Nationals vs Mets Prediction & MLB Odds For Wednesday, September 18th
Wednesday’s matchup between the Nationals and Mets has a first pitch set for 7:10 PM ET from Citi Field in New York, NY. The Mets are currently on a two-game winning streak and are 83-68 overall, while the Nationals have lost two straight and are 68-83.
Jose Quintana will start for the Mets, and he is facing a Nationals team starting DJ Herz. The money line odds have the Mets at -170 compared to the Nationals at +144. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and MASN will be televising this game.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Nationals 1.5 (-154) | Mets -1.5 (+127)
- Total: 7.5
- MoneyLine: Nationals +144 | Mets -170
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Nationals vs. Mets Prediction: Moneyline
New York cruised to an easy 10-1 win over the Nationals in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 3rd inning, scoring four of their ten runs. As for the Nationals, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -171 on the money line.
Tylor Megill pitched well for the Mets in this one, going six innings and striking out four without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Mitchell Parker took the loss for the Nationals, going just 3 2/3 innings and giving up five earned runs.
Pete Alonso and Luisangel Acuna each homered for the Mets, while Francisco Alvarez went 1/3 with two RBIs and two runs scored. Jose Iglesias also had a three-hit game at the plate.
With an overall record of 68-83, the Nationals are 4th in the NL East, 23 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. Currently, they trail the Braves by 10 games for 3rd place in the division. The Nationals have dropped two straight games, which comes after winning four in a row.
At home, the Nationals are 36-39 this season, and they are 32-44 on the road. As the underdog, the Nationals are 53-70 this season, and they are 15-13 when favored. Washington has an overall series record of 19-22-6 this year.
With an overall record of 83-68, the Mets trail the Phillies by eight games in the NL East. New York will be at home today as they take on the Nationals, and they have won two straight games overall. Their two-game winning streak has come after dropping the final two games of their series vs. the Cardinals.
This season, the Mets have gone 42-34 at home compared to a 41-34 mark on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 55-37 this season and 28-31 as the underdog. New York has won two straight games at home, and their overall series record is 25-17-8.
Nationals vs. Mets Prediction: Over/Under
The Washington Nationals are on the road today against the New York Mets, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Nationals games this season is 8.9 runs, and their over/under record is 71-74. The average over/under line for their games this season is 9 runs, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 17-10. Overall, in 122 of their games this season, the over/under line has been set higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 80.8% of their games.
So far this season, the Nationals are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. Even worse, they are near the bottom of the league in home runs and have the 5th most strikeouts in the league. As a team, they are batting .243, which is 11th in the league.
Washington’s top home run hitters are CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr., who have 20 and 16 homers, respectively. Both players are also near the top of the team in RBIs. Abrams comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak, but he is just 4/19 in his last five games. Dylan Crews is also struggling, going 5/20 in his last five games.
When the New York Mets play at home, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. This season, the Mets have played 35 games with an over/under line of 7.5 runs, and their record in those games is 19-16. Overall, the Mets’ games have averaged 9.0 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 75-71.
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top power threats this season, as they are 2nd and 1st on the team in home runs, respectively. Both players also come into the game on five-game hitting streaks. Lindor has gone 6/25 in his last eight games, while Alonso has gone 13/30 in that stretch. Lindor’s 86 RBIs are the top mark on the team, while Alonso also has 86 RBIs and is batting .246 for the season.
Overall, the Mets are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .248 (9th) and have the league’s 5th best home run total. New York’s team batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage are all rated as average.
Nationals vs. Mets Prediction: Spread
Washington has been a run line winner in 84 of its 151 games this season, including a 44-32 mark on the road. The Nationals have been a run line underdog in 123 games, going 71-52 in those contests. Washington’s average run differential this season is -0.6 runs per game, and the team has gone 13-15 against the run line as the favorite.
Washington is sending DJ Herz to the mound today vs. the Mets, and he will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win. In that September 13th start vs. the Marlins, Herz went 5 innings, giving up just 1 earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Herz has made 17 starts, and his record for the season is 4-7. The right-hander has an ERA of 3.70, along with a WHIP of 1.21. Opposing batters have a batting average of .214 vs. Herz this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 10.98 strikeouts and 3.36 walks.
When the Mets win, they win big, averaging a run margin of +3.7. When they lose, they lose big, averaging a run margin of -3.4. Their overall run line record is 76-75, with a +0.5 run margin per game. They are 42-33 against the run line on the road, and 34-42 against the run line at home.
Jose Quintana gets the start for the Mets today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run. In that September 13th start vs. the Phillies, Quintana went seven innings, giving up just four hits. He finished with three walks and six strikeouts in the outing. Looking back further, Quintana has allowed just one earned run in three straight outings. His record for the season is 9-9, and his ERA is 3.91. Opponents are batting .237 off Quintana this season.
Nationals vs. Mets Pick: Over 7.5 Runs -108
Our prediction for this Nationals vs. Mets matchup is to take the Mets to win at -170. However, with the money line payout for the Mets being just -170, we actually like the over at 7.5 runs, as our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Mets.
If you’re looking for a starting pitcher to rack up some strikeouts, we actually have Nationals starter DJ Herz finishing with the most strikeouts among today’s starters with eight. As for Mets starter Jose Quintana, we have him finishing with just four strikeouts.
