Guardians vs Dodgers Prediction & MLB Odds For Sunday, September 8th
At 4:10 PM ET, the Guardians and Dodgers face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, and the Dodgers are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -158. The Guardians are +134 on the money line, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs.
Cleveland will be starting Tanner Bibee, while the Dodgers are set to go with Jack Flaherty. The Guardians are 81-61 this season, while the Dodgers lead the NL West with an overall record of 85-57.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Guardians 1.5 (-161) | Dodgers -1.5 (+131)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Guardians +134 | Dodgers -158
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Guardians vs. Dodgers Prediction: Moneyline
It was all Los Angeles in the last game of this series, as the Dodgers took down the Guardians by a score of 7-2. The Dodgers offense only had two more hits than the Guardians and struck out eight times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -151 on the money line.
Cleveland got off to a good start in the game, scoring two runs in the first and not getting on the board again until adding one more run in the 4th. As for the Dodgers, they exploded for six runs in the 1st and didn’t score another run until adding one more in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Dodgers had the higher projected run total at 5.5.
Ryan Brasier only went one inning for the Dodgers but didn’t give up a hit or a run. Brent Honeywell got the win out of the bullpen for Los Angeles. Gavin Williams had a rough outing for the Guardians, taking the loss.
Cleveland is on the road today vs. the Dodgers, and they are 81-61 overall, putting them in 1st place in the AL Central. The Guardians lead the Royals by 3.5 games in the division and are 24-21 against other AL Central teams this year. So far, they have been good at home, going 43-25, and they have gone 38-36 on the road.
The Guardians have been good as the favorite this year, going 56-30, and they are 25-31 as the underdog. Cleveland’s overall series record is 26-14-5, and they have won two straight series. So far, they are 6-4 over their last 10 games.
With an overall record of 85-57, the Dodgers lead the NL West by five games over the Padres. The Dodgers are 24-19 in divisional games this season. At home, the Dodgers have gone 46-25 and are 39-32 on the road. Los Angeles is 80-46 as the favorite this season but just 5-11 when the underdog.
Los Angeles has gone 7-3 across their last 10 games and are currently tied in their series vs. the Guardians. So far this year, their series record is 27-17-3. Today’s game vs. the Guardians will be their 143rd game of the season.
Guardians vs. Dodgers Prediction: Over/Under
With the over/under line set at 8.5 runs, the Cleveland Guardians have played 85 games with lower lines than that this season, and 28 games with higher lines. Their over/under record for the season is 65-66, and when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over 20 times and under 19 times.
So far this season, the Guardians offense is averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have been a better hitting team at home, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 6th in the majors. As a team, they are batting just .238, which is 16th in the league, and their team BABIP of .27 is the worst in the MLB. However, they have been good at avoiding strikeouts, and their team walk rate is 20th in the league.
Both José Ramírez and Josh Naylor have been big run producers for the Guardians this season, with Ramírez’s 106 RBIs being 2nd in the league and Naylor’s 100 RBIs being 4th. Naylor is also 2nd on the team with 29 homers, while Ramírez has gone deep 34 times. Recently, Andrés Giménez has gone 8/25 in his last six games, and he is currently on a six-game hitting streak.
The Dodgers are playing at home against the Cleveland Guardians today, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Dodgers games this season is 9.2 runs, and their over/under record is 76-63. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 32-23. Overall, 44 of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs, which is 31.0% of their games this season.
Los Angeles comes into today’s game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 5 runs per game, which is 3rd in the MLB. They have been equally as good at home and on the road, also ranking 3rd in home runs and 5th in team batting average. The Dodgers have been especially good at avoiding strikeouts this season, as they have the league’s 14th fewest strikeouts in the league.
Shohei Ohtani and Teoscar Hernandez have been the Dodgers’ top power threats this season, with Ohtani’s 45 homers being the 2nd most in the league and Hernandez’s 28 homers coming in as the 14th most in the league. Ohtani also leads the team with 100 RBIs. Mookie Betts comes into the game on a 7-game hitting streak and has gone 9/20 with two homers over his last six games.
Guardians vs. Dodgers Prediction: Spread
The Cleveland Guardians have been a solid run line bet this season, going 71-71 overall. They have been slightly better on the road, going 38-36 against the run line. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 32-24 against the run line compared to 39-47 as the favorite. Their average run differential this season is +0.5 runs per game.
Cleveland is sending right-hander Tanner Bibee to the mound today vs. the Dodgers. He has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 11-6 with a 3.56 ERA. Bibee’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.12, and opponents are batting .225 off him this year. In his last outing, Bibee picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. Looking back further, he has given up at least one homer in three of his last four outings. Bibee has been much better on the road, coming in with a 7-3 record and 2.79 ERA compared to 4-3 with a 4.96 ERA at home.
When the Dodgers win, they win by an average of 3.6 runs per game, and when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.3 runs per game. They have played to a run line record of 71-71, with a +0.8 run differential per game. They are 36-35 against the run line at home and 35-36 on the road. As the favorite, they are 64-62 against the run line, while as the underdog, they are 7-9.
Jack Flaherty will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in 5 2/3 innings of work. In that outing vs. the Diamondbacks, he only gave up five hits and issued three walks. Overall, Flaherty has a record of 11-6 and an ERA of 3.01. Opponents have hit .216 off the right-hander this season. Flaherty has made 24 starts, and his WHIP for the season is 1.04. Looking back over his last four outings, Flaherty has given up at least two earned runs in three of them.
Guardians vs. Dodgers Pick: Dodgers ML -158
Our prediction for today’s Guardians vs. Dodgers matchup is to take the Dodgers on the money line at -158. We actually have the Dodgers winning this one by a score of 6-5, which would put the over/under at 8.5 runs right on the number.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Jack Flaherty is projected to finish with eight strikeouts, which ranks fifth among all starters. As for Tanner Bibee, he is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is ninth among all starters.
Offensively, we have the Dodgers finishing with 11 hits and the Guardians with nine. If you’re looking for a home run prediction, the Dodgers are projected to finish with two, compared to the Guardians with one.
As for the Guardians, they are projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the second fewest in the league today.