Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction & MLB Odds For Wednesday, September 25th
At 9:40 PM ET, the Giants and Diamondbacks will face off in an NL West matchup. This one is being played at Chase Field in Phoenix and has the Diamondbacks as heavy favorites on the money line (-226). The Giants are +189 on the money line, and they will be looking to extend their five-game winning streak. San Francisco is 79-79, while the Diamondbacks are 87-71.
Wednesday’s over/under line is at 8.5 runs, and the Giants will be sending Mason Black to the mound vs. Zac Gallen for the Diamondbacks. Arizona is currently on a three-game losing streak, and they are 3rd in the NL West, while the Giants are 4th.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Giants 1.5 (-114) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (-108)
- Total: 8.5
- MoneyLine: Giants +189 | Diamondbacks -226
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Giants vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Moneyline
San Francisco cruised to an easy 11-0 win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. The Giants had a huge 3rd inning, scoring six of their eleven runs. As for the Diamondbacks, they had their best chance to score in the 4th, but could only muster one run.
Logan Webb started for the Giants and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with three strikeouts but issued just one walk. On the other side, Brandon Pfaadt got the start for the Diamondbacks and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in just 2 2/3 innings of work.
At the plate, the Giants were led by Heliot Ramos, who went 4/5 with a home run. He scored twice and drove in three runs. Brett Wisely also had a good game, going 2/5 with a homer and three RBIs.
San Francisco is looking to move above .500 today, as they come into the game with a record of 79-79. The Giants have won five straight games, and they are 14.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. So far, they have gone 26-25 in divisional games.
At home, the Giants are 41-37 this year and 38-42 on the road. As the underdog, the Giants have gone 33-47 this year, and they are 46-32 when favored. San Francisco has an overall series record of 24-21-4 and have won two straight series.
Arizona is 87-71 overall this season, and they are 6.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. The Diamondbacks have dropped three straight games, and they trail the Padres by 2.5 games for the second Wild Card spot.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 42-35 this season, and they are 45-36 on the road. Arizona has been favored in 83 of their games, going 51-32 in those games. As the home favorite, the Diamondbacks are 35-21 this year. Looking at their overall series record, the Diamondbacks are 26-19-4, and they are losing their current series vs. the Giants.
Giants vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Over/Under
The Giants are on the road in Arizona today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Giants games this season is 8.6 runs, and their over/under record is 80-71. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 15-10. So far this season, 20 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 12.7% of their games.
San Francisco’s offense has been pretty consistent this season, averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. They have been slightly better on the road, averaging 4.5 runs per game. The Giants have been a middle-of-the-pack home run hitting team this season and are batting just .238 as a team, which is 15th in the league.
Heliot Ramos and Michael Conforto have been swinging the bat well of late, with Ramos batting .300 over his last 10 games, and Conforto has gone 10/35 in his last nine games, including four home runs. Conforto also comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak. Matt Chapman has been the Giants’ top power threat this season, as his 27 homers is 15th in the league.
The Diamondbacks have been a solid over bet this season, with a combined run average of 10.4 runs per game. Their over/under record is 90-60, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over the total 35 times and under 19 times. Overall, 58 of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs, which accounts for 36.7% of their games this season.
Arizona comes into the game as the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.6 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks are also the league’s top on-base percentage team and have the best OPS in the league. They have been a very good power-hitting team as well, as they are 5th in home runs and 4th in isolated power.
Ketel Marte has been on a tear of late, going 9/27 with four homers over his last nine games. For the season, he is batting .295 with a team-high 35 homers. Eugenio Suarez is also a big power threat in the lineup, as he has 29 homers this season and is batting .254.
Giants vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Spread
San Francisco has been a strong run line bet on the road this season, going 47-33. They have won five straight against the run line on the road and have been a good bet as the underdog, going 48-32 against the run line. They have an even run differential on the road this season, and their average run differential in games they have won is +3.4.
The Giants are sending Mason Black to the mound today vs. the Diamondbacks. He has made seven starts and one relief appearance this year, going 1-4 with a 5.88 ERA. Black’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.51. In his last outing, Black picked up the win, going 5 2/3 innings and not giving up a run. Before that, he had taken the loss in three straight outings. Black has given up at least one homer in each of his last three outings. Opposing batters are hitting .291 off Black this year.
Arizona has been a strong run-line bet on the road, going 48-33 this season. The Diamondbacks have a run-line record of 82-76 overall, with an average run margin of 0.6 runs per game. They have been a better run-line bet as the underdog, going 47-28, compared to 35-48 as the favorite. Arizona has been on a run-line losing streak at home, failing to cover the run line in their last five games.
Zac Gallen will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Giants and picked up the win. In that September 4th outing, he went 6 innings and didn’t give up a run. Looking at his overall numbers, Gallen has made 27 starts and has a record of 13-6. His ERA for the season is 3.74, along with a WHIP of 1.29. Opponents are batting .235 off Gallen this season. Overall, he has turned in 11 quality starts and is averaging 9.19 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, Gallen has given up 13 homers and is averaging 3.3 walks per nine innings.
Giants vs. Diamondbacks Pick: Over 8.5 Runs -111
Our prediction for this Giants vs. Diamondbacks matchup is that the Diamondbacks will pick up a 6-5 win, meaning that the Giants could be a good pick to win straight up at +189. However, we are actually recommending taking the over, as the line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and we have this one finishing with a combined 11 runs.
Looking at today’s starters, we actually have Zac Gallen finishing with more strikeouts than Mason Black. Gallen is projected to finish with six K’s, which is good for seventh among today’s starters. As for Black, he is projected to finish with six, which has him 14th.
