Mariners vs Cardinals Prediction & MLB Odds For Friday, September 6th
There are two teams on two-game winning streaks facing off in an interleague matchup today. The Mariners are 71-70, while the Cardinals have the same record but their money line odds are slightly better (-113 vs. -105). Today’s over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and the forecast in St. Louis calls for temperatures in the mid-80s with partly cloudy skies.
First pitch from Busch Stadium is set for 8:15 PM ET, and RSNW will be carrying the TV coverage for this one. Friday’s pitching matchup is Bryce Miller for the Mariners and Erick Fedde for the Cardinals. Fedde is the favorite to win this one, with his money line odds sitting at -204.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Mariners -1.5 (+161) | Cardinals 1.5 (-204)
- Total: 7.5
- MoneyLine: Mariners -105 | Cardinals -113
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Mariners vs. Cardinals Prediction: Moneyline
Led by a big game by Luke Raley at the plate, the Mariners are coming off a 6-4 win over the Athletics to close out their series. Raley went 3/5 with a homer and two RBIs. The Mariners scored their other four runs in thejson 1st inning. Seattle was the -142 favorite on the money line going into the game.
Bryan Woo got the start for the Mariners, going five innings and giving up just two runs on eight hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the win.
Seattle is 71-70 overall this season, and they are 4.5 games behind the Astros in the AL West. The Mariners have won two straight games, and they went 2-2 in their series vs. the Athletics. Looking at their overall series record, the Mariners are 19-23-3 this year.
At home, the Mariners have gone 41-28 compared to 30-42 on the road. As the favorite, Seattle is 52-44 this year and 19-26 as the underdog. Seattle has won two straight games as the road favorite.
Heading into their last game vs. the Brewers, the Cardinals closed out the series with a 3-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +102 on the money line. It was a good start for the Cardinals, as they got on the board with two runs in the 1st inning and added another run in the 3rd.
Sonny Gray put together a good start for the Cardinals, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. He also issued only one walk and struck out seven Brewers batters. St. Louis’s offense was carried by Andrew Kittredge, who went 2/3 with a run scored.
The Cardinals are 71-69 overall and trail the Brewers by 10 games in the NL Central. St. Louis is 3rd in the division and has gone 21-24 against other teams in the NL Central. St. Louis has won two straight games, and they are 6-4 across their last 10 games.
St. Louis has an overall series record of 23-18-5, and they have won two straight series. As the home underdog, the Cardinals have gone 13-8 this season, and they are 36-32 at home overall. On the road, the Cardinals are 35-37 this season.
Mariners vs. Cardinals Prediction: Over/Under
Seattle is on the road against St. Louis today, and the O/U line is set at 7.5. The Mariners have a combined run average of 7.9, and their O/U record is 64-70. The average O/U line for their games is 8, and their O/U record when the line is 7.5 is 19-22. In 54 of their games this season, the O/U line has been set higher than 7.5, which accounts for 38.3% of their games. Their current over streak is at 2 games.
Cal Raleigh and Luke Raley have been the top power threats for the Mariners this season, as Raleigh’s 29 homers are 11th in the league, and Raley has 18 homers. However, both players are batting just .210 and .238, respectively. Julio Rodriguez is batting .258 for the season and is on an eight-game hitting streak. He has gone 9/27 in his last seven games, including two homers.
Overall, the Mariners are 26th in scoring at 4.1 runs per game. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.7 runs per contest. As a team, the Mariners are batting just .218, which is the worst mark in the league.
The St. Louis Cardinals are playing at home against the Seattle Mariners today. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their combined run average of 8.7 runs per game. The Cardinals have a record of 10-21 in games with an over/under line of 7.5 runs this season. Overall, 75.0% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
St. Louis comes into the game with the 24th ranked scoring offense in the league, averaging just 4.2 runs per game. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, the Cardinals are batting .248, which is 10th in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .312 is also 10th in the MLB.
Paul Goldschmidt has been swinging a hot bat for the Cardinals, hitting .391 over his last five games, with one home run and three RBIs. Goldschmidt is also on a team-high 11 game hitting streak. Alec Burleson and Paul Goldschmidt are tied for the team lead in homers, with 21 apiece. Burleson is also the team’s leading run producer, with 73 RBIs.
Mariners vs. Cardinals Prediction: Spread
Seattle is 30-42 vs. the run line on the road this season, but they have covered in two straight games. The Mariners are 21-24 vs. the run line as an underdog and 38-58 as a favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.6, while it’s -3.1 in losses.
Seattle is sending right-hander Bryce Miller to the mound today vs. the Cardinals. He has made 27 starts this year and has a record of 10-8 with a 3.30 ERA. Miller’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.00, and opponents are batting .204 off him this year. In his 27 appearances, he has turned in 14 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Miller took the loss vs. the Angels, going 4 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
St. Louis has been a solid run line bet this season, going 70-70 overall. They’ve been a .500 team against the run line both at home and on the road, with a 34-34 mark at Busch Stadium and a 36-36 record away from home. They’ve been a better bet as the underdog, going 48-25 against the run line in those games, compared to just 22-45 as the favorite. Their average run differential is -0.4 runs per game, but they’ve been much better against the run line in their wins, with an average margin of victory of 2.7 runs per game.
Cardinals starter Erick Fedde will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Yankees, as he gave up four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Fedde ended up taking the loss in the game. Before that outing, he had given up two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts. Fedde’s ERA for the season is 3.43, along with a record of 8-8. At home, he is 6-3 with a 2.16 ERA compared to 2-5 with a 4.71 ERA on the road.
Mariners vs. Cardinals Pick: Cardinals ML -113
Based on the money line, we see the Cardinals taking this one at home with a final score of 6-5. At -113, there is some good value in the Cardinals picking up a win on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Bryce Miller going for the Mariners and Erick Fedde for the Cardinals. Our projections have Fedde finishing with five strikeouts compared to Miller with four.