Guardians vs White Sox Prediction & MLB Odds For Tuesday, September 10th
The Guardians and White Sox face off in an AL Central matchup at 7:40 PM ET on Tuesday. This one is being played at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, and the Guardians are the heavy money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -222 compared to the White Sox at +186. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs.
Cleveland is currently 1st in the AL Central with a record of 82-62, while the White Sox are 5th in the division at 33-112. Ben Lively will start for the Guardians, while the White Sox are sending Jonathan Cannon to the mound. NBCS will be televising Tuesday’s game.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Guardians -1.5 (-132) | White Sox 1.5 (+109)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Guardians -222 | White Sox +186
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Guardians vs. White Sox Prediction: Moneyline
Cleveland picked up a 5-3 road win over the White Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a two-run lead after the first inning and never trailed in the game. As for the White Sox, they scored their only run in the 7th and added two more in the 8th.
Joey Cantillo pitched well for the Guardians in this one, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with 10 strikeouts but did not factor in the decision. Emmanuel Clase got the save. Jared Shuster had a rough outing for the White Sox, taking the loss.
At the plate, Cleveland was led by Bo Naylor and David Fry, as they were the only two Guardians hitters to have more than one hit. Naylor, Josh Naylor, and Harold Ramirez each homered for Cleveland’s offense.
Cleveland is 82-62 overall this season, putting them in 1st place in the AL Central. They hold a 3.5 game lead over the Royals for the top spot in the division. The Guardians have taken a 1-0 series lead over the White Sox and have gone 26-14-5 in series play this year.
At home, the Guardians have gone 43-25 this season, and they are just above .500 at 39-37 on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 57-30, and they are 19-12 as the favorite on the road. Cleveland has an overall record of 25-21 against other teams in the AL Central.
With a record of 33-112, the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central and trail the Guardians by 49.5 games for the division lead. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 8-39 this year. Chicago’s overall series record is 5-39-2, and they have dropped 19 straight series.
At home, the White Sox are just 18-55 this year and 15-57 on the road. This season, they have gone 5-3 as the favorite and 28-109 as the underdog. Heading into today’s game, the White Sox have dropped eight of their last ten games.
Guardians vs. White Sox Prediction: Over/Under
The Cleveland Guardians are on the road against the Chicago White Sox today. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which matches the combined run average for the Guardians this season. Cleveland has a 65-68 over/under record on the year, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Guardians have a 20-20 record. 20.1% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs, and their games have gone under the total in their last two contests.
For the season, the Guardians are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. At home, they have been even better, putting up an average of 4.9 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .238, which is 17th in the league, and have the worst BABIP in the league. However, they are one of the best teams in the league at avoiding strikeouts.
Jose Ramirez has been the Guardians’ top power threat this season, as his 34 home runs are 8th in the league and the top mark on the team. He also has 106 RBIs, which is 2nd in the league. Josh Naylor is 3rd in the MLB in RBIs, with 101, and has 29 homers this season. Over his last five games, Andres Gimenez is hitting .286, and Lane Thomas is on a five-game hitting streak.
Today’s game between the Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Guardians features an over/under line of 8.5 runs, which is slightly higher than the teams’ combined run average of 8.3. The White Sox have played 35 games this season with over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and their record in those games is 18-22. Overall, the White Sox have an over/under record of 62-75 this season.
Chicago has really struggled to score runs this season, averaging just 3.1 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the majors. They have been even worse at home, also averaging 3.1 runs per contest. As a team, the White Sox are batting just .221, which is 23rd in the league, and they have the worst on-base percentage and OPS in all of baseball.
Andrew Vaughn has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/25 in his last seven games with two homers. For the season, he is batting .244 with a team-high 17 home runs. Andrew Benintendi is also near the top of the team’s home run leaderboard, but he is batting just .223 for the season.
Guardians vs. White Sox Prediction: Spread
When playing on the road, the Guardians have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 39-37. They have covered the run line in three straight games and have a run line record of 72-72 overall. Their average run differential on the road is +0.3 runs per game.
Right-hander Ben Lively is getting the start for the Guardians today as he faces the White Sox on the road. Lively has made 25 starts this season and has a record of 11-9 with a 4.07 ERA. In his 25 appearances, he has turned in nine quality starts and is averaging 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. Lively’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.25. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
When the White Sox win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.4 runs per game. However, they’ve been losing by an average of 3.7 runs per game in their losses. Overall, they’ve been outscored by an average of 2.1 runs per game this season. Their run line record is 58-87, and they’ve gone 29-44 against the run line at home. They’ve been a favorite in eight games, going 5-3 against the run line in those contests.
Jonathan Cannon will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Orioles. In that September 4th outing, he went 5 2/3 innings and gave up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Cannon has made 17 starts and six of them have been quality starts. For the season, he is 3-9 with a 4.53 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .265 this season off Cannon, and his ERA on the road is 9.12 compared to 4.53 at home. So far, he has allowed 15 homers and is averaging 6.22 strikeouts per nine innings.
Guardians vs. White Sox Pick: Over 8.5 Runs -103
Our predicted final score for this Guardians vs. White Sox matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Guardians. However, we are recommending that you take the over at 8.5 runs. The payout for a Guardians win is -222, and we believe there is a lot more value in the over/under market.
Looking at today’s starters, Jonathan Cannon is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which is the lowest among all starters. As for Ben Lively, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and his 10th worst in terms of innings pitched.
Offensively, the Guardians are projected to finish with nine hits, while the White Sox are projected to finish with eight. As for home runs, the Guardians are projected to finish with one, and the White Sox are actually projected to finish with zero.
