Mariners vs Cardinals Prediction & MLB Odds For Sunday, September 8th
At 2:15 PM ET, the Mariners and Cardinals face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, and the Cardinals are the slight money line favorite at +108. The Mariners have a money line odds of -127 compared to +108 for the Cardinals, and the over/under line is currently 7.5 runs.
RSNW is carrying this game on TV, and the Mariners are 72-71 compared to the Cardinals, who are 72-70. Luis Castillo is starting for the Mariners, and he is facing off against Miles Mikolas.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Mariners -1.5 (+135) | Cardinals 1.5 (-163)
- Total: 7.5
- MoneyLine: Mariners -127 | Cardinals +108
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Mariners vs. Cardinals Prediction: Moneyline
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Cardinals vs Mariners series. St. Louis went into the matchup as +112 underdogs and squeaked out a 2-0 win. Both teams scored their only runs in the 8th inning.
Seattle wasted a good outing from Logan Gilbert, as he gave up just two hits and two earned runs in eight innings of work. Kyle Gibson was even better for the Cardinals, going six and two-thirds innings and not giving up a run.
Offensively, the Cardinals were led by Pedro Pages, who homered and went 1/3 at the plate. Cal Raleigh had the only two hits for the Mariners.
Seattle is 72-71 overall, putting them 2nd in the AL West, 5.5 games behind the Astros for the division lead. The Mariners are on the road today, taking on the Cardinals, and they are 31-43 on the road this season. At home, the Mariners have gone 41-28.
The Mariners have an overall series record of 19-23-3 this year, and they are 53-45 as the favorite. As the underdog, the Mariners are 19-26 this year. Seattle’s overall record is made up of a 22-17 mark in the division. Seattle is 5.5 games behind the Astros in the AL West.
With a record of 72-70, the Cardinals are 10 games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. St. Louis is 21-24 in divisional games this season. The Cardinals have been good at home, going 37-33, and they are just above .500 at 35-37 on the road.
St. Louis has won two straight series, and their overall series record is 23-18-5 this year. As the home underdog, the Cardinals have gone 14-9 this season. They have also been good as the underdog overall, putting up a mark of 39-36. Coming into today’s game, the Cardinals have gone 7-3 over their last 10 games.
Mariners vs. Cardinals Prediction: Over/Under
The Mariners have played in 54 games with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, going 19-22 in those contests. Their combined run average is 7.8, and their over/under record for the season is 64-71. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs.
Cal Raleigh has been one of the league’s top run producers this season, as his 89 RBIs are 12th in the league and lead the Mariners. He also has a team-high 29 home runs but has struggled with a batting average of just .213. Over his last nine games, Raleigh is batting .250 with two homers. Julio RodrÃguez has also gone deep twice in this stretch, hitting .351.
Seattle’s offense has been one of the league’s worst this season, as they are averaging just four runs per game and have the league’s worst strikeout numbers. They are also near the bottom of the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. The Mariners have been a much better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.4 runs per game.
Today’s over/under line of 7.5 runs is the lowest of the season for the St. Louis Cardinals, who have played in just six games with a lower line. The Cardinals’ games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and they have a 68-70 over/under record. The average over/under line for their games this season is 8 runs, and 73.9% of their games have had higher lines than today’s 7.5-run total.
Paul Goldschmidt has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Cardinals, going 12/34 (.353) over his last eight games with two runs and one home run. For the season, he is batting just .243, but his 21 homers are the most on the team and he is 4th in RBIs. Alec Burleson is also at the top of the home run leaderboard, and his 73 RBIs are the best mark on the team. Burleson is batting .274 for the season.
As a team, the Cardinals are 24th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.1 runs per game. They have been a bit better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .246 (9th) and have the 19th ranked home run total in the league.
Mariners vs. Cardinals Prediction: Spread
Seattle has been a solid run line bet this season, going 60-83 overall. They have been a better bet at home, going 29-40 against the run line compared to 31-43 on the road. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 21-24 against the run line compared to 39-59 as a favorite. Their average run differential is +0.3 runs per game, and they have won games by an average of 3.6 runs per game.
Seattle is sending Luis Castillo to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 11-12 and an ERA of 3.60. So far this year, he has made 29 starts, and opponents are batting .231 off the right-hander. Castillo has turned in 18 quality starts this year and is averaging 8.98 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Castillo finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in seven innings of work. He only gave up one homer in that outing. Before that, he had given up a homer in three straight starts.
When betting the run line on the Cardinals, it’s been a coin flip, as they are 71-71. They’ve been a better bet on the road, where they are 36-36 compared to 35-35 at home. They’ve been a better bet as an underdog, going 49-26 compared to 22-45 as the favorite. Their average run differential in wins is +2.7, while it’s -3.6 in losses.
Right-hander Miles Mikolas gets the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Mariners at home. He has made 28 starts this season and has a record of 8-10 with an ERA of 5.27. Mikolas’ WHIP for the season is 1.27, and opponents are batting .279 off him this year. Mikolas has made 14 quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up three earned runs in four innings of work. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Mikolas has not won a game since May 6th.
Mariners vs. Cardinals Pick: Cardinals ML +108
With the Cardinals at +108 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick, especially given that we have them winning this game 6-5. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also take the over, as the line is sitting at 7.5 runs, and we have the teams combining for 11 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Miles Mikolas’ chances of picking up a win ranked higher than Luis Castillo’s. Mikolas is projected to finish with five strikeouts, while Castillo is projected to finish with eight.