Mets vs Blue Jays Prediction & MLB Odds For Tuesday, September 10th
The money line odds for Tuesday’s Mets vs. Blue Jays interleague matchup have the Mets as the favorite, with their odds sitting at -135 compared to the Blue Jays at +114. First pitch from the Rogers Centre in Toronto is set for 7:07 PM ET, and SNY will be televising this one.
New York comes in with a record of 79-65 and they are 2nd in the NL East, while the Blue Jays are 5th in the AL East with a record of 68-77. Chris Bassitt will start for the Blue Jays, while the Mets are sending David Peterson to the mound.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Mets -1.5 (+120) | Blue Jays 1.5 (-148)
- Total: 8
- MoneyLine: Mets -135 | Blue Jays +114
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Mets vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Moneyline
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Mets vs Blue Jays series. New York went into the matchup as the slight favorites at -131 and squeaked out a 3-2 win. Both teams scored one run in the first inning, and the Blue Jays could only muster one more run in the 7th inning. As for the Mets, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 8th, and Edwin Díaz closed things out.
Tylor Megill pitched well for the Mets in this one, going six innings and striking out nine without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Ryne Stanek got the win out of the bullpen. Tommy Nance took the loss for Toronto out of the bullpen, and Ryan Burr only went two innings as the starter.
Ernie Clement was the only Blue Jays hitter to have more than one hit, as he went 2/2 with an RBI. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 1/3 with a run scored. As for the Mets, they were led by Pete Alonso, who homered twice and drove in three runs.
The Mets are 79-65 overall, putting them seven games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. New York is 22-17 in the division and have won four straight series. Currently, they have won five straight games, and they are 9-1 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Mets are 40-34 this season, and they have gone 39-31 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 52-36 this season, and they are 27-29 as the underdog. New York has won five straight games on the road, and their overall series record is 25-16-8.
The Blue Jays are 68-77 overall and trail the Yankees by 15.5 games in the AL East. Currently, they are 5th in the division and are 20-26 against other AL East teams. Toronto has dropped two straight games, and they are 3-7 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Blue Jays are 34-36 this year, and they are 34-41 on the road. As the underdog, Toronto is 27-49 this year and 41-28 when favored. So far, they have dropped three straight games at home, and their overall series record is 16-24-6. The Blue Jays have lost three straight series.
Mets vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Over/Under
When the Mets are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 9.1 runs, and their over/under record is 71-69. When the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 14-8. Overall, 54.9% of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs. They are currently on a streak of three straight games going under the total.
As a team, the Mets are 5th in home runs and are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. New York has been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .247, which is 11th in the league, and have the 8th best on-base percentage in the majors. Over their last seven games, Francisco Lindor has gone 7/27 (.259) with one home run and four RBIs, while Mark Vientos has also been swinging a hot bat, going 6/22 with three homers in that stretch.
Lindor and Pete Alonso are the Mets’ top power threats, with Lindor having 30 homers and Alonso at 31. Lindor’s 84 RBIs are the best on the team, and Alonso is 2nd with 79 RBIs. Alonso is batting just .240 this season, and Lindor is hitting .269.
With a combined run average of 8.8 runs per game, the Toronto Blue Jays have seen their games go over the total in 75 of their 142 games this season. The over/under line for today’s game against the New York Mets is set at 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 8 runs this season, the Blue Jays have gone over the total in 23 of 38 games. Toronto has had over/under lines set at 8 runs or higher in 49.0% of their games this season.
For the season, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. They have been about the same offensively at home and on the road this season. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 13th in the league, and are also one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts. Toronto’s team on-base percentage is 12th in the league.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been one of the league’s best hitters this season, as he is batting .322 with 28 home runs and 94 RBIs. He is currently on a 4-game hitting streak. George Springer has also been a good source of power for the Blue Jays, but he is batting just .221 so far this season.
Mets vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Spread
When betting the Mets on the run line this season, it’s been a coin flip, as they are 72-72. They’ve been a better bet on the run line on the road (39-31) than at home (33-41). Their average run margin for the season is +0.4 runs per game, but that number jumps to +3.6 runs per game in their wins.
Left-hander David Peterson gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Blue Jays on the road. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 9-1 with a 2.75 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .234 this season off Peterson. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. Peterson has been strong on the road, coming in with a record of 5-0 and 2.77 ERA compared to 4-1 with a 3.02 ERA at home.
Despite a run differential of -0.4 runs per game, the Blue Jays have been a solid run line bet this season, going 74-71. They have been even better on the road, going 48-27 against the run line, compared to just 26-44 at home. They have covered the run line in three straight games as the underdog and are 43-33 against the run line in that role this season.
Right-hander Chris Bassitt gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Mets at home. He has made 28 starts this season and has a record of 9-13 with an ERA of 4.30. Bassitt’s WHIP for the season is 1.43, and opponents are batting .263 off him this year. In his 28 starts, he has turned in 11 quality starts and is averaging 8.94 strikeouts per nine innings. Bassitt’s most recent outing came against the Phillies, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work.
Mets vs. Blue Jays Pick: Blue Jays ML +114
Our prediction for today’s Mets vs. Blue Jays game is to take the Blue Jays on the money line, with the payout currently at +114. We actually have the Blue Jays winning this one by a score of 6-5.
If you’re looking for a prediction on the over/under line, we would take the over, as we have this one finishing with a combined 11 runs, giving you some wiggle room with the line sitting at 8 runs.
