Marlins vs Pirates Prediction & MLB Odds For Monday, September 9th
Monday’s matchup between the Marlins and Pirates has a first pitch set for 6:40 PM ET from PNC Park in Pittsburgh. The forecast for Monday’s game calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. Valente Bellozo is starting for the Marlins, and he is facing off against Paul Skene for the Pirates.
The Pirates are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -253, while the Marlins are +210 underdogs. This NL matchup can be seen on BSFL, and the Pirates will look to extend their winning streak to three games, as they have won three of their last four. The Marlins are 54-89, and they are 5th in the NL East, while the Pirates are 5th in the NL Central.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Marlins 1.5 (-102) | Pirates -1.5 (-120)
- Total: 7.5
- MoneyLine: Marlins +210 | Pirates -253
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Marlins vs. Pirates Prediction: Moneyline
The Marlins’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Phillies, closing out their series with a 10-1 win. After scoring two runs in the 1st inning, the Marlins really broke things open with a seven-run 3rd. Miami was the +113 underdog at home going into the game.
Edward Cabrera put together a good start for the Marlins, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out six Phillies batters. Connor Norby was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with two homers and four RBIs.
Miami is on the road today to take on the Pirates, and they are 5th in the NL East, 31 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. Overall, the Marlins are 54-89 and have gone just 16-29 against other teams in the NL East. The Marlins have won two straight games, and they are 6-4 over their last 10.
At home, the Marlins are just 28-47 this year while going 26-42 on the road. As the underdog, the Marlins are 50-75 this year compared to 4-14 when favored. Miami’s overall series record is 11-26-9, and they split their most recent series vs. the Phillies.
The Pirates’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Nationals, closing out their series with a 7-3 win. After allowing one run to the Nationals in the top of the first, the Pirates responded with four runs of their own. Pittsburgh went on to add another three runs in the 2nd inning.
Jared Jones put together a good start for the Pirates, going seven innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. Pittsburgh’s offense was carried by Andrew McCutchen, who went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
Pittsburgh is 67-76 overall and trails the Reds by 1.5 games for 4th place in the NL Central. The Pirates are 15 games behind the Brewers for the division lead. They will take on the Marlins at home today, and Pittsburgh is 34-38 at home this year.
As the underdog, the Pirates are 37-50 this year compared to 30-26 as the favorite. Their overall series record is 19-21-6, and they split their most recent series with the Nationals. Heading into today’s game, the Pirates are 5-5 over their last 10.
Marlins vs. Pirates Prediction: Over/Under
When the Miami Marlins play, the games tend to go over the total. Their games have an average combined run total of 9.0 runs per game, and their over/under record is 78-61. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, the over has hit in 21 of their 29 games, and their games have gone over the total in 73.4% of their games this season. Miami’s games have gone over the total in three straight games.
Over the past seven games, Connor Norby has been on fire for the Marlins, hitting 4 home runs while going 10/29 overall. He has also driven in 9 runs during this stretch. Norby’s hot streak has him on a seven-game hitting streak. Miami will be looking for him to keep his strong play going, as they have struggled to score runs this season, averaging just 3.8 runs per game.
As a team, the Marlins are batting just .241 this season, and they are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. Miami’s offense has been better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per game, compared to 3.5 runs per game on the road.
The Pirates have been involved in a lot of high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 8.8. Their over/under record is 71-70, and their average over/under line is 8 runs per game. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, the over/under record is 12-18. Overall, 72% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and their current over streak is at 2 games.
Heading into today’s game, the Pirates offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4.4 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .236 (18th) and are near the bottom of the league in home runs, slugging percentage, and OPS.
Bryan Reynolds has been the Pirates’ top hitter this season, batting .276 with a team-high 22 home runs and 80 RBIs. Andrew McCutchen and Bryan De La Cruz are also near the top of the team’s home run leaderboard, but both are batting below .240 for the season. McCutchen has two homers in his last five games but is just 4/18 in that stretch.
Marlins vs. Pirates Prediction: Spread
The Marlins are 35-33 on the run line on the road this season, covering in two straight games and as the underdog in 65 of their 125 games.
Through nine starts, Valente Bellozo has a record of 2-2 and an ERA of 3.78 for the Marlins. He has made two quality starts this season and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a run. Against the Nationals on September 4th, Bellozo went six innings, giving up just one hit. He finished with two walks and two strikeouts in that outing. Bellozo has made five starts on the road, where he is 1-0 with an ERA of 4.1. At home, his record is 1-2, and his ERA is 4.66.
Despite being underdogs in the run line in 87 games, the Pirates have gone 57-30 in those contests. Their average run margin in losing games is -3.6.
Paul Skenes has been tough to hit this season, coming into the game with a record of 9-2 and an ERA of 2.13. For the year, he has made 19 starts and 13 of them have been quality starts. In his last outing, Skenes didn’t give up a run, picking up the win in the process. Against the Cubs, he went five innings and gave up just four hits. Looking back further, he has given up just two earned runs in three straight starts. Skenes has been especially tough at home, with a record of 5-1 and an ERA of 2.83 compared to 4-1 with a 1.5 ERA on the road.
Marlins vs. Pirates Pick: Over 7.5 Runs -118
Our prediction for the Pirates vs. Marlins matchup is to take the over, as we see this one finishing with a 5-4 win for the Pirates. However, with the payout for a Pirates win being -253, we would look to the over/under market.
Our recommended pick is to take the over at 7.5 runs. We see there being a decent amount of offense in this one, and the payout for the over is currently at -118.
