Guardians vs White Sox Prediction & MLB Odds For Wednesday, September 11th
Wednesday’s matchup between the Guardians and White Sox has a start time of 2:10 PM ET from Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, IL. Cleveland is currently on a two-game winning streak, and their record of 83-62 has them in 1st place in the AL Central. The White Sox are +192 on the money line, and they are 33-113 overall, putting them 5th in the AL Central.
Today’s over/under line is at 8 runs, and the forecast for the game calls for broken clouds and temperatures in the mid-70s. Davis Martin is starting for the White Sox, and the Guardians have Matthew Boyd on the mound.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Guardians -1.5 (-135) | White Sox 1.5 (+112)
- Total: 8
- MoneyLine: Guardians -230 | White Sox +192
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Guardians vs. White Sox Prediction: Moneyline
Cleveland cruised to a 5-0 win over the White Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a huge 2nd inning, scoring three of their five runs. As for the White Sox, they had their best chance to score in the 6th, but could only muster three hits and left two runners on base.
Ben Lively only went two innings for the Guardians but didn’t give up a run or a hit. He finished the game with just two strikeouts and allowed two walks. Pedro Avila came out of the bullpen for the win. Jonathan Cannon got the start for the White Sox, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs.
Offensively, Cleveland was led by Lane Thomas and Andres Gimenez, as they were the only two Guardians hitters to have more than one hit. Thomas also hit the game’s only home run. As for the White Sox, Andrew Vaughn went 2/4.
Cleveland is on the road today, heading into their matchup vs. the White Sox with an overall record of 83-62. They lead the AL Central by 3.5 games over the Royals and have gone 26-21 against other teams in the division. The Guardians have won two straight games, and they are 6-4 over their last 10 games overall.
So far, the Guardians have been really good as the favorite, going 58-30 this year. They are also 20-12 when favored on the road and 25-32 as the underdog overall. Cleveland has been tough to beat at home, going 43-25, and they are just above .500 at 40-37 on the road.
With an overall record of 33-113, the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central and trail the Guardians by 50.5 games for the division lead. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 8-40 this year. Chicago has dropped two straight games, and they are just 2-8 across their last 10 games.
At home, the White Sox are just 18-56 this season, and they are 15-57 on the road. So far, they have really struggled as the underdog, going 28-110 this year. As for their record as the home underdog, they are 13-54 this season. Chicago’s overall series record is 5-39-2, and they have dropped 19 straight series.
Guardians vs. White Sox Prediction: Over/Under
The Cleveland Guardians are on the road today against the Chicago White Sox, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Guardians have a combined run average of 8.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 65-69. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 13-15-6. So far this season, 47.6% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs, and their under streak is at 3 games.
Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been the top power hitters for the Guardians this season, as Ramirez’s 34 homers are 8th in the league and Naylor’s 29 round-trippers are 12th in the MLB. Ramirez also has the 2nd most RBIs in the league, with 106, while Naylor is 4th in the MLB with 101 RBIs. Over the team’s last eight games, Lane Thomas has three homers, and Andrés Giménez has gone 10/34 (.294).
For the season, the Guardians are averaging 4.5 runs per game and are 6th in the league in home scoring at 4.9 runs per contest. They are also one of the top home run hitting teams in the league, but are batting just .239 as a team. Overall, they have the 3rd fewest strikeouts in the league and have the worst BABIP in the league.
The Chicago White Sox are at home today against the Cleveland Guardians, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for White Sox games this season is 8.2, and their over/under record is 62-76. The average over/under line for their games is also 8 runs, and when the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 12-12-3. So far this season, 51.4% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, while 30.1% have had lines set lower than 8 runs. The White Sox have hit the under in their last three games.
Chicago is hoping that Andrew Vaughn can continue his strong play of late, as he is hitting .414 over his last eight games, with two homers in that stretch. For the season, Vaughn is batting .246 and leads the team with 63 RBIs and 17 homers. Andrew Benintendi is also near the top of the White Sox home run list, with 16 homers, but he is batting just .221 for the season.
Overall, the White Sox are the worst home run hitting team in the league and are last in the league in runs scored. They are also near the bottom of the league in terms of on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS.
Guardians vs. White Sox Prediction: Spread
The Guardians have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 73-72 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 40-37 against the run line. They have covered the run line in their last two road games and are 4-0 against the run line in their last four games overall.
Matthew Boyd gets the start for the Cleveland Guardians as they take on the White Sox. Boyd has been solid in his first three starts, picking up a win in each of his last two outings. He has 18 strikeouts in 18 innings of work and has only given up 3 earned runs so far this season.
The White Sox have been a poor bet on the run line this season, going 58-88 overall. They are 29-45 against the run line at home and 29-43 on the road. They have lost their last five games against the run line at home and are 2-5 in their last seven games as the run line favorite.
Right-hander Davis Martin is getting the start for the White Sox today as he faces the Guardians at home. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 0-3 with an ERA of 3.29. Martin’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.28. In his 38 1/3 innings of work, he has allowed four home runs and is averaging 3.52 walks per nine innings compared to 8.22 strikeouts. Martin has made two quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work.
Guardians vs. White Sox Pick: Over 8 Runs -115
We like the Guardians to pick up a win on the road, and at -230, they are a good option for a money line bet. However, we actually like the over in this one, with the line sitting at 8 runs. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Guardians, giving us some room to spare on the over/under line.
If you’re looking for a potential parlay, you could pair a Guardians win with an over. Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Matthew Boyd going five innings and finishing with five strikeouts. As for the White Sox starter, Davis Martin, we have him going six innings and finishing with six K’s.