Marlins vs Twins Prediction & MLB Odds For Wednesday, September 25th
Edward Cabrera will start for the Marlins on Wednesday, and he is facing off against Simeon Woods Richardson for the Twins. The game is set to start at 7:40 PM ET from Target Field in Minneapolis. The money line odds have the Twins at -192 compared to the Marlins at +161. The over/under line is currently 8 runs.
The forecast for Wednesday’s matchup between the Marlins and Twins calls for clear skies and temperatures in the high 70s. This interleague matchup can be seen on BSFL, and the Marlins are 58-99, while the Twins are 81-76 and have lost three straight. The over/under line is currently 8 runs.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Marlins 1.5 (-134) | Twins -1.5 (+111)
- Total: 8
- MoneyLine: Marlins +161 | Twins -192
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Marlins vs. Twins Prediction: Moneyline
Miami pulled off the upset in the most recent game of this Marlins vs Twins series. The Marlins went into the matchup as +207 underdogs and squeaked out a 4-1 win. Both teams scored one run in the first inning, and the Twins could only muster one more run in the 3rd inning. As for the Marlins, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 5th and tacked on an insurance run in the 6th.
Ryan Weathers got the win for the Marlins, going five innings and giving up just one run. Jesus Tinoco got the save. Bailey Ober had a rough outing for the Twins, taking the loss after going five innings and giving up four runs.
Jonah Bride was the difference for the Marlins, as he homered, scored three times, and finished with two RBIs. Xavier Edwards and Nick Fortes each had two hits and an RBI.
Miami is 58-99 overall, putting them 5th in the NL East, 34.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 18-34 in divisional games. The Marlins are on the road today, where they are 28-48 this season.
The Marlins have dropped four straight series and have an overall series record of 11-30-9. This year, they are just 4-14 as the favorite but 54-85 as the underdog. Miami has gone 3-7 across their last ten games and are winning the series vs. the Twins.
With an overall record of 81-76, the Twins are 4th in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by 9.5 games. Currently, they are on a three-game losing streak, dropping their last three games of the season. Minnesota lost the series opener vs. the Marlins and are just 3-7 across their last ten games.
At home, the Twins are 42-34 this year, compared to a 39-42 mark on the road. As the favorite, the Twins are 64-46 this year, and they are 17-30 as the underdog. Minnesota’s overall series record is 26-20-4, and they have lost three straight series.
Marlins vs. Twins Prediction: Over/Under
The Miami Marlins are on the road today against the Minnesota Twins. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is right around the Marlins’ season average of 9.0 runs per game. Miami has played 82 of their 151 games this season to the over, and when the line is set at 8 runs, they have gone over 18 times, under 13 times, and pushed twice.
As a team, the Marlins are averaging 3.8 runs per game, which is 28th in the MLB. They have been even worse on the road this season, averaging just 3.4 runs per contest. Miami’s offense is batting a collective .242 this season, which is 13th in the league, but they are near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage and OPS.
Jake Burger has been the Marlins’ top power threat this season, as his 28 homers are 14th in the league. He is also the team’s leader in RBIs, with 69. However, he has hit just .235 over his last nine games. Jonah Bride has gone 11/34 in his last nine games, including three homers and five RBIs. Otto Lopez has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/31.
Minnesota has a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 79-72. Their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line is set at 8, their record is 14-22-5. Overall, 38.2% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.
Carlos Santana leads the Twins in home runs this season with 22, but he has done so while batting just .234. Ryan Jeffers is 2nd on the team in homers and has 62 RBIs, but he is also batting under the Mendoza line at .224. Willi Castro is hitting .250 for the season and has gone 8/28 with a homer over his last eight games.
Minnesota’s offense is averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They are also among the league’s best in terms of batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. The Twins have been swinging the bats well of late, as Matt Wallner is batting .375 over his last eight games, and Willi Castro has also been swinging a hot bat.
Marlins vs. Twins Prediction: Spread
The Marlins are 39-37 against the run line on the road this season, with a scoring margin of -1.0 runs per game. They have covered the run line in two straight games on the road and are 72-67 as the underdog this season.
Miami is sending Edward Cabrera to the mound today vs. the Twins, and he comes in with a record of 4-8 and an ERA of 5.12. So far, he has made 19 starts and five of them have been quality starts. In his last outing, Cabrera was tagged for seven earned runs in 2 1/3 innings of work. He took the loss in that game. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Opponents are batting .215 off the right-hander this season. Cabrera’s ERA on the road is 7.35, compared to 6.43 at home.
The Twins have been a run line bettor’s nightmare this season, as they are just 72-85 ATS. They have been a little better at home, going 32-44 ATS, but they have lost three straight against the run line as the favorite. Their average run margin is just 0.1 runs per game, and they have been outscored by 0.1 runs per game on the road.
Through 27 starts, Simeon Woods Richardson has a record of 5-5 and an ERA of 4.00. For the season, he has made seven quality starts and is coming off a short outing in which he didn’t give up an earned run. Against the Guardians on September 19th, he went 4 2/3 innings, giving up one earned run on five hits. The right-hander finished with six strikeouts in the outing. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. At home, Woods Richardson is 1-2 with a 4.42 ERA compared to 4-3 with a 4.53 ERA on the road.
Marlins vs. Twins Pick: Over 8 Runs -115
Our prediction for this Twins vs. Marlins matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Twins, giving us a little bit of wiggle room if you want to take the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we do have Simeon Woods Richardson getting the win, but we have his strikeout total at just six, which is why we are sticking with the over. If you are looking for a player prop, you could look at Edward Cabrera, as we have him finishing the game with seven strikeouts.
