Padres vs Mariners Prediction & MLB Odds For Tuesday, September 10th
San Diego heads into Tuesday’s interleague matchup vs. the Mariners looking to snap a two-game losing streak. The Padres are 81-64 this season and they are 2nd in the NL West. Seattle is 2nd in the AL West with a record of 73-71.
George Kirby is starting for the Mariners, while the Padres are going with Yu Darvish. San Diego is currently favored on the money line, and the over/under line is at 7 runs. This one will get started at 9:40 PM ET from T-Mobile Park in Seattle.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Padres -1.5 (+157) | Mariners 1.5 (-195)
- Total: 7
- MoneyLine: Padres -112 | Mariners -107
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Padres vs. Mariners Prediction: Moneyline
The Padres will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Giants with a 7-6 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 4th inning before the Giants scored six runs in the top of the 4th. San Diego’s offense scored their other six runs in the 2nd.
Joe Musgrove had a rough outing, giving up six earned runs on eight hits and issuing three walks. The Padres also wasted a big game from Xander Bogaerts, who homered in the 2nd inning, going 1/4.
With an overall record of 81-64, the Padres are 2nd in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by 5.5 games. The Padres dropped the first two games of their series vs. the Giants but won the finale. So far, they are 21-22 in divisional games.
At home, the Padres are 40-35 this season, and they have been really good on the road, going 41-29. As the road favorite, the Padres have gone 19-13 this season, and they are 52-40 when favored overall. San Diego is coming into today’s game having dropped two straight, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games.
Randy Arozarena and the Mariners are coming off a big 10-4 win over the Cardinals to close out their series. Arozarena really got things going for the Mariners, going 2/5 with a homer and two RBIs. The Mariners scored five runs in the 1st inning and added another two runs in the 2nd. Seattle was the -134 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Luis Castillo started for the Mariners, going three innings and giving up two runs on five hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
Seattle is 73-71 overall heading into today’s game vs. the Padres, and they are 4.5 games behind the Astros in the AL West. The Mariners took two of three in their most recent series vs. the Cardinals. So far, they have gone 22-17 in divisional games.
At home, the Mariners are 41-28 this year compared to a 32-43 mark on the road. As the underdog, Seattle has dropped seven straight, and they are 19-26 as the underdog overall. They have been better as the favorite, going 54-45 this year. Seattle’s overall series record is 20-23-3, heading into today’s game.
Padres vs. Mariners Prediction: Over/Under
San Diego’s games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 78-65. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 7 runs, they are 10-2-1. The over has hit in their last two games, and this season, 91% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s total of 7 runs.
So far this season, the Padres are the top hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .265. They are also one of the best home run hitting teams in the league, coming in at 10th in the league. Overall, they are 8th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.8 runs per game.
Over his last eight games, Luis Arraez has gone 15/34 (.441) and has six runs scored. For the season, he is batting .315 and is 2nd on the team in RBIs. Manny Machado and Jackson Merrill are the Padres’ top home run threats, with 25 and 23 homers, respectively.
Seattle’s games have averaged 7.8 runs per game this season, and the Mariners have gone 65-71 on the over/under line. When the line has been set at 7 runs, the over has gone 12-19-6, and the average line in their games is 8 runs. Overall, 66.7% of their games have had higher lines than 7 runs, and just 7.6% have had lower lines.
Cal Raleigh has been one of the league’s top run producers this season, as his 90 RBIs are 8th in the league and leads the Mariners. He has also gone deep 29 times, which is the best mark on the team and 12th in the MLB. Over his last five games, Raleigh is 7/21 (.333) with five runs scored and six RBIs. Julio RodrÃguez is also swinging a hot bat right now, going 8/25 in his last five games, and he comes into the game on an 11-game hitting streak.
As a team, the Mariners are batting just .219 this season, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also 25th in the league in scoring at 4.1 runs per game. However, they have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.4 runs per contest.
Padres vs. Mariners Prediction: Spread
San Diego has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 44-26. The Padres have a positive run differential of 1.1 runs per game away from home, and they have covered the run line in two straight games when favored. They have a run line record of 73-72 overall, with an average run margin of 0.5 runs per game.
Yu Darvish gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Mariners on the road. He has made 12 starts this season and has a record of 4-3 with a 3.51 ERA. Darvish’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.12. In his 12 appearances, he has turned in three quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Darvish finished with a no-decision against the Tigers, going just 2 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. The right-hander’s ERA at home is 4.99 compared to 1.8 on the road.
Seattle has been a run line loser this season, going 61-83. The Mariners have been a better bet at home, where they are 29-40 against the run line. They have been a run line underdog in 45 games and have gone 21-24 in those contests. Seattle’s average run differential in wins is +3.6, while it is -3.1 in losses.
Seattle is sending right-hander George Kirby to the mound today vs. the Padres. He has made 29 starts this year and has a record of 11-10 with a 3.61 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Kirby has a WHIP of 1.11 and has issued just 1.13 walks per nine innings. Kirby has turned in 17 quality starts this year and is averaging 8.73 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Kirby went six innings, giving up two earned runs, and came away with the win. Before that, he had lost two straight starts.
Padres vs. Mariners Pick: Mariners ML -107
Our predicted final score for this game is a 6-5 win for the Mariners, and we would recommend taking them on the money line at -107. With the starting pitchers, Yu Darvish is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, while George Kirby is predicted to finish with six.
Looking at the Padres vs. Mariners matchup, the Padres are projected to finish with nine hits compared to the Mariners with nine. The Padres are also projected to finish with six runs compared to the Mariners with six.
However, we would recommend taking the Mariners to pick up the win and would also be looking for them to have a higher strikeout total than the Padres.
