Mets vs Blue Jays Prediction & MLB Odds For Monday, September 9th
The Mets are the road team for tonight’s interleague matchup with the Blue Jays, and they are looking to move into first place in the NL East, as they are 78-65. Toronto is 5th in the AL East with a record of 68-76. Chris Bassitt will start for the Blue Jays, while the Mets are sending Paul Blackburn to the mound.
Monday’s money line odds have the Mets at -116, while the Blue Jays are sitting at -105. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and the game will be televised on SNET.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Mets -1.5 (+140) | Blue Jays 1.5 (-171)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Mets -116 | Blue Jays -105
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Mets vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Moneyline
Led by a big game by Harrison Bader at the plate, the Mets are coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. Bader went 2/3 with a run scored and a walk. The Mets only run of thejson came in the 6th inning, and the Reds scored two in the top of the 9th to steal the win. New York was the -210 favorite at home going into the game.
Luis Severino was excellent for the Mets, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out eight. However, the Mets couldn’t close things out, and Phil Maton took the loss out of the bullpen. The Mets also wasted a good game from Harrison Bader, who went 2/3 with a run scored.
The Mets are seven games behind the Phillies in the NL East as they are 78-65 overall. New York is on the road today vs. the Blue Jays, and they are 38-31 on the road this season. They have been good at home, putting together a record of 40-34.
As the favorite, the Mets have gone 51-36 this year and 27-29 as the underdog. New York has won four straight games on the road, and they have an overall series record of 25-16-8, including four straight series wins.
The Blue Jays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Braves with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Braves scored two runs in the bottom of the 8th. Toronto was the +227 underdog on the money line going into this matchup.
Offensively, the Blue Jays only had three fewer hits than the Braves but scored just three runs. All of their runs came in the 2nd inning. Spencer Horwitz was hot at the plate, going 2/2 with a homer and two RBIs. The Blue Jays also wasted a good start from Yariel Rodriguez, who went five innings and gave up just one run while striking out six.
Toronto is 68-76 overall and is 14.5 games behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. So far, they are 20-26 in AL East matchups. The Blue Jays kick off their series vs. the Mets having lost two straight games, and they dropped two of three in their most recent series vs. the Braves.
At home, the Blue Jays are 34-35 this year and 34-41 on the road. As the favorite, Toronto has gone 41-28 and 27-48 as the underdog. So far, they have struggled as the home underdog, going 6-14 this season. The Blue Jays’ overall series record is 16-24-6, and they have dropped three straight series.
Mets vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Over/Under
The Mets are on the road today against the Blue Jays, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. This season, the Mets have played in games with an average of 9.1 runs per game, and their over/under record is 71-68. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 25-18. Overall, 35 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 24.5% of their games. Their current under streak is at 2 games.
Heading into today’s game, the Mets are 7th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Overall, they are the league’s 5th best home run hitting team and have the 11th best team batting average in the MLB. As a team, the Mets are 7th in on-base percentage and have the 10th best OPS in the league.
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been the Mets’ top power threats this season, with Lindor having 30 homers and Alonso at 31. Lindor is batting .270 for the season, while Alonso’s batting average is at .240. Lindor’s 84 RBIs are the most on the team, with Alonso’s 79 being the 2nd most.
The Blue Jays have played in 28 games this season where the over/under line was set at 8.5 runs. Their over/under record in those games is 23-19. Overall, Toronto’s games have averaged 8.9 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 75-66. The average over/under line for their games this season is 8 runs.
For the season, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. They have been a bit below average in terms of power, as their 148 home runs is 18th in the MLB. As a team, they are batting .242, and their team on-base percentage is .313.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been one of the best hitters in the league this season, as he is batting .324 with 28 home runs and 94 RBIs. He is currently on a 4-game hitting streak. George Springer is 2nd on the team with 19 homers but is hitting just .222 for the season. Over his last eight games, Spencer Horwitz is 13/29 with four homers.
Mets vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Spread
The Mets have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 72-71 overall. They have been particularly profitable on the road, where they are 39-30 against the run line. They have covered the run line in four straight road games and have an average run margin of +0.4 runs per game away from home.
New York is sending right-hander Paul Blackburn to the mound today vs. the Blue Jays. He has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 5-4 with a 4.66 ERA. Blackburn’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.29, and he has turned in seven quality starts. In his most recent outing, Blackburn took the loss, giving up five earned runs in 2 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had pitched well, giving up a combined two earned runs in his previous two outings. Opponents have hit .252 off Blackburn this season.
When the Blue Jays win, they win big, with an average run margin of +3.3 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of -3.7 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 73-71, but they are just 25-44 against the run line at home. They are 48-27 against the run line on the road, and have covered the run line in two straight games as the underdog.
Chris Bassitt gets the start for the Blue Jays today and comes in with a record of 9-13 and an ERA of 4.30. Looking at his overall numbers, Bassitt has made 28 starts, and opponents are batting .263 this year. In his 28 appearances, he has turned in 11 quality starts and is averaging 8.94 strikeouts per nine innings. Bassitt’s last outing came against the Phillies, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight outings.
Mets vs. Blue Jays Pick: Blue Jays ML -105
At -105, the Blue Jays on the money line is a great value pick, especially with our predicted final score being 6-5 in favor of the Blue Jays. Looking at the starting pitchers, Chris Bassitt has the fourth-best chances among starters to pick up a win, and we have him finishing with six strikeouts.
As for Paul Blackburn, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is the fifth lowest among today’s starters. If you are looking for a player prop bet, you could look at Blackburn’s strikeout total and take the under.
