Padres vs Giants Prediction & MLB Odds For Saturday, September 14th
Joe Musgrove will start for the Padres on Saturday, and they are facing the Giants, who will be starting Mason Black. The game is set to get started at 9:05 PM ET from Oracle Park in San Francisco, and the Padres are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -155 compared to the Giants at +131. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs.
The Padres are 2nd in the NL West and have an overall record of 83-65, while the Giants are 4th in the division at 72-76 and have lost two straight. Mason Black will be looking to help the Giants pull off the upset.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Padres -1.5 (+112) | Giants 1.5 (-135)
- Total: 7.5
- MoneyLine: Padres -155 | Giants +131
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Padres vs. Giants Prediction: Moneyline
San Diego cruised to a 5-0 win over the Giants in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 1st inning, scoring three of their five runs. As for the Giants, they had their best chance to score in the 4th, but could only muster one run. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -122 on the money line.
Dylan Cease started for the Padres and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with 10 strikeouts but issued two walks. Logan Webb got the start for the Giants and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in four innings of work.
Fernando Tatis Jr. hit the game’s only home run while going 1/4 with two RBIs and two runs scored. Jackson Merrill also had a good game at the plate, going 3/4 with two doubles and an RBI.
San Diego is 83-65 overall this season, and they are 4.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Padres are 22-22 in divisional games this season. The Padres are on the road today, and they have gone 43-30 on the road compared to 40-35 at home.
This season, the Padres have been the favorite in 94 of their games, going 53-41 in those games. As the underdog, the Padres are 30-24 this season. San Diego’s overall series record is 28-14-6, and they are currently up 1-0 in this series vs. the Giants.
With a record of 72-76, the Giants are 15.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. So far, they have gone 24-23 in divisional games. The Giants have dropped two straight games, and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Giants are 41-35 this season compared to 31-41 on the road. As the underdog, the Giants are 27-44 this season, which includes having lost three straight as the underdog. San Francisco is 8-14 as the home underdog this season.
Padres vs. Giants Prediction: Over/Under
San Diego Padres games have gone over the total 79 times and under 66 times this season. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, but today’s line is set at 7.5 runs. In games with an over/under line of 7.5 runs, the over has hit 23 times and the under has hit 23 times. Overall, 58.1% of Padres games have had higher over/under lines than today’s 7.5-run total.
Heading into today’s game, the Padres are the top-hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .264. They have also been very good at avoiding strikeouts, as they have the fewest strikeouts in the league. San Diego’s offense is averaging 4.8 runs per game and has been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest.
Over his last eight games, Luis Arraez has gone 17/36 for the Padres, and for the season, he is batting .320 with four home runs. Manny Machado has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/33 with three homers in this stretch. Machado is the Padres’ leader in RBIs, with 95, which is 10th in the league.
The San Francisco Giants are at home today against the San Diego Padres. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Giants games this season is 8.6 runs, and their over/under record is 74-68. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 29-25. This season, 50.0% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, while only 13.5% have had lower lines. The under has hit in the last two Giants games.
So far this season, the Giants offense has been pretty average, as they are 17th in runs per game (4.3), and they are also 17th in home runs. As a team, they are batting .239, which is 15th in the league. Matt Chapman and Heliot Ramos are the team’s top power threats, with Chapman leading the team with 24 homers and Ramos just behind him at 20. Chapman also leads the team with 73 RBIs.
Over his last six games, Matt Chapman has gone just 5/22, but two of those hits have left the yard. Grant McCray has also homered twice in his past six games but has gone just 3/24 in that stretch. Jerar Encarnacion has gone 5/15 in his last four games, with two homers and six RBIs.
Padres vs. Giants Prediction: Spread
When the Padres win, they do so by an average of 3.7 runs per game, which has helped them to a 75-73 run line record this season. They have been especially profitable on the road, going 46-27 against the run line, compared to just 29-46 at home. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 37-17 against the run line in those games.
Joe Musgrove gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Giants on the road. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 5-5 with a 4.54 ERA. Musgrove’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.28. In his last outing, Musgrove took the loss, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up six earned runs on eight hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Musgrove has a total of seven quality starts this season and is averaging 8.63 strikeouts per nine innings. Overall, he has allowed 13 homers this year.
The Giants have been a solid bet on the run line overall this season, going 73-75. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, where they are 40-32. However, they have struggled against the run line at home, going 33-43. The Giants have been an underdog in 71 games and have gone 41-30 on the run line in those games. They have been favored in 77 games and have gone 32-45 on the run line in those games.
Through five starts, Mason Black has yet to pick up a win and is 0-3 with a 7.50 ERA. Overall, he has made six appearances and has a WHIP of 1.62. Black’s ERA at home is 5.89 compared to 10.53 on the road. In his last outing, Black gave up four earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Looking back at his last three outings, he has given up at least two earned runs in each. Opponents are batting .301 off Black this season.
Padres vs. Giants Pick: Giants ML +131
Our pick for today’s Padres vs. Giants game is to take the Giants on the money line at +131. We have the Giants winning this one by a score of 6-5, giving us some wiggle room with the over/under line sitting at 7.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we actually have Mason Black finishing with more strikeouts than Joe Musgrove. Black is projected to finish with seven K’s, while Musgrove is predicted to finish with six.
