
First pitch for Wednesday’s Phillies vs. Blue Jays interleague matchup is set for 3:07 PM ET from the Rogers Centre in Toronto. NBC10 will be televising this game, and the Phillies are the favorites on the money line, with the odds sitting at -130 compared to the Blue Jays at +110.
Philadelphia comes in with a record of 82-56 and they have won three straight, putting them first in the NL East. Toronto is 5th in the AL East with a record of 67-73. Today’s Blue Jays starter is Bowden Francis, while the Phillies are sending Cristopher Sanchez to the mound.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Phillies -1.5 (+130) | Blue Jays 1.5 (-156)
- Total: 8
- MoneyLine: Phillies -130 | Blue Jays +110
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Phillies vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Moneyline
Philadelphia rallied for three runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Phillies vs. Blue Jays series. The Phillies scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up three in the top of the 9th, picking up a 10-9 win. Heading into the game, the Phillies were at +100 on the money line.
Toronto wasted a good outing from Chris Bassitt, as he gave up just three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work for the Blue Jays. Chad Green took the loss. Orion Kerkering got the win out of the bullpen for the Phillies as Tyler Phillips went just two-thirds of an inning, giving up one earned run.
Kyle Schwarber hit three home runs for the Phillies while going 5/6 with six RBIs. Trea Turner also had a three-hit game and scored three times for Philadelphia’s offense.
Philadelphia is on a three-game winning streak, and they lead the NL East with a record of 82-56. The Phillies hold a seven-game lead over the Braves for the division lead. So far, they have gone 23-15 against other teams in the NL East.
At home, the Phillies have been strong this year, going 47-25. On the road, they are 35-31, and they have won three straight road games. This season, the Phillies are 69-41 as the favorite and 23-19 as the favorite on the road. Heading into today’s game, the Phillies have an overall series record of 24-16-6 and have won three straight series.
Toronto is 67-73 overall and trails the Orioles by 14 games for the AL East lead. Currently, they are in 5th place in the division, two games behind the Rays for 4th place. The Blue Jays have dropped two straight games, with their series record sitting at 16-22-6 this year.
At home, the Blue Jays are 34-34 this season compared to a 33-39 mark on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 69 games, going 41-28 in those matchups. As the underdog, Toronto is 26-45 this year. Looking at their overall record, the Blue Jays are an even 5-5 over their last 10.
Phillies vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Over/Under
The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road today against the Toronto Blue Jays, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Phillies games this season is 8.9 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 64-67. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 17-16-1. Overall, 49.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at over 8 runs, while 26.1% have had lines set at under 8 runs.
Heading into today’s game, the Phillies are 6th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per game. As a team, the Phillies are batting .258, which is the 4th best mark in the league. They also have a good team on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS.
Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been two of the league’s top power hitters this season, as Schwarber’s 31 homers are 7th best in the MLB, and Harper’s 26 home runs are 11th best. Harper has been hot of late, batting .370 over his last seven games, while Schwarber has three homers over the same stretch. Alec Bohm comes into the game with a team-leading 89 RBIs and is batting .290.
The Blue Jays are back home to take on the Phillies in a game with an over/under line of 8 runs. Toronto’s games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 74-63. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, the Blue Jays have gone over 23 times, under 14 times, and pushed once. Overall, 50.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs.
So far this season, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. As a team, they are batting .242 and have the 13th ranked on-base percentage in the league. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been a big part of the Blue Jays offense this season, as he is batting .328 with 28 home runs and 91 RBIs. His 91 RBIs are 1st on the team and 10th in the MLB.
Over his last five games, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone 10/21 with one home run and four RBIs. Addison Barger has also been swinging a hot bat for the Blue Jays, going 6/21 with two homers over his last six games. Daulton Varsho is looking to turn things around, as he is just 3/20 in his last five games.
Phillies vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Spread
The Phillies are 67-71 against the run line this season, and they have been slightly profitable on the road with a 34-32 mark. They have covered the run line in three straight road games and have a positive run differential of 0.4 runs per game away from home.
Left-hander Cristopher Sánchez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Blue Jays on the road. This year, he has made 26 starts and has a record of 9-9 with a 3.49 ERA. Sánchez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.28, and opponents are batting .259 off him this year. In his 26 appearances, Sánchez has turned in 14 quality starts, two complete games, and one shutout. Looking back at his last outing, Sánchez finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had lost two straight starts.
When the Blue Jays win, they win big, with an average run margin of +3.3 runs per game. When they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.8 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 71-69, with a run line record of 25-43 at home and 46-26 on the road. They are 40-31 vs. the run line as underdogs and 31-38 as favorites.
Bowden Francis has been pitching well for the Blue Jays, as he has won his last four starts. Most recently, he faced the Red Sox and didn’t give up a run in seven innings of work. Looking back at his last four outings, he has only given up one earned run in each of those starts. Francis’ record for the season is 8-3, and his ERA is 3.66. Opponents are batting .201 off the right-hander this season. Out of his 23 appearances, Francis has turned in four quality starts.
Phillies vs. Blue Jays Pick: Blue Jays ML +110
Our prediction for this Phillies vs. Blue Jays matchup is to take the Blue Jays on the money line, with the payout sitting at +110. We have the Blue Jays winning this one by a score of 5-4.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Bowden Francis is projected to finish with six strikeouts, while Christopher Sanchez is predicted to finish with six as well. However, Sanchez has a better chance of picking up a win, but we still have his chances as the seventh best among starters today.
