Mets vs Brewers Prediction & MLB Odds For Sunday, September 29th

At 3:10 PM ET, the Mets and Brewers face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Brewers are slight home favorites on the money line (+104).

The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and the Mets are looking to snap a three-game losing streak. They are 3rd in the NL East with a record of 87-72. Colin Rea will start for the Brewers, who are 1st in the NL Central with a record of 93-68.

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Mets -1.5 (+135) | Brewers 1.5 (-163)
• Total: 8
• MoneyLine: Mets -123 | Brewers +104

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Mets vs. Brewers Prediction: Moneyline

It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Mets by a score of 6-0. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Mets and struck out 18 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at -109 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Jared Koenig for the Brewers and Jose Quintana for the Mets. Koenig only went one inning but didn’t give up a hit or a run. On the other side, Quintana was tagged for two homers and two earned runs in just 4 1/3 innings of work.

Milwaukee’s two homers came from Willy Adames and Jackson Chourio. Adames, Joey Ortiz, and Andruw Monasterio each had two RBIs for the Brewers’ offense.

The Mets are six games out of the NL East lead, and they trail the Braves by one game for the second Wild Card spot. New York has dropped three straight games, and they are 87-72 overall. So far, they have gone 29-21 against other teams in the NL East.

At home, the Mets have gone 46-35 this season, and they are just above .500 at 41-37 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 58-39 this season, and they are 29-33 when picked as the underdog. New York has dropped five straight games on the road, and their overall series record is 28-18-8. Currently, the Mets are losing the series vs. the Brewers, 0-2.

The Brewers are closing in on the NL Central division title, leading the Cubs by ten games with an overall record of 93-68. Milwaukee has taken three straight games overall, and they have gone 32-20 against other teams in the NL Central this season. The Brewers have also won three straight games at home, and they are 47-33 at home this year.

As the underdog, the Brewers are 39-30 this year, and they have won two straight games as the underdog overall. Milwaukee’s series record is 29-18-4 this year, and they have won five straight series on the road.

Mets vs. Brewers Prediction: Over/Under

The Mets are on the road in Milwaukee today, and the over/under line for their game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 9.1 runs, and their over/under record is 80-74. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 15-9-1. Overall, 51.6% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been the Mets’ top power threats this season, as Alonso’s 34 homers lead the team and is 9th in the league, while Lindor’s 31 homers is 12th in the MLB. Alonso also leads the team with 88 RBIs, while Lindor is 3rd on the team with 86 RBIs. Lindor is batting .271 for the season, while Alonso comes in with a batting average of .241.

Jose Iglesias is currently on a 19-game hitting streak and is batting .421 over his last five games. However, Mark Vientos has struggled of late, going 4/21 over his last five games, but he does have two homers in that stretch.

The Milwaukee Brewers are playing at home today against the New York Mets. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. Both teams have a combined run average of 8.8 runs per game this season. The over/under record for the Brewers this season is 81-70, and their average over/under line is also 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, the Brewers have a record of 13-13-5. Overall, 52.8% of their games have had over/under lines set at over 8 runs this season.

Heading into today’s game, the Brewers are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 6th in the majors. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .249, which is 7th in the league, and have the 4th best on-base percentage in the MLB. Milwaukee also does a good job of avoiding strikeouts and are 3rd in the league in walks.

Willy Adames has been a key source of power for the Brewers this season, as his 32 homers is 11th in the league and leads the team. Adames also has 112 RBIs, which is 4th in the majors. William Contreras has been solid at the plate this season, hitting .281 with 23 homers and 92 RBIs. Over his last eight games, Garrett Mitchell is batting .273 with two homers.

Mets vs. Brewers Prediction: Spread

When the Mets are on the road, they have been a solid bet to cover the run line this season, going 42-36. However, they have failed to cover in their last three road games. They have been favored in 97 games and have gone 44-53 against the run line in those games. They have been an underdog in 62 games and have gone 36-26 against the run line in those games.

Left-hander David Peterson gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 9-3 with a 3.08 ERA. Peterson’s WHIP for the season is 1.33, and opponents are batting .244 this year. In his last outing, he took the loss, going 3 2/3 innings and giving up four earned runs on eight hits. Before that, he had pitched well, giving up just one earned run in each of his previous two outings. One positive note for Peterson is that he has a better record on the road, going 5-1 with a 3.13 ERA compared to 4-2 with a 3.77 ERA at home.

The Brewers are 82-79 on the run line this season, with a +0.9 run differential per game. They are 37-43 on the run line at home, where they have a +0.6 run differential per game. As underdogs, they are 46-23 on the run line, and they have covered in two straight games overall and as underdogs.

Milwaukee is starting right-hander Colin Rea vs. the Mets today. Rea has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 12-5 with an ERA of 4.17. So far, he has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 7.22 strikeouts per nine innings. Rea’s last outing came out of the bullpen, where he went 1 1/3 innings and didn’t give up a run. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight outings. Rea’s ERA at home is 3.98, compared to 4.73 on the road.

Mets vs. Brewers Pick: Brewers ML +104

We see the Brewers taking this one at home with a predicted score of 7-6. Given that they are the underdogs on the money line at +104, that is the route we recommend going. Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Colin Rea finishing with six strikeouts, and he is currently 15th in our starting pitcher rankings.

As for David Peterson, we have him finishing with seven strikeouts, and he is currently fourth in our starting pitcher rankings. However, we have him going up against a Brewers lineup that is projected to have more success at the plate than the Mets.