Orioles vs Tigers Prediction & MLB Odds For Sunday, September 15th
First pitch for Sunday’s Orioles vs. Tigers matchup is set for 12:10 PM ET from Comerica Park in Detroit. The Tigers are 4th in the AL Central and have a record of 76-73, while the Orioles are 2nd in the AL East with an overall record of 84-65.
Baltimore is currently favored on the money line, and the over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs. Keider Montero is starting for the Tigers, and the Orioles are sending Cade Povich to the mound. The Tigers are -105 on the money line.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Orioles -1.5 (+145) | Tigers 1.5 (-176)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Orioles -114 | Tigers -105
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Orioles vs. Tigers Prediction: Moneyline
Baltimore picked up a 4-2 road win over the Tigers in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a huge 7th inning, scoring three of their four runs. As for the Tigers, they scored their only two runs in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Orioles were favored at -145 on the money line.
Corbin Burnes started for the Orioles and picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued one walk. On the other side, Beau Brieske only went one inning for the Tigers, giving up no runs on no hits.
Gunnar Henderson was the difference for the Orioles, as he homered, scored twice, and finished with two RBIs. Cedric Mullins and Livan Soto each had two hits and an RBI. Parker Meadows hit a home run for the Tigers, going 1/4.
Baltimore is 84-65 overall this season, putting them 2nd in the AL East, two games behind the Yankees for the division lead. The Orioles have gone 30-19 in AL East games this season. They are looking to even their series with the Tigers today, as they are 25-15-7 in series this year.
At home, the Orioles are 42-33 this season, and they are one game over .500 at 42-32 on the road. Baltimore has really thrived as the favorite this year, going 68-48, and they are 16-17 as the underdog. The Orioles’ overall record is a bit below .500 at 4-6 over their last 10 games.
Detroit is 76-73 overall and trails the Guardians by nine games in the AL Central. So far, they are 24-22 in divisional games. The Tigers are at home today, where they are 38-36 this year. They have been a solid 38-37 on the road.
This season, the Tigers have been the favorite in 59 games, going 35-24 in those matchups. As the underdog, they are 41-49 this year. Detroit’s overall series record is 22-20-5, and they have won two straight series.
Orioles vs. Tigers Prediction: Over/Under
The Orioles are on the road against the Tigers today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. Baltimore’s games have averaged 9.2 runs this season, and their over/under record is 78-60. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, they are 24-19. Overall, 47 of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs, which is 31.5% of their games. Their current under streak is at 4 games.
Over the past 10 games, Gunnar Henderson has been on a tear for the Orioles, going 15/40 with three homers and four RBIs. This has helped him move into the team’s 2nd home run spot, as he now has 37 homers this season. Henderson also comes into the game on a six-game hitting streak. Anthony Santander has also been a big power threat for the Orioles, as he is 3rd in the MLB with 41 homers and is 11th in the league with 95 RBIs.
As a team, the Orioles are 2nd in the league in home runs and are averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s top team in isolated power (.187).
When the Detroit Tigers play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Their combined run average for the season is 8.2, and their over/under record is 74-71. Their games have averaged eight runs per game, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 15-14. The under has hit in three straight games for the Tigers.
Riley Greene has been the Tigers’ top power threat this season, as his 21 homers leads the team. He also comes into the game with 66 RBIs, which is also the best mark on the team. Greene is batting .263 for the season, which is the same average as Colt Keith. Matt Vierling is just behind them at .259 and has 16 homers.
For the season, the Tigers are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. They have been a little better on the road, averaging 4.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .234 and have an OBP of only .298. However, they do have a few players who have been swinging the bat well of late, including Parker Meadows, who has gone 6/18 in his last five games.
Orioles vs. Tigers Prediction: Spread
When the Orioles are on the road, they have a run line record of 44-30, which is the best in the American League. Their average run differential in those games is +0.7 runs per game, which is also the best in the AL. As the underdog, they have a run line record of 22-11, which is the best in the AL. Their average run differential in those games is +0.7 runs per game, which is also the best in the AL.
Cade Povich gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Tigers on the road. He has made 13 starts this year and has a record of 2-8 with a 5.91 ERA. Povich’s WHIP for the season is 1.59, and opponents are batting .281 this year. The left-hander has turned in three quality starts this year and is averaging 7.31 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Povich took the loss, giving up four earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had pitched 7 1/3 scoreless innings and got the win.
The Tigers have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 78-71 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 46-29. They have been a better bet on the run line as an underdog, going 57-33. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.6 runs per game, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.3 runs per game.
Keider Montero will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. In that outing vs. the Rockies, he went nine innings and didn’t give up a walk. Montero has a record of 5-6 this season and an ERA of 4.88. Looking at his overall numbers, Montero has a WHIP of 1.28 and has issued just 2.82 walks per nine innings. So far, he has made 14 starts, one of which was a complete game shutout. Montero has four quality starts this year.
Orioles vs. Tigers Pick: Tigers ML -105
We see the Tigers coming away with a 6-5 win over the Orioles, and with the Tigers at -105 on the money line, this is the best way to go. Offensively, we actually have the Orioles finishing with more hits than the Tigers, but the Tigers lineup is projected to hit more home runs.
Looking at today’s starters, Keider Montero is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which is good for seventh worst among today’s starters. As for Cade Povich, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is 18th among starters.