Guardians vs Dodgers Prediction & MLB Odds For Friday, September 6th
At 10:10 PM ET, the Guardians and Dodgers will square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, and the Dodgers are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -155. The money line odds for a Guardians win are at +130. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and the under is paying out at -114 compared to -107 for the over.
Matthew Boyd will start for the Guardians, and he is facing off against Landon Knack for the Dodgers. Cleveland is currently 1st in the AL Central, and they have an overall record of 80-60. The Dodgers are 1st in the NL West at 84-56.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Guardians 1.5 (-161) | Dodgers -1.5 (+132)
- Total: 9
- MoneyLine: Guardians +130 | Dodgers -155
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Guardians vs. Dodgers Prediction: Moneyline
Cleveland closed out their series vs. the Royals with a 4-1 loss. The Guardians were the +110 underdog on the road going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Guardians, as they got on the board with a run in the 3rd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Royals scored four times in the bottom of the 4th.
Ben Lively had a rough outing, giving up four earned runs on seven hits and issuing a walk. The Guardians also wasted a big game from Will Brennan, who went 2/3 with a double and a run scored. Cleveland’s offense scored only one run despite having seven hits.
Cleveland is 80-60 overall this season, and they lead the AL Central by four games over the Twins. The Guardians are 24-21 in divisional games coming into today’s road matchup vs. the Dodgers. They have gone 43-25 at home and have been a game above .500 on the road at 37-35.
So far, the Guardians have been really good as the favorite, going 56-30 this year. As the underdog, they are 24-30, and this includes a mark of 19-23 as the road underdog. The team’s overall series record is 26-14-5, and they have won two straight series.
The Dodgers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Angels with a 10-1 loss. Los Angeles was actually the favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Angels scored five times in the first.
Offensively, the Dodgers only had one fewer hit than the Angels but scored just one run. That run came in the 7th inning, and by that time, the Dodgers were already losing 7-0. Gavin Lux had a good day at the plate, going 2/4 with a run scored, but the rest of the Dodgers lineup really struggled. Bobby Miller got the start for the Dodgers and took the loss. He only lasted five innings, giving up seven earned runs.
Los Angeles is 84-56 overall, putting them 1st in the NL West, where they lead the Padres by five games. The Dodgers will take on the Guardians at home, and they are 45-24 at home this year.
The Dodgers are 79-45 as the favorite this year but just 5-11 as the underdog. They have won two straight at home, and their overall series record is 27-17-3. Looking back, the Dodgers split their two-game series with the Angels and are 7-3 across their last ten games.
Guardians vs. Dodgers Prediction: Over/Under
The Cleveland Guardians are on the road today to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers. The over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs, which is slightly higher than the combined run average for Guardians games this season, which is 8.5 runs. The Guardians have played to an over/under record of 65-65 this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs this season, the Guardians have played to an over/under record of 8-11-2. So far this season, only 4.3% of Guardians games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher, with just 6 games having lines set at 9 runs.
For the season, the Guardians are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. At home, they have been even better, putting up 4.9 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .239, but they have been good at avoiding strikeouts and are 3rd in the league in home runs. Both José Ramírez and Josh Naylor have been big run producers this season, with Ramírez’s 106 RBIs being 2nd in the league, and Naylor’s 100 RBIs being 3rd.
Josh Naylor has been on a tear of late, hitting .429 over his last seven games, with eight RBIs. Andrés Giménez has also been swinging a hot bat, going 8/32 over his last eight games with two homers. Giménez also comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak.
The Los Angeles Dodgers are playing host to the Cleveland Guardians today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The combined run average for Dodgers games this season is 9.2 runs, and their over/under record is 76-62. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, and when the line is set at 9 runs, their record is 11-9-2. So far this season, 21 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 9 runs, accounting for 15.0% of their games.
As a team, the Dodgers are 4th in the league in scoring at 5 runs per game. They have been equally as good at home and on the road this season, also averaging 5 runs per contest. Los Angeles has been one of the league’s top power-hitting teams this season, as they are 3rd in home runs and have the 3rd best team slugging percentage in the league.
Shohei Ohtani has been the Dodgers’ top power hitter this season, as his 44 homers are 2nd in the league and the most on the team. Ohtani is also 4th in the league in RBIs, with 99. Mookie Betts has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/29 in his last 8 games, with two homers and 11 RBIs. He is also on a five-game hitting streak.
Guardians vs. Dodgers Prediction: Spread
When the Cleveland Guardians are on the road, they have a run line record of 37-35, which is slightly better than their overall run line record of 70-70. They have a positive run differential both at home and on the road, but they have been a better bet against the run line as an underdog, going 31-23 compared to 39-47 as the favorite.
Matthew Boyd is getting the start for the Guardians on the road against the Dodgers. Boyd has started 3 games so far this season, and he has a win and a loss to his name. He is coming off a 1-0 loss to the Pirates in his last start, where he struck out 8 batters in 6 innings of work.
When the Dodgers win, they do so by an average of 3.6 runs per game, which is a big reason why they are 70-70 against the run line. They are 35-34 against the run line at home, where they have a run differential of +0.9 runs per game.
Landon Knack is getting the start for the Dodgers today and has made eight starts this season. He has a record of 2-2 and an ERA of 3.00. Knack’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.00. In his 10 appearances, he has only turned in one quality start. Looking back at his last outing, Knack came out of the bullpen and finished with a no-decision. In that outing, he gave up one earned run in four innings of work. The right-hander has given up at least one homer in three of his last four outings.
Guardians vs. Dodgers Pick: Dodgers ML -155
Our prediction for this game is that the Dodgers will pick up a 6-5 win over the Guardians. With the Dodgers being our predicted winner, we would recommend taking them on the money line, where the payout is -155.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Landon Knack is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which has him ranked 13th among starters. As for Matthew Boyd, his projected strikeout total is five, which has him at 20th.