Mets vs Phillies Prediction & MLB Odds For Sunday, September 15th
At 1:35 PM ET, the Mets and Phillies will face off in an NL East matchup. This one is taking place at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, and the Phillies are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -147 compared to the Mets at +125.
David Peterson is starting for the Mets, and he is facing off against Cristopher Sanchez. The Mets are 81-67 this season, while the Phillies are 89-59 and are currently in 1st place in the NL East. New York is 2nd in the division. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs, and WPIX is carrying this one on TV.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Mets 1.5 (-173) | Phillies -1.5 (+142)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Mets +125 | Phillies -147
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Mets vs. Phillies Prediction: Moneyline
Philadelphia picked up a 6-4 win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a two-run lead going into the 7th inning, and the Mets could only muster two more runs in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -118 on the money line.
Bryce Harper hit two home runs for the Phillies while going 2/4 with three RBIs and two runs scored. Cal Stevenson and J.T. Realmuto each had two hits and two RBIs. For the Mets, Starling Marte went 2/2 with three RBIs.
Kolby Allard only went three innings for the Phillies but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. Orion Kerkering got the win out of the bullpen, and Carlos Estévez got the save. Danny Young took the loss for the Mets out of the bullpen.
Heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Phillies, the Mets are eight games behind the Phillies in the NL East. Overall, the Mets are 81-67, and they have gone 23-18 against other teams in the division. The Mets have won five straight series, and they are 25-16-7 in series this year.
The Mets have been good as the favorite this year, going 53-37, and they are 28-30 as the underdog. As for their overall record, the Mets have gone 40-34 at home compared to 41-33 on the road. New York has been playing well lately, going 7-3 over their last ten games.
With an overall record of 89-59, the Phillies lead the NL East by eight games over the Mets. The Phillies took the series opener, but the Mets bounced back to take game two of the series. So far, the Phillies have gone 26-18 in divisional games.
At home, the Phillies are 51-26 this season, and they are above .500 on the road at 38-33. As the favorite, the Phillies have gone 76-44 this season, and they are 50-23 as the favorite at home. Looking at their overall record in series, the Phillies are 26-15-6 this year.
Mets vs. Phillies Prediction: Over/Under
The Mets are on the road today against the Phillies, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average in Mets games this season is 9.1 runs, and their over/under record is 74-69. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 26-19. This season, 24.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and their current over streak is at 3 games.
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top power threats this season, as they have gone deep 31 and 32 times, respectively. Lindor is batting .270 for the season and is currently on a three-game hitting streak. Alonso’s batting average is just .239, but he has been able to get on base at a .327 clip.
Over the last eight games, Jose Iglesias has gone 11/28, and he is currently on an eight-game hitting streak. However, he has yet to hit a home run during this stretch. Francisco Alvarez and Mark Vientos have both hit two homers over their last eight games, but Alvarez has just a .217 average in this stretch, while Vientos is batting .194.
The Philadelphia Phillies are set to host the New York Mets at Citizens Bank Park with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The Phillies have seen their games average a combined 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 70-71. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 16-14. Overall, 29.1% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs.
Not only do the Phillies have one of the best team batting averages in the league at .258, but they also have the 4th most home runs in the league and are 4th in the league in runs scored at 4.9 runs per game. This is a lineup that has been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Over the past nine games, Bryce Harper has been on fire, going 14/35 with two homers and six RBIs.
Philadelphia’s offense is led by Kyle Schwarber, who is 7th in the league with 35 homers and is 11th in the league with 95 RBIs. He is batting just .250 this season but has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/28 with three homers in his last eight games. Alec Bohm and Bryce Harper are both batting .290 for the season.
Mets vs. Phillies Prediction: Spread
The Mets have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 74-74 overall. They have been particularly strong on the road, where they are 41-33 against the run line. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 34-24, compared to 40-50 as the favorite. Their average run margin for the season is +0.4 runs per game.
Left-hander David Peterson gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 9-2 with a 2.98 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .241 this season, and he has a WHIP of 1.35. In his 18 appearances, Peterson has turned in 10 quality starts. In his most recent outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts. So far, he has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 5-1 and 3.32 ERA compared to 4-1 with a 3.02 ERA at home.
When the Phillies win, they do so by an average of 3.9 runs per game, which has led to a run line record of 72-76. Their overall run line record is 35-42 at home and 37-34 on the road. As the favorite, they are 57-63 against the run line, while they are 15-13 as the underdog.
Phillies starter Cristopher Sánchez finished with a no-decision in his last outing, going six innings and not giving up a run to the Rays. He only gave up four hits and one walk in the outing. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. Sánchez has made 28 appearances this year and has a record of 10-9 with a 3.33 ERA. Opponents are batting .255 off the left-hander this year. Sánchez has two complete games and one shutout this year, along with 16 quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.36 strikeouts and just 2.02 walks.
Mets vs. Phillies Pick: Phillies ML -147
Our predicted final score for this one is 6-5 in favor of the Phillies. We would recommend taking them on the money line at -147. Offensively, we have the Phillies finishing with nine hits, which has them ranked 15th in the league in terms of hits.
For the Mets, we have them finishing with five runs and eight hits. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look at the over/under, as the line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and we have this one going over.
