Giants vs Padres Prediction & MLB Odds For Saturday, September 7th

First pitch for Saturday’s matchup between the Giants and Padres is set for 8:40 PM ET from PETCO Park in San Diego. The forecast calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-80s. NBCS will be televising this NL West matchup.

The Padres are 81-62 and are currently favored on the money line over the Giants, who are 69-73. San Francisco is +129 on the money line, while the money line odds have the Padres at -152. Today’s pitching matchup is Logan Webb for the Giants and Dylan Cease for the Padres.

Betting Odds & Lines for this Game

• Spread: Giants 1.5 (-182) | Padres -1.5 (+149)
• Total: 7
• MoneyLine: Giants +129 | Padres -152

All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)

Giants vs. Padres Prediction: Moneyline

San Diego cruised to an easy 5-1 win over the Giants in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 1st inning, scoring three of their five runs. As for the Giants, they scored their only run in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -213 on the money line.

Manny Machado was the difference for the Padres, as he homered twice, scored three times, and finished with three RBIs. Fernando Tatis Jr. also had a two-hit game and scored two runs. Michael Conforto hit the Giants’ only home run of the game.

Michael King pitched well for the Padres in this one, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued a pair of walks. Mason Black struggled on the mound for the Giants, giving up four earned runs in just 4 2/3 innings of work.

San Francisco is 69-73 overall, and they are 15.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. So far, they are 22-22 in divisional games. The Giants lost the first game of this series vs. the Padres and have an overall series record of 21-20-3 this year.

At home, the Giants have gone 40-32 this year, but they are just 29-41 on the road. Heading into today’s game, the Giants have dropped five straight as the underdog. As the favorite, San Francisco is 44-32 and 25-41 as the underdog.

San Diego is 81-62 overall this season, and they are 2nd in the NL West, four games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. The Padres have gone 21-20 in divisional games this year. So far, they have been good at home, putting up a 40-33 record while going 41-29 on the road.

This season, the Padres have been really good as the favorite, going 52-38 and 29-24 as the underdog. At home, they are 33-25 when favored. San Diego’s overall series record is 28-14-4, and they have won two straight series.

Giants vs. Padres Prediction: Over/Under

San Francisco Giants games have been high-scoring this season, with a combined run average of 8.7 runs per game. The over/under record for Giants games this season is 71-65, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 7 runs, the record is 5-7-2. The over has hit in 88.0% of their games this season, and they are currently on a two-game under streak.

For the season, the Giants are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. They are also 20th in home runs and have a team batting average of .239. San Francisco’s offense is led by Matt Chapman and Heliot Ramos, who have 22 and 20 home runs, respectively. Chapman also leads the team with 69 RBIs, while Ramos is 2nd with 67.

Over the last five games, Mike Yastrzemski has gone just 4/17, but he does have two homers in that stretch. Tyler Fitzgerald has gone 7/19 in his last five games but is still looking for his first home run of the season. Jerar Encarnacion comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak.

The Padres are at home tonight against the Giants, and the over/under line is set at 7 runs. San Diego’s games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 76-65. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 7 runs, their over/under record is 9-2-1. So far this season, 91.6% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7 runs, and they are currently on a two-game under streak.

San Diego comes into today’s game as the league’s top hitting team, with a batting average of .264. They also have the league’s best strikeout rate, while being 8th in runs scored at 4.8 runs per game. So far, they have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per game.

Manny Machado and Jurickson Profar are the team’s top power threats, as they are tied for 1st on the team with 22 homers. Machado also comes into the game with a team-high 89 RBIs and is batting .274 for the season. Over his past 10 games, Machado has four homers and has gone 13/43. Luis Arraez has been hot of late, going 16/38 in his last nine games, and he is also on a six-game hitting streak.

Giants vs. Padres Prediction: Spread

San Francisco has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 69-73 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 38-32 against the run line. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 38-28 against the run line, compared to 31-45 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin on the road is -0.5 runs per game, compared to +0.2 runs per game at home.

Right-hander Logan Webb gets the start for the Giants today as he faces the Padres on the road. He has made 29 starts this year and has a record of 11-9 with a 3.43 ERA. Webb’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.20. In his 29 appearances, he has one complete game shutout and 18 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Webb took the loss vs. the Marlins, giving up six earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss. Webb has been much better at home this year, coming in with a 3.04 ERA compared to 4.94 on the road.

Despite their overall run line record being just above .500, the Padres have been a much better bet on the run line when playing on the road this season. They are 44-26 against the run line on the road, compared to just 29-44 at home. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.6, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.5.

Dylan Cease gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Giants at home. He has made 29 starts this season and has a record of 12-10 with an ERA of 3.62. Cease has a WHIP of 1.08 and batting average allowed of .198. This year, he has one complete game shutout and 14 quality starts. Cease’s last outing came on September 1st, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. He has not taken a loss in three straight outings. Cease’s ERA for the season is 3.25 at home compared to 4.82 on the road.

Giants vs. Padres Pick: Giants ML +129

Our pick for this Giants vs. Padres matchup is to take the Giants on the money line, with the payout being +129. We have the Giants winning this one by a score of 6-5. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also take a look at the over/under line, which is currently sitting at 7 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Dylan Cease finishing with seven strikeouts compared to Logan Webb with five. Cease has the higher win probability, but Webb has a much better ERA projection, and we have him allowing just one earned run compared to Cease with two.