Orioles vs Red Sox Prediction & MLB Odds For Tuesday, September 10th
Both the Orioles and Red Sox are dealing with losing streaks heading into Tuesday’s matchup, as the Orioles have dropped three straight and the Red Sox have lost two in a row. This game is set to get started at 7:10 PM ET from Fenway Park in Boston, and the Red Sox are slight favorites on the money line (-113).
Baltimore will be looking to get back on track behind Albert Suarez, while the Red Sox are starting Kutter Crawford. Tuesday’s over/under line is at 9.5 runs, and the Orioles are 2nd in the AL East, while the Red Sox are 3rd. MASN is carrying this game on TV.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Orioles -1.5 (+145) | Red Sox 1.5 (-183)
- Total: 9.5
- MoneyLine: Orioles -105 | Red Sox -113
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction: Moneyline
Boston cruised to a 12-3 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a huge 3rd inning, scoring nine of their twelve runs. As for the Orioles, they scored their only three runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were favored at -123 on the money line.
Rob Refsnyder and Tyler O’Neill each homered twice for the Red Sox. Refsnyder, Rafael Devers, and Ceddanne Rafaela each had three hits and four RBIs. Devers also scored two runs for Boston’s offense.
Brayan Bello only went five innings for the Red Sox but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued five walks. On the other side, Cade Povich had a rough outing for the Orioles, taking the loss after going just 4 2/3 innings.
Baltimore comes into today’s road matchup vs. the Red Sox having dropped three straight games. The Orioles are 82-63 overall, putting them 1.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. So far, they have gone 29-18 against other teams in the AL East.
At home, the Orioles have gone 42-33 this year while posting a 40-30 mark on the road. As the favorite, the Orioles are 67-47 this year and 15-16 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Orioles are 24-14-7 this year.
Boston is 73-71 overall, putting them 3rd in the AL East, ten games behind the Yankees for the division lead. So far, they have gone 19-18 against other teams in the AL East. The Red Sox have lost five straight as the underdog, and they are 33-39 as the underdog overall.
At home, the Red Sox are 34-39 this year compared to 39-32 on the road. Boston has an overall series record of 22-17-6 and are 4-6 over their last ten games. As the favorite, the Red Sox are 40-32 this year.
Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction: Over/Under
The Orioles are on the road against the Red Sox today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs. Baltimore’s games have averaged 9.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 78-56. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, but when the line has been set at 9.5 runs, they have gone over in 7 out of 9 games. Only 2.1% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs this season.
So far this season, the Orioles have been one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, putting up 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .250, which is 9th in the league, and are the top home run hitting team in the league, with 212 homers.
Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson have been the Orioles’ top power threats this season, with Santander’s 40 homers leading the team and Henderson’s 36 homers being the 2nd most on the team and 6th in the league. Henderson has been hot of late, hitting .341 over his last 10 games with three homers.
The Red Sox have a combined run average of 9.5 this season, and their over/under record is 74-63. When the over/under line is set at 9.5, their record is 13-14. In the 174 games they’ve played, only 16 have had an over/under line set at 9.5, which is just 11.1% of their games. The average over/under line for their games this season is 9 runs, and 70.1% of their games have had a lower line than 9.5.
Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, Boston is one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams and also have the league’s best team BABIP. As a team, the Red Sox are batting .257, which is the 5th best mark in the league.
Rafael Devers and Tyler O’Neill have been a strong 1-2 punch for the Red Sox this season, as Devers leads the team with 81 RBIs and O’Neill is just behind him with 56. Devers is also 2nd on the team with 28 homers, while O’Neill’s 29 homers is the best mark on the team and 12th in the league. O’Neill has been hot of late, going 10/31 with five homers over his last nine games.
Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction: Spread
When the Orioles are the favorite, they are 57-57 against the run line, but they are 21-10 when they are the underdog. Their average run differential in wins is 3.8, while it is -3.6 in losses. They have covered the run line in 42 of their 70 road games this season.
Right-hander Albert Suárez gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. This year, he has made 20 starts, and his record is 7-5 with a 3.49 ERA. Suárez’s WHIP for the season is 1.31, and opponents are batting .251 off him this year. In his 20 starts, Suárez has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 6.91 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he pitched, Suárez took the loss, giving up six earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had not allowed a homer in three straight starts.
When the Red Sox are favored, they have a run line record of 27-45. When they are the underdog, they are 40-32. They have a run line losing streak when favored of four games. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.9, while it is -4.0 in losing games.
Red Sox starter Kutter Crawford will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Orioles today. In that start, he gave up 2 earned runs in 6 innings of work, taking the loss. Crawford has lost each of his last three starts and has given up 2 earned runs in each of those outings. Looking back further, he has made 29 starts this year and has a record of 8-13. Crawford’s ERA is 4.08, and opponents are batting .212 this year. His WHIP for the season is 1.07. Out of his 29 starts, Crawford has turned in 13 quality starts.
Orioles vs. Red Sox Pick: Orioles ML -105
Our prediction for this Orioles vs. Red Sox matchup is to take the Orioles on the money line, with the payout being -105. We have the Orioles winning this one by a score of 6-5.
There are a few reasons we are going with the Orioles, but one of the main ones is that we have Albert Suarez finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the third-best among starters today. As for the Red Sox, Kutter Crawford is predicted to finish with six strikeouts, which is 15th.
Looking at the lineups, the Orioles are predicted to finish with 11 hits, compared to the Red Sox, who are projected to finish with nine.
