Giants vs Padres Prediction & MLB Odds For Sunday, September 8th
From PETCO Park in San Diego, we have the Giants and Padres facing off in an NL West matchup. First pitch for Sunday’s matchup is set for 4:10 PM ET, and NBCS will be televising the Giants and Padres.
Joe Musgrove will be on the mound for the Padres, and they are the heavy favorite on the money line at -201 over the Giants, who are 70-73. San Francisco will be starting Spencer Bivens, and they are the +166 underdog on the money line. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Giants 1.5 (-135) | Padres -1.5 (+110)
- Total: 8
- MoneyLine: Giants +166 | Padres -201
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Giants vs. Padres Prediction: Moneyline
San Francisco picked up a 6-3 road win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Giants had a huge 2nd inning, scoring all six of their runs. As for the Padres, they scored their three runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Giants were at +103 on the money line.
Logan Webb started for the Giants and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up three earned runs. He finished the game with just three strikeouts and allowed two homers. Dylan Cease got the start for the Padres and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work.
At the plate, the Giants were led by Grant McCray, who homered twice and went 2/4 with five RBIs. Luis Arraez also had a three-hit game for San Francisco. As for the Padres, Manny Machado went 2/4 with an RBI.
San Francisco is 70-73 overall and 15.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Giants are 4th in the division and have gone 23-22 in divisional matchups this year. The Giants will be on the road today, where they are 30-41 this year.
So far, the Giants have been good as the favorite, going 44-32, and they are 26-41 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Giants are 21-20-3 but have dropped four straight series. They are also just 3-7 over their last ten games and are 1-1 in their series vs. the Padres.
With an overall record of 81-63, the Padres are five games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. San Diego is 21-21 in divisional games this year. The Padres are currently at home, where they are 40-34 this season. On the road, San Diego has gone 41-29.
This season, the Padres have been the favorite in 91 of their games, going 52-39 in those games. As the underdog, San Diego has gone 29-24 this year. The Padres’ overall series record is 28-14-4, and they have won two straight series.
Giants vs. Padres Prediction: Over/Under
The San Francisco Giants are on the road today to face the San Diego Padres in a game with an over/under line of 8 runs. The Giants’ games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 72-65. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 12-16-4. So far this season, 41 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, accounting for 28.7% of their games, while 70 games have had lines set lower than 8 runs, accounting for 49.0% of their games.
San Francisco’s offense is averaging 4.3 runs per game this season, which is 17th in the league. They are also 17th in home runs and have a team batting average of just .239. The Giants do have a few hitters on some nice streaks right now, as Michael Conforto, Matt Chapman, and Heliot Ramos all come into the game on three-game hitting streaks.
Matt Chapman and Heliot Ramos have been the Giants’ top power threats this season, as Chapman leads the team with 22 homers, and Ramos is right behind him with 20. Chapman is also the team’s leader in RBIs, with 69. Over his last four games, Grant McCray has gone 5/12 with two homers and five RBIs.
The San Diego Padres are home against the San Francisco Giants today, with the over/under line set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Padres games this season is 9.0, and their over/under record is 77-65. The average over/under line for their games is also 8 runs, and their record when the line is set at 8 runs is 12-14-1. This season, 58 of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs, accounting for 40.3% of their games, while 59 games have had lines set below 8 runs, making up 41.0% of their games.
San Diego comes into today’s game as the league’s top hitting team, with a team batting average of .265. They are also near the top of the league in runs per game, at 4.8, and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per game. The Padres have been tough to strike out this season, as they are the league’s top strikeout offense, and they also have the best team on-base percentage in the league.
Manny Machado and Jackson Merrill have been swinging the bat well for the Padres of late, with both players having three homers in their last nine games. Machado is also hitting .316 over this stretch, while Merrill is batting .281. Luis Arraez comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak and is batting .313 for the season.
Giants vs. Padres Prediction: Spread
San Francisco has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 39-32, but they have been a poor bet at home, going 31-41. They have an average run margin of -0.2 runs per game this season, and they have been outscored by 0.5 runs per game on the road. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 39-28, compared to 31-45 as the favorite.
Right-hander Spencer Bivens gets the start for the Giants today as he faces the Padres on the road. Bivens has made 19 appearances this season and just one start. His record is 3-1, and he has an ERA of 2.86. Opponents have hit .230 off Bivens this season, and his WHIP is 1.12. The last time he pitched was on September 4th out of the bullpen, where he went four innings and gave up two earned runs, two hits, and a homer. Bivens finished with a no-decision in that outing. He has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three appearances.
San Diego has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 44-26. Their average run margin on the road is +1.1, which is significantly better than their average run margin at home (-0.1). The Padres have been a good bet as the underdog, going 36-17 against the run line, compared to 37-54 as the favorite.
Joe Musgrove will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. In that outing vs. the Tigers, he went six innings and gave up just three hits. Looking at his overall numbers, Musgrove has made 15 starts and has a record of 5-4. His ERA for the season is 4.09, along with a WHIP of 1.23. Musgrove has pitched much better at home this season, coming in with a 4.26 ERA compared to 6.19 on the road. For the year, he has allowed 10 homers. Musgrove has made seven quality starts this season.
Giants vs. Padres Pick: Giants ML +166
Our pick for today’s Giants vs. Padres matchup is to take the Giants on the money line at +166. We actually have the Giants winning this one by a score of 6-5. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also take the over, as the line is sitting at 8 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Joe Musgrove is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, while Spencer Bivens is projected to finish with five. However, we have Bivens finishing with a better ERA than Musgrove.
