Mets vs Braves Prediction & MLB Odds For Tuesday, September 24th

At 7:20 PM ET, the Mets and Braves square off in an NL East matchup. This one is being played at Truist Park in Atlanta, and the Braves are favored on the money line (-143). The money line odds for a Mets win are sitting at +121, and the over/under line is at 8 runs.

New York will be looking to keep their two-game winning streak alive, as they are 87-69 and 2nd in the NL East. The Braves are 3rd in the NL East with an overall record of 85-71. Luis Severino will start for the Mets, while the Braves are going with Spencer Schwellenbach.

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Mets 1.5 (-180) | Braves -1.5 (+147)
• Total: 8
• MoneyLine: Mets +121 | Braves -143

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Mets vs. Braves Prediction: Moneyline

The Mets’s offense was carried by Brandon Nimmo in their most recent game vs. the Phillies. Nimmo went 1/4 with a homer and two RBIs. The Mets really needed his big game, as they only scored two runs in their json-pretty to the Phillies. New York was the +120 underdog at home going into this game.

Tylor Megill got the start for the Mets, going four innings and giving up just one run on four hits. He only had six K’s in the outing and took the loss. The Mets’s bullpen was excellent, though, as they didn’t give up a run in their five innings of work. Phil Maton got the win out of the bullpen, and Edwin Diaz picked up the save.

The Mets head into today’s road matchup vs. the Braves having won two straight games, and they are 87-69 overall, putting them 2nd in the NL East. The Mets are 5.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. New York’s overall series record is 27-17-8, and they have won two straight series.

At home, the Mets are 46-35 this season, and they have gone 41-34 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 58-37 and 29-32 as the underdog. New York’s two-game losing streak on the road has come as the underdog.

The Braves’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Marlins, closing out their series with a 5-4 win. After allowing one run to the Marlins in the 2nd inning, the Braves responded with a run of their own and added another in the 3rd to take the lead. Atlanta went on to score another two runs in the 5th to extend their lead to 4-1. The Marlins made things interesting with a three-run 6th, but the Braves’s bullpen was able to close things out, and Atlanta picked up the win.

Grant Holmes got the start for the Braves, going four innings and giving up two earned runs, and picking up the win. Atlanta’s offense was carried by Gio Urshela, who went 3/4 with a homer and a run scored. The Braves also had three other players with two hits.

With an overall record of 85-71, the Braves are 7.5 games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. Currently, they are 3rd in the division and have gone 26-23 in divisional games. The Braves have won two straight games, and they are coming in with a two-game winning streak as the favorite.

At home, the Braves are 42-33 this season, and they are 43-38 on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 72-53, and they are 13-18 as the underdog. Atlanta has won two straight series, and their overall series record is 28-16-7.

Mets vs. Braves Prediction: Over/Under

Today’s over/under line for the New York Mets’ game against the Atlanta Braves is set at 8 runs. The Mets have played in a high-scoring environment this season, with a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 79-72, and they have gone 15-9-1 in games with an over/under line of 8 runs. Overall, 51.9% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs or higher.

Francisco Lindor comes into the game with a four-game hitting streak and is batting .271 for the season. He has been a big run producer for the Mets, as his 86 RBIs are 3rd in the league and 2nd on the team. Pete Alonso leads the Mets with 34 homers and is batting .244 for the season.

Over the team’s last nine games, Luisangel Acuña has gone 11/29 with three homers, and Jose Iglesias has gone 17/39. Iglesias is also on a 16-game hitting streak. Brandon Nimmo and Francisco Alvarez have both hit three homers in their last eight games, but Nimmo has gone just 8/32 in that stretch.

When the Braves are at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, which is exactly their combined run average. The over/under record for the Braves is 58-92, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. When the line is set at 8 runs, the Braves have gone 9-16-1 on the over/under. Overall, 57.1% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs.

Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 38 home runs are 5th best in the league and lead the Braves. He also comes into the game on a six-game hitting streak. Ozuna is batting .309 for the season and is 9th in the league with 101 RBIs. Matt Olson is also a power threat in the lineup, as he has 29 homers this season, which is 12th in the league.

As a team, the Braves are 3rd in home runs and are averaging 4.4 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. Over their last five games, both Olson and Michael Harris II have three homers, with Olson hitting .471 and Harris II batting .480.

Mets vs. Braves Prediction: Spread

When the Mets are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 42-33. They have an average run margin of +0.5 on the road, which is slightly better than their overall average run margin of +0.5. They have been a better bet against the run line as the underdog, going 36-25, compared to 44-51 as the favorite.

Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Braves on the road. So far this season, he has made 30 starts and has a record of 11-6. Severino’s ERA is 3.79, along with a WHIP of 1.23. In his 30 appearances, he has turned in 14 quality starts and is averaging 7.89 strikeouts per nine innings. One of his complete games this year was a shutout. In his last outing, Severino picked up the win, going six innings and giving up three earned runs on two homers. Before that, he had gone 6 2/3 innings without giving up a homer.

The Braves have been a solid run-line bet on the road this season, going 43-38. They have an average run margin of 1.2 runs per game away from home. However, they have struggled to cover the run line at home, going just 31-44.

Spencer Schwellenbach gets the start for the Braves today vs. the Mets and comes into the game with a record of 7-7 and an ERA of 3.61. So far this season, he has made 19 starts, and opponents are batting .234 off the right-hander. Schwellenbach has pitched well recently, picking up the win in his last two outings. In his most recent start, he went six innings and gave up just one earned run. Looking back over his last three outings, he has allowed a total of three homers. One of these outings came at home, where his ERA is 4.06 compared to 3.61 on the road.

Mets vs. Braves Pick: Braves ML -143

Our prediction for this Mets vs. Braves matchup is that the Braves will come out on top by a score of 6-5. Given that they are the favorites, and you can get them at -143, we think that the money line is the best way to play this one.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Spencer Schwellenbach finishing with six strikeouts, which would have him as the fifth best among all starters. As for Luis Severino, he is projected to finish with six, which would have him as the seventh best.