Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction & MLB Odds For Friday, September 27th

Yu Darvish will start for the Padres on Friday, as they are on the road to face the Diamondbacks in Phoenix. San Diego is 91-68 this season, while the Diamondbacks are 88-71. Arizona is favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -132, while the Padres are at +110.

Friday’s over/under line is at 9 runs, and first pitch from Chase Field is set for 9:40 PM ET. Arizona is 3rd in the NL West, while the Padres are on a two-game losing streak and are 2nd in the division.

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Padres 1.5 (-187) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+150)
• Total: 9
• MoneyLine: Padres +110 | Diamondbacks -132

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Moneyline

San Diego closed out their series vs. the Dodgers with a 7-2 loss on the road. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 4th inning before the Dodgers scored five runs in the 7th to put things out of reach. The Padres were the slight favorite at -110 on the money line going into the game.

Joe Musgrove put together a good start for the Padres, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs, and striking out six. However, the Padres’ bullpen couldnjson’t close things out, and Tanner Scott took the loss out of the bullpen. The Padres also wasted a big game from Manny Machado, who went 3/4 with a run scored.

San Diego is 91-68 overall this season and is 4.0 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. The Padres are on the road today to take on the Diamondbacks and have dropped two straight games, losing the final two games of their series vs. the Dodgers.

At home, the Padres are 45-36 this season and have gone 46-32 on the road. As the underdog, San Diego is 31-25 this season and 60-43 as the favorite. The Padres’ overall series record is 30-16-6 this season.

Pavin Smith was hot at the plate in the Diamondbacks’s most recent game vs. the Giants, going 3/3 with a homer and three RBIs. The Diamondbacks really broke things open with a three-run 2nd inning and added another three runs in the 4th. Going into the game, the Diamondbacks were at -257 on the money line.

Zac Gallen started for the Diamondbacks, going six innings and giving up just one run on two hits. He also issued only two walks and struck out 11 Giants batters. Arizona’s bullpen closed things out with two scoreless innings, and the Diamondbacks’s offense added another two runs in the 8th.

Arizona will host the Padres with an overall record of 88-71, which has them seven games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. So far, they are 27-22 in divisional games. The Diamondbacks are coming off a series loss, dropping two of three games to the Giants.

At home, the Diamondbacks are 43-35 this season, and they are 45-36 on the road. As the favorite, Arizona has gone 52-32 this season, and they are 36-39 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Diamondbacks are 27-19-4 and have dropped two straight series at home.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Over/Under

The Padres are on the road against the Diamondbacks today. The over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The combined run average for Padres games this season is 8.8 runs. Their over/under record for the season is 81-74, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the line is set at 9 runs, their over/under record is 6-4. Overall, 15 of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, accounting for 9.4% of their games. The vast majority of their games, 134 out of 159, have had lower over/under lines than 9 runs, making up 84.3% of their games.

San Diego comes into today’s game with the league’s top batting average at .264 and are also the top home run hitting team in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 8th in the MLB. The Padres have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest.

Manny Machado and Jurickson Profar have been the Padres’ top power threats this season, as they are the team’s leaders in home runs and RBIs. Machado’s 104 RBIs are 8th in the league, and he is also batting .278. Profar has also been a solid contact hitter for the Padres, batting .282, and has a team-best OBP of .381. Luis Arraez has been a solid all-around hitter, batting .312 with 45 RBIs.

Arizona’s games have averaged 10.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 91-60. When the line is set at 9 runs, they are 19-11-4. Their games have had an average line of 9 runs, and 15.1% of their games have had lines set at 9 runs. 63.5% of their games have had lines set below 9 runs. Their games have gone over the line in two straight games.

Arizona has been the top offense in the league this season, averaging 5.5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.7 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks are also the top team in terms of on-base percentage and OPS. As a team, they are batting .263, which is the 2nd best mark in the league.

Ketel Marte has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/23 in his last seven games with three homers. For the season, he is batting .294 with 35 home runs and 93 RBIs. Eugenio Suarez is also a big power threat in the lineup, as he is 2nd on the team with 29 homers and leads the Diamondbacks with 98 RBIs.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Spread

San Diego’s average run margin on the road is +1.1, and its run line record away from Petco Park is 49-29. The Padres are 3-0 against the run line in their last three games as underdogs, and their overall run line record is 82-77. San Diego’s average run margin in winning games is +3.6, while it’s -3.4 in losing games.

Yu Darvish gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. He has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 6-3 with an ERA of 3.18. Darvish’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.06. In his 15 appearances, he has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 8.72 strikeouts per nine innings. Darvish’s last outing came on September 22nd, where he finished with a no-decision, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on three hits. He did not allow a homer in that outing.

When betting the run line on the Diamondbacks this season, the best strategy has been to take them on the road, where they are 48-33 against the run line. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 47-28 against the run line, compared to 36-48 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is 4.2, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.8.

Right-hander Merrill Kelly gets the start for the Diamondbacks today and comes in with a record of 5-0. His ERA for the season is 3.71, along with a WHIP of 1.13. So far, Kelly has made 12 starts, and opponents are batting .226 off him this season. Kelly has turned in five quality starts this year and is averaging 7.28 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Kelly pitched five scoreless innings, picking up the win. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without a win. Kelly has finished with a no-decision in three straight outings.

Padres vs. Diamondbacks Pick: Diamondbacks ML -132

There are a few ways you could look to bet on this game, but our strongest recommendation is to take the Diamondbacks on the money line, where you can get them at -132. We have the Diamondbacks winning this one 6-5, meaning you could also look to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 9 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Yu Darvish is projected to finish with six strikeouts, while Merrill Kelly is projected to finish with five. However, we have Kelly finishing with a better chance to pick up a win, as he is 12th among starters, compared to Darvish, who is seventh.