Orioles vs Red Sox Prediction & MLB Odds For Wednesday, September 11th

Wednesday’s matchup between the Orioles and Red Sox has a first pitch set for 7:10 PM ET from Fenway Park in Boston. The forecast for the game calls for temperatures in the high 70s and partly cloudy skies.

Dean Kremer gets the start for the Orioles, and he is facing off against Nick Pivetta for the Red Sox. Boston is 73-72, while the Orioles are 83-63. Baltimore is +104 on the money line, and the Red Sox are favored at -124. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and this game can be seen on MASN.

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Orioles 1.5 (-187) | Red Sox -1.5 (+159)
• Total: 9
• MoneyLine: Orioles +104 | Red Sox -124

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction: Moneyline

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Orioles vs Red Sox series. Baltimore went into the matchup as +117 underdogs and squeaked out a 5-3 win. The Orioles offense only had two more hits than the Red Sox and struck out 10 times, but still picked up a win.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Albert Suarez for the Orioles and Kutter Crawford for the Red Sox. Suarez only went six innings but gave up just one hit and one earned run. On the other side, Crawford was tagged for two homers and three runs in 6 1/3 innings of work.

Baltimore’s two homers came from Cedric Mullins and Adley Rutschman. Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins, Mullins,

Baltimore is 83-63 overall and trail the Yankees by just a half-game for the AL East lead. They will be on the road today to take on the Red Sox, and Boston is 10 games behind the Yankees for the division lead. So far, the Orioles have gone 30-18 in AL East matchups.

The Orioles have an overall series record of 24-14-7 this year, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games. At home, Baltimore has gone 42-33 compared to 41-30 on the road. As the favorite, the Orioles are 67-47 this year, and they are an even 16-16 as the underdog.

Boston is 73-72 overall, and they are 10 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. The Red Sox are 3rd in the division and have gone just 19-19 against other AL East teams. So far, they are 34-40 at home compared to 39-32 on the road.

So far, the Red Sox have been the favorite in 73 of their games, and they are 40-33 in those matchups. As the underdog, Boston is 33-39 this year. At home, they are 25-28 when favored. The Red Sox’ overall series record is 22-17-6, and they are currently tied in their series vs. the Orioles.

Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction: Over/Under

The Baltimore Orioles are on the road today against the Boston Red Sox. The over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs, which is right around their season average of 9.2 runs per game. The Orioles have a strong over/under record of 78-57 on the season, and when the line is set at 9 runs, they have gone 15-14-4. Interestingly, only 8.9% of their games this season have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, with the majority of their games having lower lines.

Over their last 10 games, both Cedric Mullins and Gunnar Henderson have been swinging a hot bat for the Orioles, with Mullins hitting .406 with four homers and Henderson batting .375 with three home runs. Henderson is also on a three-game hitting streak. Henderson comes into the game with a team-best batting average of .282 and is 2nd on the team with 36 homers.

As a team, the Orioles are 2nd in the league in home runs and are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 4th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s top team in terms of isolated power and are also the top slugging team in the league.

The Boston Red Sox are playing at home against the Baltimore Orioles today. The over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The combined run average for Red Sox games this season is 9.5 runs. Boston has a 74-64 over/under record this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, the Red Sox have an 8-5-3 record. So far this season, 30.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, while 58.6% have had lower lines.

As a team, the Red Sox are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in the majors. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Boston is also one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, coming in 7th in the league in homers. The Red Sox have the league’s best team BABIP and are 5th in batting average.

Rafael Devers and Tyler O’Neill have been two of the Red Sox’s top power threats this season, with Devers leading the team with 81 RBIs and O’Neill’s 29 homers pacing the club. Devers is also 2nd on the team with 28 homers and is batting .281. O’Neill has gone 7/22 with four homers over his last six games. Jarren Duran is also having a good season, batting .288 with 21 homers.

Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction: Spread

When the Orioles are on the road, they have been a solid bet to cover the run line, going 43-28. Their average run margin in all games is +0.6, and they have been outscored by an average of 0.2 runs per game at home. They have been a run line underdog in 32 games and have covered in 22 of them.

Right-hander Dean Kremer is starting for the Orioles today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. He has made 21 starts this year and has a record of 7-9 with an ERA of 4.27. Kremer’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.27. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run to the Rays. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Kremer has a total of eight quality starts this year and is averaging 8.54 strikeouts per nine innings.

When the Red Sox win, they do so by an average of 3.9 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 4.0 runs per game. Their run line record is 67-78, and they are 27-47 against the run line at home. As the underdog, they are 40-32 against the run line, while as the favorite, they are 27-46.

Nick Pivetta will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work but finished with a no-decision. In that outing vs. the White Sox, he gave up three walks and five hits. Looking back over his last four outings, Pivetta has finished with a no-decision in three of them. The right-hander has a record of 5-10 this season and an ERA of 4.38. Opponents are batting .231 off Pivetta this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 10.73 strikeouts and just 2.26 walks.

Orioles vs. Red Sox Pick: Orioles ML +104

Our pick for this Orioles vs. Red Sox matchup is to take the Orioles on the money line, with the payout sitting at +104. We have the Orioles winning this one by a final score of 6-5.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Dean Kremer finishing with five strikeouts compared to Nick Pivetta with six. However, we have Pivetta going for just four innings, which doesn’t give him a lot of upside.