Mets vs Phillies Prediction & MLB Odds For Friday, September 13th
First pitch for Friday’s matchup between the Mets and Phillies is set for 6:40 PM ET from Citizen Bank Park in Philadelphia. The Phillies are currently on a three-game winning streak and are 88-58 overall, while the Mets are 80-66 and are 2nd in the NL East.
Jose Quintana will start for the Mets, and he is facing off against Aaron Nola for the Phillies. Philadelphia is the heavy favorite on the money line, with the odds sitting at -163 compared to the Mets at +138. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Mets 1.5 (-155) | Phillies -1.5 (+127)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Mets +138 | Phillies -163
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Mets vs. Phillies Prediction: Moneyline
The Mets’s offense was carried by Francisco Alvarez in their most recent game vs. the Blue Jays. Alvarez went only 1/4, but his one hit was a home run, and he drove in three runs. The Mets also scored six runs in the 9th inning to really break things open. New York was the -135 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Sean Manaea got the start for the Mets, going 6 2/3 innings, and giving up just one run on three hits. He also issued only one walk and struck out eight Blue Jays batters. Danny Young picked up the win out of the bullpen, and Edwin Diaz closed things out in the 9th.
The Mets are eight games behind the Phillies in the NL East as they are 80-66 overall this season. New York is 22-17 against other teams in the NL East. The Mets are 53-37 when favored and 27-29 as the underdog this year.
At home, the Mets are 40-34 and have gone 40-32 on the road. New York has won five straight series, and their overall series record is 25-16-7. They have won three straight series on the road, and they took two of three from the Blue Jays in their most recent series.
The Phillies’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Rays, closing out their series with a 3-2 win. After allowing one run to the Rays in the top of the first, the Phillies responded with two runs of their own. Philadelphia went on to add another run in the 2nd inning, finishing off the scoring for the Phillies. Going into the game, the Phillies were at -230 on the money line.
Zack Wheeler put together a good start for the Phillies, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. He also issued just three walks and struck out nine Rays batters. Nick Castellanos only had one hit, but it was a home run, and the Phillies’s other two runs came from a Rays error.
Philadelphia is hosting the Mets today with an overall record of 88-58, and they lead the NL East by eight games. The Phillies have won three straight games, and they closed out their series vs. the Rays with a win. This season, they have gone 25-17 in divisional games.
At home, the Phillies are 50-25 this season, and they are 38-33 on the road. As the favorite, Philadelphia has gone 75-43 and 13-15 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 26-15-6 this season.
Mets vs. Phillies Prediction: Over/Under
When the New York Mets are the road team, the over/under line for their games is set at 8.5 runs. The Mets have played in 94 games with an average combined run total of 9.1 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 72-69, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 25-19. In 35 of their games, the over/under line has been set higher than 8.5 runs, accounting for 24.0% of their games this season.
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have both been big run producers for the Mets this season, as they are tied for the team lead with 31 homers apiece. Lindor is also 15th in the league with 85 RBIs, while Alonso is 2nd on the team with 80 runs batted in. Lindor is batting .268 for the season and Alonso is hitting .238. Mark Vientos is 2nd on the team in home runs and has a solid batting average of .276.
Jose Iglesias has been swinging the bat well for the Mets, as he has gone 7/18 over his last six games. This includes a current six-game hitting streak. However, he does not have a home run during this stretch. Mark Vientos has struggled of late, going just 3/21 in his last six games.
Philadelphia has seen 42 of its games this season with an over/under line set at 8.5 runs. In those games, the over has gone 15-14, and the combined run average in those games is 8.9 runs per game. Overall, the Phillies’ over/under record for the season is 68-71, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs.
So far this season, the Phillies are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 5th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Overall, they are the league’s 4th best hitting team, with a team batting average of .259. Philadelphia’s offense has been very patient at the plate, as they are 7th in the league in walks and have the 4th best on-base percentage in the league.
Currently, Kyle Schwarber is the Phillies’ top power threat, as his 35 home runs lead the team and is 7th best in the MLB. He also comes into the game on a nine-game hitting streak. Schwarber’s 95 RBIs are also the best mark on the team and 9th in the league. Over his last four games, Schwarber has gone 4/12 with two homers. Bryce Harper has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/20 in his last five games.
Mets vs. Phillies Prediction: Spread
On the road, the Mets have been a solid run line bet, going 40-32. Their average run margin for the season is +0.4 runs per game, and they are 73-73 on the run line overall. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 33-23 compared to 40-50 as the favorite.
Jose Quintana gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Phillies on the road. So far this season, he has made 28 starts and has a record of 8-9 with an ERA of 4.09. Quintana’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.31. In his 28 appearances, he has turned in 10 quality starts. Looking at his numbers on the road, Quintana is 4-4 with a 5.26 ERA. He most recently pitched on September 7th, where he didn’t allow a run in 6 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in four straight outings.
When the Phillies win, they do so by an average of 3.9 runs, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.8 runs. As a result, their run line record is just below .500 at 71-75. They have been a better bet on the road, going 37-34 against the run line, compared to 34-41 at home.
Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Mets at home. Nola has made 29 starts this year and has a record of 12-7 with a 3.41 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Nola has a WHIP of 1.18 and has pitched one complete game shutout this year. Nola has turned in 18 quality starts and is averaging 8.49 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Nola took the loss, giving up four earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Mets vs. Phillies Pick: Mets ML +138
We like the Mets to pick up a win on the road today against the Phillies. The Mets are currently paying out at +138, and we have them winning this one by a final of 5-4. If you’re looking to get in on the action, we would recommend taking the Mets on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Jose Quintana going 5 innings and finishing with four strikeouts. As for Aaron Nola, we have him going 6 innings and finishing with six K’s.
