Orioles vs Yankees Prediction & MLB Odds For Thursday, September 26th
There appears to be a chance of rain for Thursday’s Orioles vs. Yankees matchup in New York, as the forecasted temperature is 71 degrees. Gerrit Cole will start for the Yankees, while the Orioles are turning to Corbin Burnes. The money line odds have the Yankees at -147 compared to the Orioles at +123. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is set for 7:05 PM ET.
New York is currently on a two-game losing streak and is 92-66 overall. They are first in the AL East, while the Orioles are second with a record of 88-70. MLBN will be televising Thursday’s game.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Orioles 1.5 (-180) | Yankees -1.5 (+147)
- Total: 7.5
- MoneyLine: Orioles +123 | Yankees -147
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Orioles vs. Yankees Prediction: Moneyline
Baltimore rallied for four runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Orioles vs. Yankees series. The Orioles scored three runs in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up four in the top of the 9th, picking up a 9-7 win. Heading into the game, the Orioles were at +103 on the money line.
Zach Eflin got the start for the Orioles, going just 4 2/3 innings while giving up three runs and striking out five. Jacob Webb got the win out of the bullpen, and Keegan Akin got the save. Marcus Stroman had a rough outing for the Yankees, giving up six runs in just 3 1/3 innings of work.
Cedric Mullins, Gunnar Henderson, and Colton Cowser each had two RBIs for the Orioles’ offense. Mullins, Jordan Westburg, and James McCann each had two hits and scored two runs.
The Orioles are 88-70 overall and trail the Yankees by four games in the AL East. Baltimore has won two straight games, and they are 32-19 against other teams in the AL East. So far, they have dropped the first two games of the series.
As the road team today, the Orioles are 44-33 this season. They have been good at home, going 44-37. Baltimore has won two straight games as the underdog, and they are 18-18 as the underdog overall. The Orioles’ overall series record is 24-18-7, and they have dropped five straight series.
The Yankees are 92-66 overall this season, and they lead the AL East by four games over the Orioles. New York will be at home for today’s game, and they are 25-26 in divisional matchups this year. The Yankees have dropped two straight games, and this includes losing the first two games of this series vs. the Orioles.
At home, the Yankees are 42-35 this year, and they have been really good on the road at 50-31. As the favorite, the Yankees are 74-58 this year and 18-8 when the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 30-15-4, and they have won five straight series.
Orioles vs. Yankees Prediction: Over/Under
When the Baltimore Orioles are on the road, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The Orioles and their opponents have combined to average 9.2 runs per game this season. Baltimore’s over/under record for the season is 84-63, with the average line for their games set at 8 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 10-7. Overall, 79.1% of their games have had higher lines than 7.5 runs.
Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson have been the Orioles’ top power threats this season, with Santander’s 44 homers leading the team and Henderson’s 37 homers being the second-most on the team and 7th in the league. Henderson also comes into the game with a seven-game hitting streak, during which he has gone 14/41 (.341). Santander has struggled of late, hitting just .184 over his last 10 games.
As a team, the Orioles are 2nd in the league in home runs and are 5th in runs scored at 4.8 per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .249 (8th) and have the league’s 3rd best slugging percentage.
The Yankees are playing at home today against the Orioles, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Yankees games this season is 9.1 runs, and their over/under record is 83-70. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 7-9. Overall, 86.7% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, with only 3.2% of their games having lower lines.
Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they are also 3rd in the league in scoring at 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .249, which is 8th in the league, and they have the best team on-base percentage in the league.
Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been the Yankees’ top two hitters this season, with Judge leading the league with 57 homers and Soto’s 41 long balls being the 4th best mark in the league. Judge is also batting .324 for the season and has gone 10/26 with four homers over his last eight games. Gleyber Torres is also on a five-game hitting streak and has gone 13/38 in his last eight games.
Orioles vs. Yankees Prediction: Spread
When the Orioles are on the road, they have a run line record of 46-31, which includes a current run line win streak of two games. They are 24-12 against the run line as the underdog, but just 60-62 as the favorite. On average, the Orioles have a run differential of 0.7 runs per game when playing on the road.
Right-hander Corbin Burnes gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 31 starts this season and has a record of 15-8 with a 2.95 ERA. Burnes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.11, and opponents are batting .212 off him this year. In his last outing, Burnes pitched seven scoreless innings, picking up the win and not allowing a homer. Before that, he had given up a homer in three straight starts. Burnes has made 22 quality starts this year and is averaging 8.18 strikeouts per nine innings.
Despite a losing run line record at home, the Yankees have been a solid bet overall this season, going 82-76. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 49-32 against the run line. The Yankees have been favored in most games this season, and they have a losing run line record in those games, going 60-72. They have been a strong bet as an underdog, going 22-4 against the run line.
Gerrit Cole will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Athletics and picked up the win. In that September 20th outing, he went 9 innings, giving up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Cole has made 16 starts, and his record for the season is 7-5. The right-hander’s ERA is 3.67, along with a WHIP of 1.18. Opponents have a batting average of .218 vs. Cole this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 9.58 strikeouts and 2.85 walks. For the year, Cole has allowed 11 homers. At home, his ERA is 5.4 compared to 3.09 on the road.
Orioles vs. Yankees Pick: Orioles ML +123
Our pick for this Orioles vs. Yankees matchup is to take the Orioles on the money line at +123. We actually have the Orioles winning this one by a score of 5-4. So you could also look to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 7.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Gerrit Cole finishing with six strikeouts and Corbin Burnes with five. However, we have Cole going deeper into the game, with a projected innings pitched of 6.5, compared to Burnes at 5.5.
