Giants vs Diamondbacks Prediction & MLB Odds For Tuesday, September 24th
From Chase Field in Phoenix, we have the Giants and Diamondbacks facing off in an NL West matchup. This one gets started at 9:40 PM ET and is being televised by NBCS. The Diamondbacks are the favorites on the money line (-135), while the Giants have a line of +116. The over/under line is sitting at 8 runs.
Brandon Pfaadt is starting for the Diamondbacks, and he is facing off against Logan Webb for the Giants. San Francisco is currently on a four-game winning streak, and their record of 78-79 has them in 4th place in the NL West. The Diamondbacks are 3rd in the NL West with an overall record of 87-70.
Betting Odds & Lines for this Game
- Spread: Giants 1.5 (-189) | Diamondbacks -1.5 (+156)
- Total: 8
- MoneyLine: Giants +116 | Diamondbacks -135
All Odds are courtesy of (BetMGM | DraftKings | Fanduel | BetRivers)
Giants vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Moneyline
San Francisco picked up a 6-3 road win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. The Giants offense got off to a fast start, scoring three runs in the first and adding three more in the 3rd. On the other side, the Diamondbacks got on the board with one run in the 4th and added their final two runs in the 7th.
Hayden Birdsong only went five innings for the Giants but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued two walks. Ryan Walker got the save. Eduardo Rodriguez had a rough outing for the Diamondbacks, giving up five earned runs in just 4 2/3 innings of work.
Matt Chapman and Michael Conforto each homered for the Giants, while Casey Schmitt scored three times and drove in a run while going 1/3. Mark Canha also had a two-hit game at the plate.
San Francisco is currently 4th in the NL West, and they trail the Dodgers by 15.5 games for the division lead. Overall, the Giants are 78-79 heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Diamondbacks. The Giants have won four straight games, and their record in the division is 25-25 this year.
At home, the Giants have gone 41-37 compared to 37-42 on the road. As the underdog, the Giants are 24-31 this year, and they are 46-32 when favored. San Francisco has an overall series record of 24-21-4, and they have won two straight series.
Arizona is 87-70 overall, putting them 3rd in the NL West, 6.5 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. The Diamondbacks have gone 26-21 against other teams in the NL West. They will take on the Giants today having dropped two straight games, including the series opener vs. the Giants.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 42-34 this season compared to a 45-36 mark on the road. As the favorite, Arizona is 51-31 and 35-20 as the favorite at home. Their overall series record is 26-19-4, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games.
Giants vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Over/Under
The San Francisco Giants are on the road against the Arizona Diamondbacks today, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The Giants’ games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 79-71. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 13-17-4. Overall, 44 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, accounting for 28.0% of their games this season.
San Francisco’s offense is averaging 4.3 runs per game this season, which is 17th in the league. They have been slightly better on the road, averaging 4.4 runs per contest. Overall, the Giants are 12th in the league in home runs and have a team batting average of .238, which is 15th in the MLB.
Over his last four games, Matt Chapman has gone 5/15 with three homers and five RBIs. This season, he is batting .249 with a team-high 78 RBIs and 27 homers. Heliot Ramos is also having a good season at the plate, as he is batting .264 with 21 homers and 70 RBIs.
The Diamondbacks have played in 70.7% of their games this season with an over/under line set higher than 8 runs. Their games have averaged a combined 10.4 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 89-60. When the line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 12-7-2.
Arizona has been the best offensive team in the league this season, averaging 5.5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.7 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks are also the league’s top on-base percentage team and have the best team OPS in the league. As a team, they are batting .263, which is the 2nd best mark in the league.
Ketel Marte has been on a tear of late, going 8/24 (.333) with four homers over his last eight games. For the season, he is batting .295 with a team-high 35 homers. Eugenio Suarez is also a power threat for the Diamondbacks, as he has 29 homers this season and is 2nd on the team with 98 RBIs.
Giants vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Spread
San Francisco has an even run differential on the season, but they have been a solid bet on the run line at 80-77. They have been particularly good away from home, going 46-33 on the run line. They have covered the run line in four straight games and have been a good bet as the underdog, going 47-32 on the run line.
Right-hander Logan Webb gets the start for the Giants today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. He has made 32 starts this season and has a record of 12-10 with a 3.58 ERA. Webb’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.24. In his 32 appearances, he has turned in 19 quality starts and is averaging 7.66 strikeouts per nine innings. Webb’s last outing came against the Orioles, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
When betting the run line on the Diamondbacks, the best strategy has been to take them on the road, where they have covered at a 59% clip. They have been a better team overall as the underdog, covering at a 63% rate, compared to just 43% as the favorite. Their average run margin in wins is +4.2, while it drops to -3.7 in losses.
Brandon Pfaadt will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Brewers and picked up the win. In that September 19th outing, he went seven innings, giving up just one earned run. Looking back over his last four outings, Pfaadt has alternated between wins and losses. His overall record is 10-9, and he has an ERA of 4.66. Pfaadt’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.23. Out of his 30 starts, he has turned in 13 quality starts and is averaging 8.91 strikeouts per nine innings.
Giants vs. Diamondbacks Pick: Diamondbacks ML -135
Our prediction for today’s Giants vs. Diamondbacks game is that the Diamondbacks will pick up a 6-5 win at home. With the Diamondbacks money line sitting at -135, this is the best way to play this one.
Looking at some potential player props, Brandon Pfaadt is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among all starters today. As for Logan Webb, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is right in the middle of the pack.