Padres vs Giants Prediction & MLB Odds For Friday, September 13th
First pitch for Friday’s Padres vs. Giants matchup is set for 10:15 PM ET from Oracle Park in San Francisco. The Padres are 3rd in the NL West with a record of 82-65, while the Giants are 4th in the division at 72-75.
San Diego is currently favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -112 compared to the Giants at -108. The over/under line is at 6.5 runs, and Dylan Cease is expected to start for the Padres, while the Giants are sending Logan Webb to the mound.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Padres -1.5 (+156) | Giants 1.5 (-195)
- Total: 6.5
- MoneyLine: Padres -112 | Giants -108
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Padres vs. Giants Prediction: Moneyline
The Padres will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mariners with a 5-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Mariners scored three runs in the bottom of the 7th. San Diego was the -111 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Michael King had a rough outing, giving up four earned runs on four hits and issuing two walks. The Padres also wasted a big game from Fernando Tatis Jr., who homered in the 1st inning but went just 1/4.
With an overall record of 82-65, the Padres are 3rd in the NL West and trail the Dodgers by 5.5 games. San Diego is 21-22 in divisional matchups this year. The Padres will take on the Giants today, who are 15.5 games out of the division lead.
San Diego has been good on the road this year, putting together a record of 42-30 compared to 40-35 at home. As the road favorite, the Padres are 19-14 this year, and they are 52-41 when favored overall. The Padres have an overall series record of 28-14-6 heading into today’s game, and they split their most recent series vs. the Mariners.
The Giants will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Brewers with a 3-0 loss. San Francisco was the +114 underdog at home going into the game. Things started off well for the Giants, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but couldn’t hold the lead. The Brewers scored three runs in the 8th to pick up the win. San Francisco’s offense also wasted a good start from Hayden Birdsong, who went five innings, and didn’t give up a run.
Jerar Encarnacion was the only Giants hitter to have more than one hit, going 2/4 with a double. The Giants also issued three walks, but none of those runners scored. Camilo Doval took the loss out of the bullpen, as the Giants allowed three runs in the top of the 8th.
San Francisco opens their series vs. the Padres with a record of 72-75, which has them 4th in the NL West. Currently, they are 15.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. So far, they have gone 24-22 in divisional matchups. The Giants will be hosting the Padres today, and they are 41-34 at home compared to 31-41 on the road.
As the underdog, the Giants have dropped two straight, and their overall record as the underdog is 27-43. When favored, the Giants are 45-32 this season. San Francisco’s series record is 21-21-4, and they are 3rd in a row at home in series.
Padres vs. Giants Prediction: Over/Under
The San Diego Padres are on the road against the San Francisco Giants today. The over/under line for the game is set at 6.5 runs. The Padres have played in 144 games with over/under lines set higher than 6.5 runs, and their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 79-65.
San Diego comes into today’s game with the league’s top batting average at .264, and they have been one of the league’s best offenses so far, averaging 4.8 runs per game. The Padres have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Not only do they lead the league in batting average, but they also have the fewest strikeouts in the league.
Over his last nine games, Luis Arraez has gone 17/40, and for the season, he is batting .317 with an on-base percentage of .350. Manny Machado has been the Padres’ top power threat this season, as his 26 home runs are the most on the team and 14th best in the league. His 94 RBIs are 10th best in the MLB.
The San Francisco Giants have an over/under record of 74-67 this season, and their games have averaged a combined 8.7 runs per game. Today’s over/under line for their game against the San Diego Padres is set at 6.5 runs, which is lower than their average line of 8 runs per game. Their games have had over/under lines set at 6.5 runs only twice this season, and their record in those games is 1-1.
San Francisco’s offense is averaging 4.3 runs per game this season, which is 16th in the league. They have been a bit below average in terms of home runs and batting average, but their team on-base percentage and slugging percentage numbers are right around the league average. Over his last eight games, Matt Chapman has gone 8/26 with two homers and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting .250 with a team-high 73 RBIs.
Heliot Ramos is 2nd on the team with 20 homers and is batting .267 for the season. He is also 2nd on the team with 67 RBIs. Jerar Encarnacion has two homers in his last three games and is currently on a seven-game hitting streak. However, Encarnacion is batting just .185 over his last seven games.
Padres vs. Giants Prediction: Spread
San Diego has been a solid bet on the run line this season, as they are 74-73 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 45-27. They are 37-17 on the run line as the underdog, but just 37-56 as the favorite.
Dylan Cease will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Giants on September 7th, where he took the loss and gave up four earned runs in six innings of work. In that outing, he gave up two homers. Cease finished with a record of 0-2 vs. the Giants and an ERA of 4.29. For the season, Cease is 12-11 with a 3.71 ERA and WHIP of 1.09. Opponents have a batting average of .200 vs. Cease this season. Looking at his overall numbers, Cease has one complete game shutout and 14 quality starts. Cease’s ERA on the road is 4.82 compared to 3.46 at home.
The Giants have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 40-32, but have struggled at home, going 33-42. They have an average run margin of -0.1 runs per game this season, and their average run margin in winning games is +3.2 runs per game.
Logan Webb will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced off against the Padres and picked up the win. In that September 7th outing, he went six innings, giving up three earned runs, and 10 hits. Looking back further, Webb has made 30 starts and has a record of 12-9 this season. His ERA is 3.46, along with a WHIP of 1.23. Webb has one complete game shutout this year to go along with 19 quality starts. For the season, he has allowed 10 homers and is averaging 7.45 strikeouts per nine innings.
Padres vs. Giants Pick: Giants ML -108
Our predicted final score for this Giants and Padres matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Giants. With the Giants being the underdog on the money line at -108, this is the best way to play this one.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Logan Webb finishing with four strikeouts compared to Dylan Cease with seven. However, Cease has a better chance of picking up the win, as he ranks fourth in our projections compared to Webb at 19th.
