Marlins vs Blue Jays Prediction & MLB Odds For Saturday, September 28th
From the Rogers Centre in Toronto, we have the Marlins and Blue Jays facing off in an interleague matchup. First pitch is set for 3:07 PM ET, and the Blue Jays are favored on the money line at -167. The Marlins have a money line odds of +141, and they are 60-100 overall, while the Blue Jays are 74-86.
Yariel Rodriguez will be starting for the Blue Jays, while the Marlins are sending Xzavion Curry to the mound. Miami comes into the game on a two-game winning streak, but they are 5th in the NL East. SNET will be televising this game in Canada.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Marlins 1.5 (-157) | Blue Jays -1.5 (+127)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Marlins +141 | Blue Jays -167
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Marlins vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Moneyline
Miami cruised to a 15-5 win over the Blue Jays in the most recent game of this series. The Marlins had a huge 1st inning, scoring three runs, and added five more in the 7th. As for the Blue Jays, they scored their only run in the 3rd and added four in the 4th.
Adam Oller got the win for the Marlins, going five innings and giving up four earned runs. Jose Berrios had a rough outing for the Blue Jays, taking the loss after going just three innings and giving up six earned runs.
Jonah Bride and Griffin Conine each homered twice for the Marlins. Bride, Xavier Edwards, Jake Burger, and Connor Norby each had three RBIs. Otto Lopez scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/3.
Miami is 60-100 overall, putting them 5th in the NL East, 34 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 18-34 in divisional games. The Marlins have won two straight games, and they are 5-5 across their last 10.
At home, the Marlins are just 30-51 this year, but they have the same 30-49 record on the road. As the underdog, Miami is 56-86 this year compared to 4-14 as the favorite. The Marlins have an overall series record of 12-30-9, and they have lost two straight series at home.
Toronto is 74-86 overall and trails the Rays by five games for the 4th spot in the AL East. Currently, they are 19 games behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. The Blue Jays are the 5th place team in the AL East.
So far, the Blue Jays have gone just 21-31 in AL East games. They have really struggled as of late, going 2-8 over their last 10 games. Toronto has dropped three straight series and their overall series record is 17-28-6. This season, they are 39-40 at home compared to a 35-46 mark on the road.
Marlins vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Over/Under
The Miami Marlins are on the road today against the Toronto Blue Jays. The O/U line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Marlins have a combined run average of 9.2 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 85-69, and their average O/U line is 8 runs. When the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 30-25. This season, 20.6% of their games have had O/U lines set at 8.5 runs, and their over streak is currently at 3 games.
So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. They have been slightly better at home, putting up 4.2 runs per contest. Miami has been one of the league’s worst home run-hitting teams this season and also have a collective OPS of just .678 (25th).
Jake Burger and Jesús Sánchez have been the Marlins’ top two power threats this season, with Burger leading the team with 29 homers and Sánchez sitting in 2nd with 18. Burger also leads the team with 76 RBIs. Over his last nine games, Jonah Bride is hitting .324 with four homers and seven RBIs.
The Blue Jays have played in 28 games this season with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, and their record in those games is 23-20. Their combined run average is 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 80-76. The over/under line for today’s game against the Marlins is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly higher than their average line of 8 runs per game this season.
For the season, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. This is also the 20th in the league in home runs. As a team, they are batting .243, which is 9th in the league, and have the 6th fewest strikeouts in the league. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. comes into the game with a team-high 30 home runs and is batting .326 for the season. He has also gone 11/26 in his last six games.
George Springer is just batting .220 for the season but is on a three-game hitting streak and has 19 homers for the season. Ernie Clement has gone 7/21 in his last six games, including one home run, and Jonatan Clase is 5/14 in his last five games.
Marlins vs. Blue Jays Prediction: Spread
Miami has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 76-84 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 41-38 against the run line. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 2-16 against the run line as the favorite.
Miami is sending Xzavion Curry to the mound today vs. the Blue Jays, and he has made four starts and 15 appearances this season. Curry’s ERA is 5.02, and his record for the season is 1-2. The right-hander most recently pitched on September 22nd out of the bullpen, where he went one inning and gave up one earned run on one hit. He didn’t give up a homer in that outing. Curry didn’t give up a homer in any of his previous three outings. Opponents are batting .242 off Curry this season, and his WHIP is 1.11.
When betting the run line on the Blue Jays this season, it has been more profitable to back them on the road, where they have gone 51-30 against the run line. Overall, they are 80-80 against the run line, with an average run margin of -0.4 runs per game. They have been an underdog in 83 games and have gone 47-36 against the run line in those contests.
Right-hander Yariel Rodríguez gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Marlins at home. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 1-7 with an ERA of 4.41. Opponents have hit .223 this season off Rodríguez, and he has a WHIP of 1.32. The last time he pitched, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in four innings of work. Before that outing, he had turned in three straight appearances with just one earned run allowed. Rodríguez has finished with a no-decision in three straight outings.
Marlins vs. Blue Jays Pick: Marlins ML +141
We see a lot of value in taking the Marlins on the money line at +141. Our predicted score is 6-5 in favor of the Marlins. With the payout being +141, you could also look to take the Marlins on the run line, as this would give you a little more cushion.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Xzavion Curry finishing with six strikeouts, and he has the Marlins’ starter finishing with a better strikeout total than Yariel Rodríguez. In terms of team projections, the Marlins are projected to finish with 12 strikeouts, which is the third-most in the league today.
