Marlins vs Pirates Prediction & MLB Odds For Tuesday, September 10th

Pittsburgh is the heavy favorite on the money line today, as they are at -145 compared to the Marlins at +122. This NL matchup is set for 6:40 PM ET from PNC Park in Pittsburgh, and the game will be televised on SN PT.

The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and the Pirates will be looking to extend their two-game win streak. Miami comes in with a record of 54-90, which has them in 5th place in the NL East. Today’s Marlins starter is Adam Oller, while the Pirates are sending Carmen Mlodzinski to the mound.

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Marlins 1.5 (-175) | Pirates -1.5 (+143)
• Total: 9
• MoneyLine: Marlins +122 | Pirates -145

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Marlins vs. Pirates Prediction: Moneyline

Pittsburgh picked up a 3-2 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates had a two-run lead heading into the 9th inning, and the Marlins could only muster one run as they fell short. Heading into the game, the Pirates were favored at -273 on the money line.

Paul Skenes started for the Pirates and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with nine strikeouts but issued one walk. Aroldis Chapman closed things out for Pittsburgh. Valente Bellozo had a rough outing for the Marlins, taking the loss.

Oneil Cruz hit the game’s only home run while going 1/4 with three RBIs. Andrew McCutchen also had two hits and scored a run for the Pirates’ offense.

Miami is 5th in the NL East with a record of 54-90, putting them 32 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. Overall, they are 16-29 against other teams in the NL East. The Marlins are on the road today, where they are 26-43 this season.

This year, the Marlins have really struggled as the favorite, going just 4-14. As for their record as the underdog, they are 50-76. Miami’s overall series record is 11-26-9, and they are losing the series vs. the Pirates 0-1.

Pittsburgh is 68-76 overall and trail the Reds by 1.5 games for 4th place in the NL Central. So far, they have gone 22-20 in divisional games. The Pirates are on a two-game winning streak, and these two wins have come at home.

As the underdog, the Pirates have gone 37-50 this season compared to 31-26 as the favorite. At home, they are an even 20-20 when favored. Pittsburgh’s overall record has been helped by their 6-4 mark over their last 10 games.

Marlins vs. Pirates Prediction: Over/Under

The Miami Marlins are on the road today against the Pittsburgh Pirates with an over/under line of 9 runs. The Marlins’ games have averaged exactly 9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 78-62. When their over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 4-12-1. Only 6.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, while 81.9% have had lower lines.

For the season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. This has been a trend both at home and on the road, as they are averaging just 3.4 runs per game on the road and 4.2 runs per game at home. As a team, they are batting .241, which is 14th in the league, and have the 21st ranked home run total.

Jake Burger has been the Marlins’ top power threat this season, as his 25 home runs are the best mark on the team and 15th in the league. He is also 1st on the team with 60 RBIs. Jesús Sánchez is 2nd on the team with 17 homers and 59 RBIs. Sánchez is also on a three-game hitting streak and has gone deep in two of his last six games.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are playing at home today against the Miami Marlins. The over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs, which is higher than their combined run average of 8.8 runs per game this season. The Pirates’ over/under record for the season is 71-71, and their average over/under line is 8 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs this season, the Pirates have gone 4-9-1 in those games. Only 4.9% of their games this season have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher.

Heading into today’s game, Bryan Reynolds is the Pirates’ top hitter in terms of batting average, as he is hitting .275 for the season, and he also leads the team with 82 RBIs and 22 homers. Oneil Cruz and Bryan De La Cruz are also near the top of the Pirates’ home run leaderboard, as they have 19 homers apiece. Cruz comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak, but he is just 5/22 in his last six games.

Over his last four games, Andrew McCutchen has gone 4/15 with a home run and two RBIs. For the season, he is hitting just .240. McCutchen is also second on the team with 19 homers. The Pirates are hoping that Jared Triolo can keep his recent hot streak going, as he has gone 5/20 in his last six games with a home run and six RBIs.

Marlins vs. Pirates Prediction: Spread

The Marlins are 36-33 against the run line on the road this season, and they have covered in three straight games. They are 2-16 against the run line as the favorite, but they are 66-60 as the underdog. Miami’s average run differential on the road is -1.0 runs per game.

Adam Oller will be making his 4th start of the season for the Marlins, and he has yet to pick up a win. Oller has a no-decision and two losses on his record, but he has been solid, as he has yet to allow an earned run. His last time out, he went 5 1/3 innings, giving up 4 runs, all of which were earned.

When the Pirates win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.2 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.6 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 79-65, but they have been better on the road, going 43-28 compared to 36-37 at home. As the underdog, they are 57-30 vs. the run line, compared to 22-35 as the favorite.

Pittsburgh is starting right-hander Carmen Mlodzinski today vs. the Marlins. He has made 31 appearances this season and has a record of 2-5 with a 3.73 ERA. Mlodzinski’s WHIP for the season is 1.24, and opponents are batting .235 this year. Mlodzinski has made three starts and has a record of 1-3 at home with a 3.43 ERA. In his last outing, he went just one inning out of the bullpen, giving up one earned run, two hits, and a walk. He didn’t give up a homer in that outing. Mlodzinski has not given up a homer in three straight outings.

Marlins vs. Pirates Pick: Pirates ML -145

Our prediction for this Marlins vs. Pirates matchup is to take the Pirates on the money line at -145. We actually have the Pirates winning this one by a score of 6-4, so there is also some value on the over, as the line is currently sitting at 9 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Carmen Mlodzinski of the Pirates is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is right around the middle of the pack among starters today. As for Adam Oller, he is projected to finish with six K’s, and his Marlins are predicted to finish with just seven hits.