Guardians vs Royals Prediction & MLB Odds For Tuesday, September 3rd
The forecast from Kansas City on Tuesday calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid to upper 80s. The Royals will be hosting the Guardians, who are 79-59 and have won two straight. Cleveland is currently 1st in the AL Central, while the Royals are 3rd and have lost six in a row.
Brady Singer is set to start for the Royals, while the Guardians are sending Tanner Bibee to the mound. Cleveland is the slight money line favorite, with the odds sitting at -120 compared to the +101 odds for the Royals. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and BSKC will be televising the game.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Guardians -1.5 (+140) | Royals 1.5 (-169)
- Total: 8
- MoneyLine: Guardians -120 | Royals +101
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Guardians vs. Royals Prediction: Moneyline
Cleveland picked up a 4-2 road win over the Royals in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a two-run 5th inning and added two more runs in the 6th, while the Royals could only muster one run in the 8th and added their final run in the 9th.
Gavin Williams only went five innings for the Guardians but gave up just one hit and one earned run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued two walks. Emmanuel Clase closed things out. Michael Wacha had a rough outing for the Royals, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work.
Josh Naylor and Lane Thomas each homered for the Guardians, while Naylor, Thomas, and Amed Rosario each had two hits and two RBIs. Whit Merrifield went 2/4 with two runs scored for the Royals.
The Guardians hold a 3.5-game lead over the Twins in the AL Central as they are 79-59 overall this season. They have won two straight games, and they are 6-4 across their last ten. So far, they have gone 23-20 in divisional games.
At home, the Guardians have gone 43-25 this season, and they are just above .500 at 36-34 on the road. This year, they have really thrived as the favorite, going 55-30, and they are 24-29 as the underdog. Cleveland’s overall series record is 25-13-5 this season.
Kansas City is 75-64 overall and 4.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. The Royals have dropped six straight games, and this losing streak has come after going 29-15 against other teams in the AL Central. So far, they are 41-29 at home and 34-35 on the road.
At home, the Royals have lost three straight, and they are 14-12 as the home underdog this year. Kansas City’s overall series record is 19-22-2, and they are coming off a series loss to the White Sox.
Guardians vs. Royals Prediction: Over/Under
The Cleveland Guardians are on the road against the Kansas City Royals today, with the over/under line set at 8 runs. The Guardians’ games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 65-64. When the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 13-14-5. Overall, 46.4% of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs, and their current under streak is at 3 games.
For the season, the Guardians are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. At home, they have been even better, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is the 6th best mark in the MLB. As a team, they are batting just .239, but they do have the league’s 12th best home run total.
Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been the team’s top power threats this season, as Ramirez’s 34 homers are 5th in the league, and Naylor’s 29 is 8th. Ramirez’s 105 RBIs are the 2nd most in the league, and Naylor is right behind him at 3rd. Naylor is also on a five-game hitting streak and has gone 11/27 in his last seven games.
Today’s over/under line for the Kansas City Royals’ game against the Cleveland Guardians is set at 8 runs. The Royals have played in 87 games this season with over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 62.6% of their games. Their combined run average this season is 8.9 runs per game, and their over/under record is 64-71 overall. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs this season, their record is 14-12-2.
Heading into today’s game, the Royals are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. At home, they are even better, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are the 7th best hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .254. The Royals have been tough to strike out this season, as they have the 2nd fewest strikeouts in the league.
Salvador Perez and Bobby Witt Jr. have been the Royals’ top power threats this season, as Perez is 8th in the league with 25 homers, and Witt Jr. is 7th with 30 long balls. Witt Jr. has really struggled at the plate of late, hitting just .206 over his last nine games. However, he has hit four homers during that stretch.
Guardians vs. Royals Prediction: Spread
When playing on the road, the Cleveland Guardians have a run line record of 36-34, covering the spread in 51.4% of their games. Their average run differential in road games is +0.4 runs per game. As the favorite, they have a run line record of 38-47, while as the underdog, they are 31-22 against the run line.
Cleveland is sending right-hander Tanner Bibee to the mound today vs. the Royals. He has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 10-6 with a 3.65 ERA. Bibee’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.13. In his 26 appearances, he has turned in eight quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Bibee finished with a no-decision vs. the Royals, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. So far, he has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 6-3 and an ERA of 2.89 compared to 4.96 at home.
When betting the run line on the Kansas City Royals, it’s been a profitable venture this season. They are 76-63 against the run line overall and 39-31 at home. However, they have failed to cover in their last three home games. They are 35-34 against the run line as the favorite and 41-29 as the underdog. Their average run differential this season is +0.7 runs per game.
Through 27 starts, Brady Singer has a record of 9-9 and an ERA of 3.36. He has made 12 quality starts this year and is averaging 8.67 strikeouts per nine innings. Singer’s last outing came against the Astros, where he finished with a no-decision. In that start, he went six innings, giving up two earned runs, and he gave up one homer in the outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has been much better at home this year, coming in with a 3.09 ERA compared to 4.47 on the road.
Guardians vs. Royals Pick: Royals ML +101
With the Royals at +101 on the money line, that is the direction we recommend going in this one. We have the final score at 7-6 in favor of the Royals, giving them a money line payout of +101.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Tanner Bibee going six innings and finishing with seven strikeouts. As for Brady Singer, he is projected to finish with six K’s and go 6.2 innings.