Phillies vs Blue Jays Prediction & MLB Odds For Tuesday, September 3rd
The Phillies are on a two-game winning streak and are 81-56 this season, which has them in 1st place in the NL East. The Blue Jays are favored at -113 for this interleague matchup, and they will be looking to extend their winning streak to three games. However, they are 5th in the AL East with an overall record of 67-72.
First pitch from the Rogers Centre in Toronto is set for 7:07 PM ET. NSPPH is carrying this game on TV, and the over/under line is currently 8.5 runs. Chris Bassitt is starting for the Blue Jays, while the Phillies are sending Tyler Phillips to the mound.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Phillies -1.5 (+154) | Blue Jays 1.5 (-195)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Phillies -106 | Blue Jays -113
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Phillies vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Moneyline
Heading into their last game vs. the Braves, the Phillies closed out the series with a 3-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -128 on the money line. It was a good start for the Phillies, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning and added another run in the 3rd.
Aaron Nola put together a good start for the Phillies, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. He also issued only one walk and struck out nine Braves batters. Nick Castellanos was hot at the plate, going 2/5 with three RBIs. The Phillies also got a big game from Bryce Harper, going 2/4 with a run scored.
Philadelphia is on the road today vs. the Blue Jays, and they lead the NL East by seven games over the Braves. The Phillies are 81-56 overall, and they have won two straight games. In the NL East, they have gone 23-15 this season.
At home, the Phillies have gone 47-25, and they are just over .500 on the road at 34-31. So far, they have been favored in 110 games, going 69-41 in those games. As for their record as the underdog, the Phillies are 12-15 this season. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 24-16-6 and have won three straight series.
The Blue Jays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Twins with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Twins scored three runs in the bottom of the 8th. Toronto was the +227 underdog on the money line going into this game.
Offensively, the Blue Jays only had three fewer hits than the Twins but scored just three runs. Ernie Clement had a big game, going 2/5 with a homer and two RBIs. The Blue Jays also wasted a good start from Yariel Rodriguez, who went three innings without giving up a run.
Toronto is 67-72 overall, putting them 5th in the AL East. They are 13.5 games behind the Yankees for the division lead. The Blue Jays have gone 20-26 in AL East matchups this season. Toronto opens their series vs. the Phillies at home today.
As the favorite, the Blue Jays have gone 41-27 this year, and they are 26-45 as the underdog. Toronto has won four straight games at home, and they are 34-33 at home this year. On the road, the Blue Jays are 33-39.
Phillies vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Over/Under
The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road to face the Toronto Blue Jays today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Phillies games this season is 8.8 runs, and their over/under record is 63-67. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 12-13. Overall, 30.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and their under streak is currently at 2 games.
Over the past eight games, Bryce Harper has been swinging a hot bat for the Phillies, going 11/28 (.393) with four runs scored. For the season, Harper is batting .281 with a team-high 26 home runs. Kyle Schwarber also has been a big power threat for the Phillies, as his 28 homers is the best mark on the team and 9th best in the MLB. Schwarber comes into the game with a batting average of just .238.
As a team, the Phillies are 6th in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are the 4th best hitting team in the league, with a combined batting average of .257.
The Blue Jays have played in 28 games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs this season, and their over/under record in those games is 22-19. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.8 runs, and their overall over/under record is 73-63. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, and 50.4% of their games have had lines set lower than 8.5 runs.
Over his last eight games, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone 14/31 for the Blue Jays, with one home run and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting .324 with 27 homers and 89 RBIs. Guerrero Jr. is also on a four-game hitting streak. George Springer is 2nd on the team in home runs but is batting just .216 for the season.
As a team, the Blue Jays are 19th in the league in scoring at 4.2 runs per game. This season, they are batting .241, which is 12th in the league. Overall, their team OPS of .707 is 15th in the league. Toronto’s offense has been pretty good at avoiding strikeouts, as they have the 6th fewest strikeouts in the league.
Phillies vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Spread
The Phillies have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 33-32. Their average scoring margin on the road is +0.4 runs per game, and they have covered the run line in their last two road games. Overall, the Phillies have an average run margin of +0.8 runs per game this season.
Tyler Phillips gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Blue Jays on the road. So far this season, he has made six starts and has a record of 4-1 with an ERA of 5.50. Phillips’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.22. In his 36 innings of work, he has pitched one complete game shutout and has two quality starts. Phillips’ ERA on the road is 13.16 compared to 5.46 at home. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up five earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
When it comes to betting the run line on the Toronto Blue Jays, it’s been a mixed bag this season. Overall, they are 71-68 against the run line, but they have been much better on the road, going 46-26. At home, they are just 25-42 against the run line. They have covered the run line in two straight games and have been a good bet as the underdog, going 40-31 against the run line.
Chris Bassitt gets the start for the Blue Jays today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Red Sox. In that start, which came on August 28th, he took the loss, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up one earned run. Looking back further, Bassitt has allowed at least two home runs in three of his last four starts. For the season, he has a record of 9-13, an ERA of 4.27, and has allowed a total of 16 homers. Bassitt’s ERA at home is 5.85 compared to 4.07 on the road.
Phillies vs. Blue Jays Pick: Blue Jays ML -113
Our prediction for this Phillies vs. Blue Jays matchup is to take the Blue Jays on the money line at -113. We have the Blue Jays winning this one by a score of 5-4. With the over/under line sitting at 8.5 runs, we like the Blue Jays to pick up the win and would recommend taking them on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Chris Bassitt finishing with six strikeouts compared to Tyler Phillips with just five. Phillips is projected to go five innings, while Bassitt is projected to go six. Offensively, our projections have the Blue Jays finishing with nine hits compared to the Phillies with eight.
