Padres vs Mariners Prediction & MLB Odds For Wednesday, September 11th
At 9:40 PM ET, the Padres and Mariners face off in an interleague matchup. This one is taking place at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, and the Mariners are the slight money line favorite (-111). The money line odds for a Padres win are currently at -108.
Wednesday’s forecasted starters are Michael King for the Padres and Bryan Woo for the Mariners. San Diego is currently 2nd in the NL West, while the Mariners are 2nd in the AL West. The over/under line is at 7 runs.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Padres -1.5 (+163) | Mariners 1.5 (-208)
- Total: 7
- MoneyLine: Padres -108 | Mariners -111
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Padres vs. Mariners Prediction: Moneyline
San Diego picked up a 7-3 road win over the Mariners in the most recent game of this series. The Padres offense got off to a fast start, scoring three runs in the first and adding two more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Mariners got on the board with one run in the 1st and added their final two runs in the 7th.
Yu Darvish only went five innings for the Padres but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued two walks. George Kirby struggled on the mound for the Mariners, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work.
Manny Machado and Fernando Tatis Jr. each homered for the Padres, while Luke Raley went deep for the Mariners. Victor Robles had a three-hit game at the plate for Seattle.
San Diego is 82-64 overall, putting them 4.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. So far, they have gone just 21-22 in divisional matchups. The Padres are on the road today, and they have an overall road record of 42-29.
The Padres have taken the first game of their series vs. the Mariners. This came after losing two straight as the favorite. For the year, the Padres are 52-40 as the favorite and 30-24 as the underdog. San Diego has won two straight on the road, and their overall series record is 28-15-5. Over their last 10 games, the Padres are 6-4.
Seattle is 73-72 overall, and they are 4.5 games behind the Astros in the AL West. The Mariners lost the first game of their series vs. the Padres and have an overall division record of 22-17 this season. At home, the Mariners are 41-29 and 32-43 on the road.
As the underdog, Seattle has lost seven straight games, and they are 19-26 as the underdog overall. The Mariners have been a bit better as the favorite, putting up a mark of 54-46. So far this year, their series record is 20-23-3.
Padres vs. Mariners Prediction: Over/Under
San Diego’s over/under record is 79-65, and the average over/under line for their games this season is 8 runs. When the line is set at 7 runs, the Padres have gone over 11 times, under 2 times, and pushed once. Their games have had an average combined run total of 9.0. The over has hit in each of their last three games, and 90.4% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7 runs.
San Diego comes into today’s game as the top hitting team in the league, batting a collective .265. They are also near the top of the league in scoring, averaging 4.8 runs per game. This number jumps to 5.1 runs per game when they are on the road. The Padres are also the league’s top home run hitting team, and they have the best team slugging percentage in the league.
Over his last 10 games, Manny Machado has four home runs and 15 RBIs while batting .341. For the season, he is hitting .276 with 26 homers and 94 RBIs. Luis Arraez has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 18/39 in his last nine games. This has helped him improve his season-long batting average to .318.
Seattle is playing at home today against the San Diego Padres. The over/under line is set at 7 runs, which is lower than their combined run average of 7.9. The Mariners’ over/under record for the season is 66-71, and their average over/under line is 8 runs. When the line is set at 7 runs, their record is 13-19-6. The over has hit in their last two games.
Cal Raleigh and Luke Raley have been two of the Mariners’ worst hitters this season, but both have been on a tear of late, with each going 7/20 over their last five games. Raleigh and Raley both have two homers during this stretch, with Raleigh also driving in seven runs and Raley six. Raleigh is currently on an eight-game hitting streak. For the season, Raleigh is batting just .213, while Raley is at .240.
Seattle’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, as they are averaging just 4.1 runs per game and have the league’s worst team batting average. They are also the league’s worst team in terms of strikeouts per game. The Mariners have been a much better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.4 runs per contest.
Padres vs. Mariners Prediction: Spread
San Diego is a team that has been profitable on the run line this season, going 74-72 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 45-26. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 37-17 on the run line. Their average run differential this season is +0.5 runs per game.
Right-hander Michael King gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Mariners on the road. He has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 12-8 with a 3.10 ERA. King’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.21. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had taken the loss in two straight outings. King has allowed at least one homer in each of his last three outings. Per nine innings, he is averaging 3.33 walks compared to 10.63 strikeouts.
Seattle has been a tough team to bet on this season, as they are just 61-84 against the run line. They have been a little better at home, going 29-41, but they have still been a losing proposition. The Mariners have been favored in 100 games this season, and they have gone 40-60 against the run line in those games. They have been a little better as an underdog, going 21-24 against the run line.
Seattle starter Bryan Woo has been impressive this season, coming into the game with a record of 7-2 and an ERA of 2.36. He has made a total of 18 starts and nine of them have been quality starts. Looking at his numbers, Woo has a WHIP of 0.85 and is averaging 7 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going five innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had given up four earned runs in back-to-back outings. So far, he has been much better at home, coming in with a 1.46 ERA compared to 3.38 on the road.
Padres vs. Mariners Pick: Mariners ML -111
Based on the money line, we see the Mariners at -111 as a great value bet, as we have them winning this game by a score of 6-5. With the payout being pretty close to even, this is a great opportunity to take advantage of the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Bryan Woo finishing with seven strikeouts compared to Michael King with seven as well. Woo has a better chance of picking up the win, and we also have him finishing with fewer earned runs than King.
