Padres vs Giants Prediction & MLB Odds For Sunday, September 15th
San Diego heads into Sunday’s matchup vs. the Giants looking to extend their two-game winning streak, as they are 84-65 overall and 2nd in the NL West. The Giants are 72-77 and will be looking to avoid a fourth straight loss. Sunday’s forecast in San Francisco calls for broken clouds and temperatures in the mid to upper 50s.
First pitch from Oracle Park is set for 4:05 PM ET, and the money line odds have the Padres at -118 compared to the Giants at +100. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and Sunday’s starting pitching matchup features Martín Pérez for the Padres and Landen Roupp for the Giants.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Padres -1.5 (+139) | Giants 1.5 (-168)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Padres -118 | Giants +100
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Padres vs. Giants Prediction: Moneyline
San Diego cruised to an easy 8-0 win over the Giants in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 2nd inning, scoring seven of their eight runs. As for the Giants, they had their best chance to score in the 4th, but could only muster one run.
Joe Musgrove only went six innings for the Padres but didn’t give up a run and finished with eight strikeouts. He picked up a win in the game, while Mason Black took the loss for the Giants. Black went just four innings and gave up one earned run.
Xander Bogaerts, Donovan Solano, and Fernando Tatis Jr. each had two RBIs for the Padres’ offense. Manny Machado and Jackson Merrill each scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/5.
San Diego is on the road today, taking on the Giants, and they are 84-65 overall this season. The Padres are 3.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead, and they are 23-22 in divisional games. San Diego has won two straight games, and they are 6-4 across their last 10.
At home, the Padres have gone 40-35 this season, and they have been really good on the road, going 44-30. As the favorite, the Padres are 54-41 this year and 30-24 as the underdog. San Diego’s overall series record is 28-14-6, and they are winning their current series vs. the Giants.
San Francisco is 72-77 overall this season, and they are 15.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Giants are also 4th in the division, trailing the Diamondbacks by 10.5 games for the 3rd spot in the division. The Giants have lost three straight games and are 4-6 across their last 10.
At home, the Giants are 41-36 this season, but they have struggled on the road, going 31-41. As the underdog, the Giants are 27-45 this year, and they have dropped four straight as the underdog overall. San Francisco’ overall series record is 21-21-4, and they have lost three straight series at home.
Padres vs. Giants Prediction: Over/Under
San Diego has played 25 games this season with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, and the over has hit in 19 of them. The Padres have played 90 games with lower over/under lines than 8.5 runs, and the over has hit in 60.4% of those games. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 80-66 overall.
San Diego comes into the game as the league’s best hitting team, with a batting average of .265. They are also the top home run hitting team in the league, and they have been very good at avoiding strikeouts, as they are the league’s best team in that category. Overall, they are 7th in the league in runs scored (4.8 per game).
Luis Arraez has been on a tear for the Padres, going 12/24 in his last five games and is batting .320 for the season. Manny Machado has been a big run producer for the Padres, as his 97 RBIs are 9th in the league. He also leads the team with 26 home runs.
Today’s over/under line of 8.5 runs for the San Francisco Giants’ home game against the San Diego Padres is slightly higher than their season average of 8.6 runs per game. The Giants have played 107 games with lower over/under lines this season, compared to just 19 games with higher lines. Their over/under record for the season is 75-68, and they are 14-9 in games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs.
So far this season, the Giants offense has been pretty average, as they are 19th in the league at 4.2 runs per game. They are also just 18th in home runs and have a team batting average of .239, which is 14th in the league. Matt Chapman and Heliot Ramos have been the Giants’ top power threats, with Chapman leading the team with 24 homers and Ramos right behind him with 20.
Chapman has gone deep twice in his last 10 games and has gone 8/33 in that stretch. However, he is just 6/31 in his last nine games. Mike Yastrzemski and Grant McCray are also looking to get things going, as they have both gone 2/27 in their last nine games. McCray and Jerar Encarnacion have two homers in their last five and nine games, respectively.
Padres vs. Giants Prediction: Spread
San Diego has been a strong bet on the run line on the road this season, going 47-27. The Padres have covered the run line in their last two road games and are 37-17 against the run line as the underdog this season. Their average run differential on the road is +1.2 runs per game.
Left-hander Martín Pérez gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Giants on the road. So far this season, he has made 23 starts and has a record of 4-5 with an ERA of 4.46. Perez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.50. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going 6 1/3 innings and not giving up a run to the Tigers. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight outings. Perez has a BB/9 figure of 3.2 compared to 7.14 strikeouts per nine innings.
San Francisco has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 40-32. However, the Giants have struggled to cover the run line at home, going just 33-44. Their average run margin is -0.2 runs per game, and they have a losing streak against the run line of three games at home. They have also failed to cover the run line in their last three games when favored.
Giants starter Landen Roupp has made 20 appearances this season, and his only start came on September 10th vs. the Brewers. In that outing, he took the loss, going five innings and giving up two earned runs. Looking back at his last three outings, Roupp has finished with a no-decision in each appearance. He has a record of 0-1 and an ERA of 3.44. Roupp’s WHIP for the season is 1.31, and opponents are batting .206 this year. Per nine innings, he has 8.84 strikeouts and 4.66 walks.
Padres vs. Giants Pick: Padres ML -118
Our predicted final score for this Padres and Giants matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Padres. With the money line payout being -118, we see this as a great value pick and would recommend locking in a bet on the Padres to win.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Martin Perez going eight innings for the Padres and Landen Roupp going six for the Giants. Perez’s strikeout numbers are not great, but he is projected to give up fewer runs than Roupp, who we have finishing with five K’s.
